Friday, November 30, 2018

The Geology of Anchorage, Alaska

There's the city, along a big basin.  The foundation is loose dirt.  I studied the 1964 earthquake extensively when I did my report on earthquake ground motions for rock and soil.  It has the distinction of being one of the highest amplifiers of pgv (peak ground velocity) in the world, perhaps next to Mexico City.

For the 1964 earthquake, the rock pgv was under 1 cm/s.  Old buildings on rock didn't have a speck of damage.  In fact, you can't tell how low that pgv was.  Anchorage had 50 to 100 cm/s, just like this earthquake.  The amplification was 50 to 100 times.

This is an exact duplicate of the Christchurch earthquake in every way.  Another M7-8 is possible, so I hope they don't 'approve' (green tag) a concrete office tower.  These things can only be approved by instrumenting before and after, and never by inspection.

You can see that it is at the end of a magnificent back-arc spreading basin.  Anything can happen on top of a subduction zone, and this rift is huge.  Expect further action, as such a basin must be maintained in light of huge sediment loads.  You can see that it is 'clean' and as such it must have m8's every few hundred years.  An m7 doesn't do much, although they will later measure that the basin went down, and the surrounding hills went up.

If I lived in a place here, that got a good hit, I would literally head for the hills, to grandma's house on solid rock.  The earthquake probably didn't even wake her.  Do not go to work in a 70's office building.  That is instant 'pancake death'.  


ps. Dear Alaska, do not read me, or attempt to interview me (ha!) because I think the usgs, US earthquake engineers, and nasa earth sciences are a bunch of idiots (to quote Sheldon).  :)

M7 Earthquake Anchorage Alaska

The shaking intensity seems light for this quake.  Anchorage is a city of mud, and the amplifications should be huge.  News at 11.

It looks like the same peak ground velocity (PGV) as the 1964 earthquake.  Although it was an M9, it happened much farther away, and PGV usually saturates with M7.

Lots of cracks, and hopefully nobody killed.  It looked like a pgv of 50 cm/s on the muds.  As usual, structures on piles would not have been affected.

Thursday, November 29, 2018

Mastodon - Social Networking


Yeah, this is great stuff.  And it will be good until it becomes popular.  It's totally anonymous, and free from spam right now.

There are no incentives to keep people polite, and nothing to slow down negative people to quickly make up new identities.  It's doomed.

We need to create an 'instance' for Canadians.

ps.  I am on which is an instance for technical things.

Texas will pay you to take their natural gas


This is hilarious.  Elsewhere natgas is zooming because they know we heading into an ice age (micro).

They may be fracking with produced water because there isn't a huge uptick in earthquakes.  But they never tell anything.

Anyway, you can't take advantage of this big sale.  They were talking about mounting bitcoin mining rigs on trucks, but bitcoin is also going to zero.

Today is Ontario Climate Change Day

Today is the big announcement from The Doug.  I wish he would listen to me and launch the balloons for new atmospheric physics, but he won't.  But we know the carbonistas are doubling down for the coming ice age, and there will be a great Twit-storm, no matter what he does.

He has a billion dollars tied up for climate change, and I suspect that he'll just stick to that.  His hands are tied.

Meanwhile, back at the ranch, our warmies are cluttering the printing presses.  Half the articles are on how global warming is bringing global cooling.  The other half just sticks to old temperature news and makes their grand projections.

The old guy and I have a pool on how long we go into the ice age before they give up.  I'm still thinking a year, because they always have July.  Recent articles go on and on about it.  Even Siberia gets hot in July.  That's the default 'landlocked' climate!  In Toronto we have July and August because we are lower in latitude.  And some of September because of the lakes.

Right now we are enjoying normal November weather because of a very strong Pacific plume that drenched California.  They blamed the fires on climate change, and now they include floods and landslides.  Thank goodness we've had a quiet few years in earthquakes.

The next two Pacific plumes look like they'll die in the Arctic.  In Toronto we'll enjoy a one day lunge from the Gulf of Mexico.

ps.  this intense plume activity could make me embarrassed, come the next temp charts.  :)

pps. here it is.

