Thursday, November 30, 2017

Delaware earthquake, shallow thrust

Intensity 5.  This is a great Eastern earthquake, but really small.  When I was raised in my nuclear career, these earthquakes were my life.  Until Oklahoma, these were all we had.  Now, somebody will raise the possibility of really large earthquake on the coast, but all the hubbub will die down in a few days.  Nobody puts down a penny to study these things now.

ps.  Funny, but I was the last guy to study this stuff.  While I was still around all the US utilities just went to their PR departments and issued 'I'm all right, Jack.' statements.  Soon, the Canadians joined in.  It was much cheaper.

pps.  Absolutely no earthquake doomers on this.  They've all moved to Portland.  :)

Canada about to release new digital currency - Canabits


This will be amazing (it's fake news).     The currency will be issued at value of $1 cdn, but is expected to zoom up to a million in a week, as the Chinese find out aboot it.  It will be encrypted, based on a particular moose call, and beaver tail slap.

Soon, we will be paying for our Canadabis with our Canabits.  We'll leave the trumpystates and sunderedbritain in the dust!

ps.  Come on, Justin, do this!  We are the best miners in the world, all the water resources of Quebec can be used for it, and it will be protected by the crypto-smarts of Canadian banks.  And unlike oil, it does not warm us up.  :)

pps.  Every Canadian will be issued with 10 Canabits. 

The Doomers are Dead, Long Live the Doomers


The warmie doomers are dead, nobody believes them when they are freezing.  The new doomers are here, saying the oceans are dying from our trash.  Never mind that New York has been dumping trash in the ocean for years.  Never mind that the lady said she has never pulled up garbage.  This is a Doomer Moment.

The 'Fall' of the Warmies


In the earthquake biz we call them 'false correlators' and they die by the dozens -- clouds, weather, planets, you name it.  In the stock market we call them 'momentum investors', and they also die.  These warmies are 'trend riders' without a mechanism.

Why doesn't anybody else mention this, other than a crazy guy with nothing to lose?  It's because of this:


This is their finest work yet.  It just boils down to the fact that they are name-calling everybody who believes in the Scientific Method -- 'Sub-Human Trumpies, Killers of Polar Bears'.

No working scientist would put themselves up for this mud slinging, so they hide.

But, the worm has turned, there's not a speck of surplus heat any more.  I enjoy putting in comments and getting all the slinging while they are still feisty.  As I summarized in the comments "No warmie philosopher has ever stooped so low as to put out a hypothesis, and conduct an experiment."

ps.  Whereas other trend riders die the instant bitcoin tumbles, these guys will drag on forever, citing older and older studies, and living on larger and larger moving averages. 

Wednesday, November 29, 2017

Natural gas price in bitcoin mode

I'm going to say, since I have no money in it, that the price will zoom pass the top of this chart.  This should be the rise, when they realize the warmies are all philosophy, and we are going to get hammered by cold.  Of course, it could go down again.  :)

Tuesday, November 28, 2017

Linux - using a VPN service

As you might know, some crazy people are going to the Supreme Court of Canada, so they can sue millions of Canadians.  I suspect the Court is going to whack them, since it has so many repercussions.

Although I never do anything, I decided to go to a vpn service for my legal downloads of Linux updates.  You never know when Hollywood producers decide to go crazy, and abuse women, and such things.

I went with IPVanish which had a lot of good reviews.  It's something like $60 USD a year.  I tried to arrange a full vpn for Linux, through Network Manager, but it screwed up the local dns.  Couldn't figure it out.  Luckily, my favourite legal bittorrent client, Deluge, has a proxy setup.  So, you can set up Socks5 with authorization, using their supplied info.  This works fantastically.  Super fast, and soon I hope to get fiber, if Bell doesn't charge the earth, when they light up our fiber being installed all over the neighbourhood.

So, next time, I am downloading something free and legal, even Mr. Bell won't know about it.  :)

ps.  Whoops!  Socks5 does not provide end to end encryption, so Mr. Bell could still do a deep packet inspection.  However, it does scramble things for bittorrent traffic and is good enough for downloads.  Extremely fast and doesn't muck up all your Internet traffic.

pps.  Deluge encrypts, so it's all good.

Toronto goes so low on a contract that they scare the neighbours

This is very bad video because they were looking at me.  Anyway, the contractors were so low-bid that they had equipment they picked up from a war zone.  It belched smoke so thick that everybody thought the forest was burning and the fire department had to drive their truck down the little park road.

When I got back they were just standing around, wondering what to do.  Yeah for the lowest bid!  It ended up costing more.  :)  Lots of babies killed from the particulates.  :)

Bad show, Emma!

ps. no money left in the City after building the most expensive subway station in the world.  :)

The Markles bring cold air to Britain

I am such a child!  I love it when the nest of warmies in Britain get an Arctic blast.  Since their brains are cold now, it might take until Spring for them to realize that all climate is determined by the ocean currents.  The carbon does nothing.

