Arctic in a filling phase, everything is mucky

 The Arctic acts like a glacier, albeit on a much faster scale.  It surges, and then fills.  Seems to be on a two-week cycle.

This is classical November weather, gloomy and cool.  A perfect zero for wind and solar power.  

And in other news:

Germany is perfectly fine, as long as it doesn't get cold.  Everybody is happy, the nuclear plants are all shut down.  Nothing could go wrong.

The elnino mirage isn't doing anything, yet all the media says it's going full blast.  The action is in the upper side band, the anomaly is at the zero line.  Room-temperature water at the equator doesn't do anything, and I don't even like it for swimming.  They never mention the temperature.

All of my attention is on how much heat can be shoved over Africa, into the Atlantic.  It seems to be oscillating.  You can see that the cold air from Greenland, which is not much, is pushing down the plumes away from the UK.  Those things are the only source of warmth in the winter for Europe.  Next week, the Arctic spills go to full blast, and one day, the cyclones won't catch it.  

I am predicting at 80% that we will have a clean Arctic blast coming down on Europe, in the next week.  If there are cyclones, then it will be a few more weeks.

ps.  if they ever use physics, we can have a good 2-week weather forecast by looking at the Africa heat flow.