Wednesday, November 28, 2018

Linux -- Use hdparm to rank your disks

If you are starting to store 4k legal videos of your dog, you really need to clean up your network and disks.  I just found that using the new cat7 cables increases speed by 3 times.  And the cables are super thin and cheap.  I guess that is an advantage of the tighter weave.

But your disks are now the slow-moes.  I ran 'hdparm -tT /dev/sda-b-c' on the various disks and was surprised to find one really slow one, which I thought was good.  It was about 1/4 speed of the other disks.  So, only put the old dog videos on that one.

The fastest disk gets the 4K dog videos.  Always use a socks5 proxy when you want to share your legal dog videos on bittorrent.  I use ipvanish, and it's quite fast.  I also use Deluge, with the proper proxy setting.  Always download a dog video torrent that has been generally approved.  I found that new privacy exploits come out all the time, and you can be surprised by a nasty dog-hater letter.  :)

Tuesday, November 27, 2018

Global Warming Brings the Ice Age


This is getting to be quite the popular thing.  There was also the 'Mr. Weather' interview (Canada) where he dropped the bombshell that humans have nothing to do with climate.  This is paraphrased by my old guy, I'm sure Mr Weather was more circumspect.

Anyway, once again, the 'very severe' carbon greenhouse effect is melting Greenland and destroying the North Atlantic ocean currents.  Nothing that this whole package could be wrong.  So, the next graphs at the beginning of the month will show decreasing global temps and increasing Arctic ice, but that will be carried in the Christmas party conversations, as proof of global warming.  Note, that a month ago it was the Canadian Arctic that was melting.  There are no charts on ice volume for Greenland.

Like I said before, do not laugh at your trudeauish friends this season.  They don't have a sense of humour.

ps.  In case you were worried, Greenland is doing well at -25c

Ocean currents Nov 25, 2018

It came out a bit late, probably due to Thanksgiving.

Here we seeing increased flow down the bleeding nose of South America.

It's difficult to see whether the warm area is increasing.  But these are surface temperatures, and total heat energy is a volume

This is the Pacific.  The reverse current has increased, and there is a weird upper return current that I haven't seen before.  This is allowing low, flat, moist air plumes to hit California, giving them rain like a full El Nino.

In Toronto we are happy to get this cold wet weather, rather than extreme cold.  :)

Although the Gulf Stream is as dead as ever, there are these huge storms and plumes hitting the UK.

Linux - Change everything to Cat 7 cable

Wow, that makes a difference with gigabit cards.  I got a 2-3 times improvement over what I thought was good cat 6 cable.  The cat7 cable is really cheap on ammie, and it's flatter and thinner than cat 6.  I'm guessing they're going for a full tight braid now.

Monday, November 26, 2018

GM Gone

This is sad, but really, gm was done a long time ago.  They have old company disease, and can't think of anything original.  I'm sorry.

Now that carbon warming is entering the dustbin of history, we have a chance to do something with cars.  I'm thinking of methanol fuel cells with super-capacitors.  We've got natural gas coming out of our wazoo.  At least I have.  :)

This is a time for Dougie to shine.  Send up those weather balloons and put a final nail in the coffin of the carbon hypothesis.  Then go full blast into the future!  We'll need all the excess electricity for our giant Coca plant farms.  Sooner or later the later my old company will refurb Darlington at 10 times the cost and 10 times longer to do.  Since they didn't correct the bad physics, it will last 10 times less.

But we can recover from mass stupidity!  Resurrect my Wesleyville plans for super-nuclear town.  We can't just wait for the whole car industry to die.

ps.  and, honestly, why are we letting the Chinese totally take over grow lights?  Can't we do something?  And the upcoming ice age needs better insulation.  We can do that.

pps. and ditch any hope in solar cells, windmills, and batteries.  They all require rare earths, which don't have, and are a bigger blight on the world than anything.  So, they will not reduce in price.

Saturday, November 24, 2018

UK weather tabloids

Right next to 'GIANT ASTEROIDS ABOUT TO KILL US ALL'  but maybe we'll all 'FREEZE TO DEATH' before that.

But, these guys are totally reliable when they agree with me.  :)

I didn't bother actually reading it, and I don't recommend you do it either.  But I had a nice discussion in the Guard where I just said we could use some more money for direct physics measurements.  They said 'Name one physics organization that agrees with you.'.  I said 'Name one organization that would touch this with a ten foot pole.'.  I called it the 'third rail of death'.  They'll probably say that the silence proves it.  They also said that all the physics has been done 150 years ago.