The funny thing is that this weather is exactly the same as we are having in Toronto.  The British have lost the Gulf Stream, which is getting killed by cold Arctic water.  It's back to Jane Austin winters for them!  Right now there is still warm water in the Gulf of Mexico, and that's keeping Toronto warm.

I'd tell the new couple to come back to Toronto, but I think we are going to get the blasts soon.  The maps show the Gulf area is cooling rapidly.

Sunday, November 26, 2017

Linux - make sure of your cat6 cable

I have been using cat6 cable on all the new pulls of cable, but I didn't realize I had a section of cat5 cable from the second computer.  I thought it was slow, but I did an iperf test, and it showed the throughput was only 100 mbps.  I changed the cable and it's up to 1000.  Amazing.  This becomes important when you get a 4K tv.  Also, we are getting direct fiber soon, and everything should be up to the gigabit.

Friday, November 24, 2017

Purolator Ate My TV -- CANCELLED!

Poops.  I order a new tv and Amazon feels compelled to let Purolator have a few shipments.  Just my luck!  They got it  to the local depot and then lost it.  They have the worst tracking in the world.

So, back and forth, and P. is launching a big investigation.  It was probably stolen.  Because I was stupid enough to start the investigation, I have to wait for a week to see if they can get it back from the thieves.  I don't really want it now, but Amazon has to do this.  I asked if I could expel P. from my house, and they said no.

LIVE!  - they apparently randomly spread everything over 3 trucks.   Right now, a light fixture, that was with the shipment arrived.

LIVE!  The tv just showed up.  They have a separate heavy lift service.

Tuesday, November 21, 2017

Pacific heat going to it's minimum

I've watched this for years.  In the last (perhaps) 20 years, the West Pacific has been building up heat (energy) and letting it gush over the world.  We had wonderful summers and mild winters.


This shows us the current currents.  All the north Pacific backwash is retreating.  Normally, the hot water goes west and there is a return current.  This is gone.  During the El Nino, all the water reversed alone the Equator and came at us.  It then dumped all the heat in West.

This is as solid as my dog running high speed and using your nuts as a brake.  Poor new boyfriend.    :)

Classical Winter for Canada


"Our winters aren't what they used to be. Oldtimers are right, winters really have changed," he said, adding that weather data reflects the trend. 

"It's almost as if global warming [and] climate change have kind of tempered the La Ninas and made them not as brutal as in the '50s, '60s, and '70s," he said. 

So here's the test, people.  My hypothesis, using physics, is that this will be a brutal winter, like the 70's.  The last bit of warming was a cycle, mixing in a huge El Nino.  My hypothesis bites the dust in the Spring if it is a so-so winter.  I will go back to the main physics and figure out what I did wrong.  On the other hand, the philosophy of warming is dead if the winter constantly stops all the cars in the driveway.  None of that constant running of excuses like that guy who predicts the end of the world every month.  If you say that a plunge down to the 70's is just a 'blip', then you are as hopeless as trumpypants.  :)

ps. get an extra battery for your garage.

pps.  this is a 'hypothesis' as defined by the Scientific Method, which almost gone from the world.

xpps. - I also found something else gone from the world - antique furniture.  We were talking to a refinisher and he said everybody was spray painting their antiques white. 

Saturday, November 18, 2017

Linux and the Cups Printing System

If there is one horrible thing about Linux it's the relationship with peripherals, such as printers.  All this is handled through Cups.  Although I am amazed at how many printers they can do, the whole thing regularly screws up.

So, if you want to go all Linux, get a generic Postscript network printer.  Those things always work.  I, however, have an old Phaser 6125n which is generally fantastic, and you can put in really cheap knock-off toner cartridges.  I'm sure that modern printers have all sorts of gimmicks that preserve their income from very expensive toner.

Nevertheless, this printer has a bizarre protocol, super secret, and there is only a 32 bit driver available.  Following my instructions that I laid out earlier, you can make it work, but it's horrible. 

Reading things for the last 10 years, I have found out that Cups regularly bombs out when it is upgraded.  That happened to me, and my printer didn't work with my main machine.  I tried endless things, but the main conclusion is that cups is busted in this version, but may work in the next. 

However, I kept the other machine at another release, and it still works.  You can use a shared printer and it works for all machines.  The lesson is to never upgrade all your machines at once.

Wednesday, November 15, 2017

Toronto Red Car Found

This is exciting.  As an early-morning dog walker in the Humber River park, I am expected to find criminal things, like dead bodies and such.  I never have.  However, there was a fatal stabbing up in Weston, and my dog buddy said they were looking for a red suv.