If this cold pans out, we'll see what they say.  I predicted a while ago that without the Gulf Stream they'll have the weather of Labrador.  They didn't know the weather of Labrador, and are about to find out.

ps. Oh, they just coined 'Pest from the West', and I was trying so hard to thing of something.  :)

Friday, November 23, 2018

Getting ready for microgreens

Since we Canadians can no longer buy US blood-lettuce, we have to grow indoors.  I'm getting my hydroponic system up.  Here is the first stage.

This uses fired clay beads, and my special water mix.  I might start one cannabis for later cuttings.

ps.  the water is flowing and the seeds have been planted.

pps.  little shoots in 3 days.  Quite amazing.

Unusual Pacific plume brings rain to California

This was a huge Pacific plume formed last week.  It went straight up from the middle of the ocean.  These are generally rare and cannot be counted on to keep things warm.  It is pouring rain on the fires, and all that wonderful ash is great fertilizer for the next bloom of flammable California brush.  Expect more fires since California is generally in drought.

The fires are 'carbonated' but the record cold isn't.  Just remember that for your intellectual Christmas parties.  The warm Pacific air (low pressure) is sucking up some Gulf heat, so Toronto will be above freezing for a while, with lots of rain.

Thursday, November 22, 2018

Rivers of Blood

Trump, in effect, is asking the Mexican drug cartels to slaughter the migrants, or he'll totally close the borders.  When we see the rivers of blood, he'll just say he was joking.

I'm not going the US, I'm not buying anything from the US.  But I'm not making a big effort, too much like work.  :)

Time to legalize cocaine.

ps.  this is just a prediction, based on large forces.  It could be all resolved, but I can't see it.

Wednesday, November 21, 2018

Ocean Currents - Nov 20, 2018

The new ocean current map shows a lot of interesting things.

First, The Great Bleed continues.  I've never seen concentrated current lines going south, nor seen it go so far down.  It's still not that significant, but it is growing.

Then there is the Arctic current coming down along Greenland.  Once again, I've never seen it so strong.  My thought is that it is caused by the pack ice volume building up and separating salty water.

Finally, the El Nino reversal has gone all the way to Central America.  However, the effect doesn't really show up in the temperature map.  I suspect that it is all surface, with no major energy content.  It has been going for some time now, without any effect.

If I preach to the choir, then we are seeing everything we would expect with a coming micro ice age.  Next month's plots will show increased Arctic ice volume, and global temperatures dropping, especially Northern mid latitudes.

None of this is suitable for Christmas party conversations, so be warned.  :)

ps.  the 20 year (40 full wave) sinusoid is cresting and going down in global temps.  The last time this happened was in 1970 without the benefit of satellites.  The big wave (300 year) started rising in 1820, and I hope it isn't cresting as well.  If it is, we might as well put all of Canada under glass.  :)

pps.  Great headline in the Guardian, number one of the carbonista defenders.  :)

I love those guys!

Save Your Car

Can't believe I'm still reading about this.  If you have a typical Toronto city house, and your brand new Lexus is jammed up to your front door, then take precautions.

A very simple electronic box can relay the continuous signal from your fob hanging right near the door.  I don't know the maximum distance.  Then they can get in and fool the car into starting.

Get a small foil-insulated lunch bag, like this.

Something like 12 bucks on ammie.  The Faraday Cage bags are exactly the same thing, but more expensive.  Just throw your keys in and flop down the lid.  It will cut the range tremendously, enough to make them move to your silly neighbour's car.  As with all thefts, you just have to put in enough security so they pass you by, like the bear story.

Monday, November 19, 2018

Freezing Pipes for Toronto

This week we'll go down to -12c in the city.  This is about as cold as it got generally in Toronto for the last 20 years.  In 1983 I remember that in our new, very old house, it was always -20 or 30, and the pipes in the crawlspace froze.  I had to do a lot to them.  I ended up with insulation and letting the taps drip for most of the winter.

In 1973 I was regularly winter camping up in Huntsville at -40c.  That was the normal winter temperature.  Right now the Arctic is socked in with cold, and we expect a very good ice report next month.  The warm Atlantic air plumes have stopped, and it's snowing in the UK.  All in November.

As with the Blind Men, the sine wave is just cresting and going over the top.  My great amusement will be how the carbonistas cope with this.  It's going to be difficult to keep the PR machine going, and I suspect they will just hunker down for the winter and wait until July.  :)

But the real reason for this article is to get the people in very old houses to check their pipes.  The insulation may have come off, or the heat tracing cable isn't working.  Don't wait for a disaster.

Sunday, November 18, 2018

Blind Men and the Sinusoid

This is a story and has nothing to do with nothing.

Blind Men and the Elephant – A Poem by John Godfrey Saxe
Here is John Godfrey Saxe’s (1816-1887) version of Blind Men and the Elephant:

It was six men of Indostan,
To learning much inclined,
Who went to see the Elephant
(Though all of them were blind),
That each by observation
Might satisfy his mind.

The First approach'd the Elephant,
And happening to fall
Against his broad and sturdy side,
At once began to bawl:
"God bless me! but the Elephant
Is very like a wall!"

The Second, feeling of the tusk,
Cried, -"Ho! what have we here
So very round and smooth and sharp?
To me 'tis mighty clear,
This wonder of an Elephant
Is very like a spear!"

The Third approach'd the animal,
And happening to take
The squirming trunk within his hands,
Thus boldly up and spake:
"I see," -quoth he- "the Elephant
Is very like a snake!"

The Fourth reached out an eager hand,
And felt about the knee:
"What most this wondrous beast is like
Is mighty plain," -quoth he,-
"'Tis clear enough the Elephant
Is very like a tree!"

The Fifth, who chanced to touch the ear,
Said- "E'en the blindest man
Can tell what this resembles most;
Deny the fact who can,
This marvel of an Elephant
Is very like a fan!"

The Sixth no sooner had begun
About the beast to grope,
Then, seizing on the swinging tail
That fell within his scope,
"I see," -quoth he,- "the Elephant
Is very like a rope!"
And so these men of Indostan
Disputed loud and long,
Each in his own opinion
Exceeding stiff and strong,
Though each was partly in the right,
And all were in the wrong!


So, oft in theologic wars
The disputants, I ween,
Rail on in utter ignorance
Of what each other mean;
And prate about an Elephant
Not one of them has seen!

But then they went into the next room

The very next room had a sinsoid on the wall,
Sticking out a bit so it could be felt by all

Ah, what do we have here? quoth the climate peer
I feel a rapid rise, exponential, and quite queer
It will go up like a hockey stick
And the world will become very sick.

The second one felt the middle, and proclaimed quite loud
This is a straight line, which will go up forever, and agreeing is a 97% crowd
We'll use computer models to have our way coercing,
And input the same parameters that are self-reinforcing

The third felt the top,
I see nothing here to make us stop
Proclaiming the end of everything
So to get money, and lots of shiny bling.

ps.  I always thought this was not a story of stupidity, or even racist stupidity, but one of willful ignorance.  Those men knew there was an elephant in the room, but chose, for various reasons, to focus on what they believed in the first place.  :)

Friday, November 16, 2018

Atlantic Current Starts the Great Bleed

The new sea currents map is out today, and there are few interesting points.  The above is the daily sea temperature map, and it shows that the Gulf Stream is continuing to die.  But it shows that hot water is spilling down South America, at where I call 'The Nose'.

We have our usual 20 year micro ice ages, and the big 300 year ones, which I call the mini ice age.  Right now we are tipping into the next micro ice age.  However, I noticed that the nose was bleeding.  That means our warm Atlantic water was going south of the nose.  I have conjectured that the 300 year cycle is when most of the water goes south instead of north.

Normally, all that nice warm water goes straight up the coast and flushes out the Caribbean.  Then it is a nice holiday destination.  However, right now the current is turbulent and there is a big seaweed problem.  Yuck!

If the current stops altogether, then the Caribbean is a big swamp.  But, last year, we had the Bleeding Nose, and it came back, so we hope for this year.

This the video of the current starting the Big Bleed.  I've never seen when the tip bucket goes the other way, and I hope I never will.