This is in a local park where the gate is locked every night and it was locked now.  It's funny that 10 dog walkers knew about the whole thing, but I was the first to phone it in.  They were convinced that the car was probably innocent.  :)  The girl at 911 had nothing on the stabbing or the car, and I had to insist this was really important.  As she said "We get stabbings all the time."  :)

ps.  Just before that, on a hill covered with wet leaves, a crazy high-speed bicyclist came up behind me and put on the brakes when the dog made a sudden move.  Naturally he skidded and jumped off the bike.  He road-raged us while I held my coyote stick parallel to the ground and prepared to have the dog attack (big chance!).  No injuries and he yelled at me "At least you could say you're sorry."  Sorry, but self-defence comes first.  :)

pps.  the guy was a big hockey coach and was stabbed at noon in the main street, and thereafter shortly died.  He probably tried to stop a fight.  Run away from those things!  Report it.  The got the name of the accomplice right away, probably from this car.

extra-ps.  this was a local car that got caught behind the gate.  The real red car was found somewhere else.  So, dog and I aren't heroes.  :(

Arctic ice volume now follows the normal curve

I thought this graph was dead because of a satellite malfunction, but it was just late.  Having made a very dramatic cut into the main curve, it is now following the trend.  Probably because of the warm air of Sept. and Oct.  I am expecting another cut against the trend in the next few months as we get horribly cold.

Right now in Toronto, we have middling temperatures for November, but cloudy and gloomy.  That's because we are getting some warmer air from the Gulf of Mexico.

Everybody around the Arctic is living with -25oC right now.

Later, it will be -40.

ps.  I really don't have anything yet to wave at the Climatics.  Darn.

Monday, November 13, 2017

Iran Earthquake - Standard Blind Thrust

In this neck of the woods, mountains are there for a reason.  It is a sign of compression.  It gets a lot worse up in the 'stan' countries.  So you have mountains and you have valleys.  The mountains are the footwalls of thrust faults, and the valleys are the chewed-up hanging walls.  It's the same geometry around Toronto.

This shows the pure thrust.  In the hanging wall (the valley) you would get very high ground motion as measured by peak ground velocity (PGV).  But I'm sure there aren't any instruments here.

You can see there is light reinforcement in the concrete columns and floor slabs.  This may have saved a lot of lives.  In the Armenia earthquake, no steel meant that everything went to powdered rubble.  However, the only way to really tell how well the buildings did is to get a reading of the PGV.  Without instruments, we learn nothing here.

Friday, November 10, 2017

Suggested Gifts for the Coming Cold Decade

Our ocean currents are going into a new cycle.  The old one led people to believe that we were warming and they made up that whole carbon dioxide thing.  These people will go on for another year, freezing to death and claiming it's 'only a blip'.

Cold Winter

Give your favourite warmie friend a nice scarf.  Buy a coffee roaster like I did and stay indoors.  Watch both interest rates and natural gas bills go up.  If you are giving the gift of a family vacation, pick a spot right on the Equator.

Cold Spring

We like the concept of poly-tunnels for the garden.  You can give your gardener a kit.

Cold Summer

This summer, all the rage will be full-length neoprene bathing suits.  You'll have extra money for gifts because air conditioning costs will be down.

Cold Fall

Sweaters, sweaters, sweaters.

ps.  I was so dang cold this morning with what I thought was my best stuff, that I immediately ordered a heavy parka from ammie.

Our Coming Winter

This is what happens when we have run out of heat from both the Atlantic and Pacific equatorial belts.  The chart shows wet air which has 10 times the heat energy of clear dry air.  We are now entirely naked to the cold polar winds.

The next global temperature chart is going to show a big drop.  All happy thoughts of living in a global warming sauna should be erased from your mind.  This is the Revenge of Physics.  The hammer always drops on your toe despite many wonderful arguments against it.  :)

Wednesday, November 8, 2017

Toronto housing listings zoom up

A very confused chart.  As around our place, lots of places for sale, but no sales.  As I predicted, the slight uptick in prices caused a huge entry into the market.  If you take the average price and multiply by sales you can see there is no money in the market.  In the next month or two, the forced sales will drive down the price.  Condos have a little tick up, but not much.  They probably also have a big rise in listings.  Condos will also drop with forced sales as everybody will be caught with two houses.

ps.  I predicted all this last November when the Chinese hot money died.  However, I thought it would have unfolded a bit faster.  It will really dive now because of the Paradise Papers and such which will cause more hot money to withdraw.

Tuesday, November 7, 2017

Natural gas price shoots up - too late for Oklahoma earthquakes

They have finally realized that global warming is dead.  We are going to freeze!  All part of a natural cycle that follows binomial theorem.  This is too late to activate OK earthquakes, since all the fresh water is going to freeze solid in the next few days.