This is the 'no hope' El Nino reversal that is getting ever smaller and retreating.  Everybody will be very cold.

ps. thanks all.  My numbers have gone through a very low roof.

A Trivial Exercise


In honour of New Zealand I write this article to overuse the word 'trivial'.  I always they were a bit slow and somewhat inbred on their earthquake stuff, but this is a trivial issue.

Thursday, November 15, 2018

Stalin-Trumpy Disease Hits the Zuck


I have said there are no 'brilliant' evil conspiracies, but there are brilliant evil people.  They just can't work together.  So cut all your evil conspiracy discussions and focus on true evil when you see it.

Evil is defined as a short-term gain that requires stepping on innocents.  The Conservative long knives that got P Brown is not evil.  Same thing as Julius Caesar.  Nor is it a 'thinking' conspiracy, of super Ninjas that assassinate rich people for no money.  Never has existed, never will.

Canadians should not support this,  Get off FB and Instagram.  Somebody should make a Canadian social media thing, with Canadian values.  Sorry, I got no money.

ps.  the demise of Stalinism is that you always have to surround yourself with simpering idiots, like that Zuck PR person.

pps.  these evil guys always kill each other.

moreps.  I don't use the hilter name because of fanatic search engines.

final -- Zuck pulls out the 'Stupidity Defence'.  Nobody will believe it.

Time for Canada to Legalize Cocaine


Cocaine is just concentrated caffeine.  It is used mostly by rich people (like the late Rob) to stay awake in Hollywood clubbing parties, where they drink a ton.

You can't separate cocaine and alcohol.  Standard drunks pass out at 7 pm, after 2 litres of wine.  You see tons of them at the LCBO in the afternoon getting a litre of wine or small bottle of booze.  Super drunks go way beyond that.

You can treat drunks and super drunks in a facility that gives them all they want to drink.  You first convert the sd's to plain d's.  They track their booze and eventually get off it.  All of this requires lots of money, and you don't get it from alcohol sales.  Cannabis can help here.

Coca plants can be grown in the same facilities as cannabis.  Weak coca tea might help people, it is very therapeutic.  The huge US cocaine demand is destroying every country in Central and South America.  Time to cut off the money.

Poppies can be grown as well, but the synthetics are dominant, and there is probably no need.

ps.  for the moralists, there is nothing more deadly than concentrated THC, which will be legal soon.  It will fight the opiates.

First big snowstorm for Toronto

This was caused by a very small bump in the Atlantic equatorial winds.

This map shows hot, moist air.  All of our weather events are from this.  Although we will be very cold, we will get snow from little bumps in the Atlantic stream.  As the winter goes on, the whole stream moves South.  The top map is Intellicast radar.

Wednesday, November 14, 2018

Arctic in full, glorious freeze

You'll have to take my word for it, since nobody tracks these things, that the top of the map (Alaska) was always warm from Pacific winds.  Not now.  That's why we were losing Arctic ice volume.

Now, everything is happy, happy.

ps.  We're pretty well losing all our Atlantic heat.  The UK is getting hit with one more warm plume, but they keep bitchin' about another Beast from the East.  Sorry guys, it's the lack of heat from the west that will freeze you.

Natural gas is over the 3 year mark

There isn't enough natgas in the US NE for our coming ice age.  Naturally, I had predicted this surge in prices for last year.  :)  People who followed my advice would have lost their shirts.

This is the 3 month futures price.  By that time, all the natgas storage would have been used up.  Judging by the Oklahoma earthquakes, there has been almost no activity this year with NE gas fracking.

This is the face of the Ice Age....

ps.  We can easily ascribe the carbonista movement to evil conspiracy, but I have tracked it and it's just the usual stupidity.  Nasa isn't smart enough for conspiracy, look at their rocket.  And the Russians have just threatened to shoot their rocket builders.  Nasa should do the same.  :)  It's so effective, my old company used to do it all the time.

pps.  Scientifically, evil conspiracy is nearly impossible, and has never been a force in history.  Willful Ignorance is the major force.  Stalinists like trumpy are loners, wanting to surround themselves with simpering idiots, and they shoot anybody who is an internal threat to the crown.

moreps .. Can you imagine any famous scientist, university, or government body ever saying:  "Hey, you know that thing we've been pushing for 20 years?  Completely wrong.  You wasted a trillion dollars for nothing.  Isn't that hilarious?"  The late J. Tuzo Wilson was the last scientist who would willingly demolish his latest pet theory.