Thus, ends the earthquake season.  I was hoping for a big trumpy earthquake, but that will have to wait until the Spring.  They'll have used up all the gas in storage, and Canadians will be pumping it to them at tremendous prices.  Yeah Canada!  Everybody and their dog will start gas fracking in the Spring and it will all go to OK.

ps.  during the Earthquake Season, there is a near-perfect correlation between this chart and OK earthquake activity.  At least a lot better than that *other* correlation. 

Monday, November 6, 2017

Etobicoke Leaf Pick-Up

Oh, we in Etobicoke are so lucky!  We're the only place in Toronto to get curb-side leaf pick-up because of our very heavy leaf load.  You can see the leaf pickup going by.  They used to have a huge truck and about 8 men.  Now it's a pickup and one guy.

How is this cost saving possible?  By doing the leaf pick-up before the leaves have fallen.  THIS IS NOT FAKE NEWS!

Our civic leaders have stashed all their money in the Cayman Islands with the Queen.  It's actually a big truck and 8 guys on the invoice.  :)  Just kidding!  Nobody is corrupt in Ontario.  However, I have always found that being corrupt or being stupid is the same thing.

ps.  Dec 1, they did come back with a real crew.  Every year it's the same, they come too early, and swear they'll never come back.  Everybody ignores them, puts the leaves illegally on the street, and they come back.

Modern technology destroys the workplace


Not really, but it has destroyed the 'old' workplace.  I started corporate work just before the desktop computer came in in 1980.  We communicated by handwritten multi-part memos.  It took days to get and respond to internal mail.  Plenty of time for thinking.  We built magnificent things.

In came MS email.  It evolved to the point where you had to make an instant response.  No time for thinking or being honest.  Soon, the weasels rose to the top, those who had the talent to make an instant response credible, even though it was pure BS (mini-trumpies).

Now they got this 'total monitoring'.  Overbearing micromanagers will love it.  No need for thinking at all, just appear busy.  No hierarchical company or government will be able to do anything.

On another note, the old world order of massive corruption in the higher ranks is unravelling as all this shady stuff is now done by computer.  A tiny hack or underpaid (and over-monitored) employee and it is all out.  I am sure that there is general peace in the world by having every leader squirrel away lots of money.  :)

ps.  the first thing any bright employee does is hack the internal system to get Internet.  Then they soon leave.

Sunday, November 5, 2017

No more satellite ice volume graphs


The darn satellite blew up, just before it could vindicate trumpy on carbon dioxide.  Talk about foot shooting!  I was expecting a good volume increase as we enter our cold decade.  If they keep on going like this, we won't even know it's getting cold.  We'll just be frozen lumps on the ice.

Friday, November 3, 2017

Global warming reduces ozone hole


In my wildest dreams I had hoped that trumpy would revive atmospheric physics.  It's been dead since the 80's when it went against the mainstream of ozone holes and carbon dioxide.

So, we get these articles, all very nice stories designed to get money from the public.  The physics tells us that the bromine, chlorine reaction does not exist.  Also they never include fluorine in their stories because the new coolants are all fluorine based.

The only thing that increases an ozone hole is a vicious polar vortex, bringing temperatures and pressures down in the middle.  We'll get lots of these in the next decade, so be prepared for a big hoo-ha.  :)

Thursday, November 2, 2017

Big spike in October global temperatures

All my warmie buddies are going to laugh at me now.  They like this graph when it goes up, and not when it goes down.  October and September were warm because of some weird El Nino rebound in the Atlantic.  Basically, there is no more Pacific heat, and Siberian air has flooded down on us.  However, in the Fall, it acted as a giant shovel pushing up all the Atlantic heat into the stratosphere.  That dumped all the heat at once, and we had huge hurricanes, which are giant heat volcanoes. 

Lucky for us, the Toronto temperatures reflect this curve exactly because we are in the 'physics middle' of everything.  My prediction juices have gone sour, but from what I'm seeing of our weather, we can expect this curve to drop.

The darn Arctic ice volume chart is late again.  I'm expecting it to go up, but maybe not.

Oklahoma earthquakes - large energy release

Nothing has been more boring for me than the OK earthquake situation.  The price of natgas is the lowest ever.  That means no frack waste for most of the summer.  However, the price of oil is zooming and that means a lot of Texas Permian frack waste.  Normally, OK shuts down for the winter freeze-up with natgas.  That's because it's all coming from the mountains in the NE.  The oil waste this year may extend the season.

Right now there has been a huge energy release in one spot, starting with an m5 and lots of m4's.  I only do single digits with magnitudes and I'm usually one up on the official numbers because I take the worst value of peak ground velocity in the direction that the fault is pumping.  When there is a big shallow thrust, that will be the important number.

I haven't seen such activity at one spot before.  Normally, there are only a few aftershocks.  Who knows what this means?

ps.  Another m4 just popped out.  If they could keep this up, then it would be the highest rate ever, but it will probably settle down.  blah.