Tuesday, November 13, 2018

California is in its 7 year drought pattern

This is the standard pattern for California in-between El Ninos.

I saw this for years before the last super-El Nino.  I was in California just before it hit.  Everything was horribly dry.  No fires because everything had been burnt before.  Then came the rains for a long time.  My son had lots of rain on his trip to California.

The vegetation loves rain and sprouts up at a tremendous rate.  Then we get this standard pattern again.  Nothing to do with any 'climate change'.  This is their standard climate.  The statements 'worst fires in my lifetime' are meaningless.  It's like 'worst earthquake in my lifetime'.

So, now that the polar bears are fine, we need a new poster-child.  So naturally, we can extrapolate that soon the whole world will burn like this.  "This is the face of climate change."

Note:  Standard boiler plate on this chart, which I write new each time.  The chart is the MIMIC product which shows warm moist air that can form rain when it hits cold air.  All our moisture comes from these coloured plumes spinning off from the equatorial bands.  No nice colours, no rain.  The California fires will just have to burn out, as they have for millennia.  Sucks for all the 'nouveau riche' in the mountains.  The old guys knew to stay away.

Monday, November 12, 2018

Polar Bears Overpopulating


Let's go with the Inuit hunters on this, shall we?  Not leftie scientists who want to prop up carbon warming.  The ice is fine, polar bears are fine, and now they are hunting humans, just for the fun of it.

But we know where this is leading......  I need a nice polar bear rug.  :)

Sunday, November 11, 2018

Legalize Physics in Ontario

In many places, like Montreal and the UK, basic physics is a Class One forbidden drug.  But in Ontario, we can legalize physics, not the Aristotle kind, but Galileo.  That means experimenting with sacred Aristotle assumptions. 

For our Made in Ontario Climate Solution, I have asked for for 1% of 1% of the trillion dollars gone down the drain in the name of carbon reduction.  Physics could be legal again, or at least talked about while we freeze.

It is sad for us in Ontario that billions have gone wasted.  Think of the Niagara Tunnel to Nowhere.  Think of all those solar cells up in Huntsville, under 10 feet of snow.  It is a fact that we are rounding over our little warm period.  At least, we if use a 10 year sliding window average, we are well below the carbon projections.

With that tiny bit of money, we'll engage Sudbury to do experiments in Moosonee.  We need crisp, cold air.  I propose a large hybrid drone attached to a balloon.  Lots of freekin' lasers!  On a calm evening, as often as possible, we launch it.  With the balloon, the drone goes up to 50,000 feet.  Lasers are measuring CO2 attenuation.  The balloon detaches, and the drone falls in a stable manner to 5,000 feet.  Lots of measurements.  Then the drone flies back to base. 

There are many simple experiments that can be done with this.  The drone can carry a big, reusable package.  This is much better than NASA balloons, which don't measure squat.

In fact, it will be fun to ask nasa advice.  They'll be in a difficult position.

Saturday, November 10, 2018

Made in Ontario Climate Plan


Please contribute your ideas to the climate plan It would be best if you were Extreme Left Wing Totalitarian about it.  Tell Doug he has to become a vegan.

I wanted to do something, but no.

ps.  little problem with the links, ha.  very weird.

pps.  I submitted this

Please assign a small amount of money to the basic physics of Climate Change.  The concept of 'carbon warming' was put out as a conjecture, and no physics was done to measure it exactly.  It was justified by the continued rise of global temperatures, and an extrapolation was made in the computer models, based on an assumed 'carbon factor'.  For some time now, global temperatures have sagged below this line, and are flat.  The Arctic ice volume is increasing.  This factor needs to be measured directly for future planning purposes, since the old projections are invalid.  Ontario is in an unique position, being a northern area, and can easily measure a greenhouse effect using lasers and balloons.

more-- full details here.

Thursday, November 8, 2018

Cold for the North

You saw how the Northern Hemisphere temps plunged.  There is no heat for us.  That hot July was just default weather, now we have our default cold weather.

ps.  Isn't that a sight for sore eyes...

ps.  My adoring fan, Penny, has asked for more explanation of the imagery.  She is also of the opinion that someone else actually reads this.  :)  The first image is a satellite compilation MIMIC of precipitable air.  You can read all the gory details, I haven't.  That means the air is carrying a lot of water vapour and it is warm.  If it hits cold air, then it will rain.  A drop of water carries 4000 times more heat energy than a drop of air.  This 'heavy' air is probably carrying a thousand times more heat than dry air.  All our weather comes from these plumes of heavy air branching out from the ocean.

If we don't get plumes, we get 'default' climate, which is a cold desert, latitude dependent.  Thus Ontario would be Mongolia, and the UK, the Gobi desert.  Super hot in July, -40 in the winter.  My son in Silicon Valley gets 25 C every day, and 15 at night.

The second image is radar, modified by temperature.  Thus, they show snow as bluish.  The radar can't really tell the difference.

pps.  I had to go out in this.  The November of my childhood - a cold sog, perfect for solar and wind power to rust.  :)

There never was any warming in Antarctica

This is the RSS plot of the southern polar regions, since 1980 up to the present.  You can look at the original below, I just zoomed it up a bit.

So, all those sob stories about the Anarctic melting are ridiculous.  The glaciers are enjoying a surge, which causes a lot of ice to break up in the ocean.  I still predict another year of intense carbonista articles until they lose their audience.  The political spectrum is a circle, with trumpies and English Majors joining at the bottom.

ps.  explanation -- This is the temperature variation from an arbitrary mean.  Thus, the zero line is really some average temperature.  Then they amplify it to fill the chart.  The temperatures are taken from satellite observations, and was fully accepted by the carbonistas when it was rising.

US natural gas recognizes coming ice age

We're talking a micro ice age, a twenty year cycle, sure as clockwork.  I would be sad if we broke through to a mini ice age, 300 year cycle.

Last year the US nearly ran out of natgas.  This year it will for sure.  But this action is too late for increased supply in the NE mountains.  They are at freeze-up, when you can't frack any more with fresh water.  As well, I get the impression that the pipelines are full, that you can't get more gas to the customer.

We're okay in Canada.  Too much natgas and pipeline capacity.  But there may be diversions to the US that might put up the price a bit.  Perhaps trimpy should put on a tarrif....

ps.  I had thought that 3.0 was the price to start up Oklahoma earthquakes again.  This is way past that, but too late for the season.

Wednesday, November 7, 2018

Drat - Global temps do not plummet

Staying steady.  Here is my amplification.

Still propped by those micro El Ninos but still below their trend which is way below the carbon hypothesis trend.  Accounts for the Arctic ice volume increase, but I was hoping for so much more....

ps.  Ha!  Mid-latitude northern hemisphere has had a drop, but it is generally fuzzier, but I'll trumpy-take it!

pps.  global temps are cresting the sinusoid.  :)

Pacific current flows like El Nino, but no heat

This is fascinating, and I'm still waiting the global temps.  Since the Arctic ice volume is up, I expect global temps (gt) to be down. 

Although the reverse current is chugging along, there is no heat pooling by Central America.  As well, the 'official' El Nino (en) index (ONI) is showing nothing.  gt is very sensitive to these things and there have been a whole bunch of minor en's buggering up the general fall.

The large El Ninos herald a new cooling or warming cycle.  1997 was huge, and started the last twenty years of nice weather at the cottage.  2017 (20 years later) brings us the crash, and 2017 had more energy.  I'm thinking that these things start and stop the North Pacific current, like a big heart zapper.  Right now, the patient is dead.  :)

I'm going to have to send those global temps guys a note to reboot their computer.

Arctic Ice Volume Staying in the Pack

It's doing well.  As we know from the news, the barges couldn't get in to the Arctic communities because things stayed iced in.

It's starting to cut in again, and I'm expecting that it will really zoom up now.  We can now say that the 'Great Arctic Ice Disaster' is truly over.

Tuesday, November 6, 2018

A kinder, gentler social Internet


I'm not that optimistic.  Every social effort on the Internet has dragged people down into the gutter.  It becomes dominated by the bad actors who have an agenda, and make money from being rotten.  Nobody gets money for being postive.

Google made all it's money from the sleaziest, scammiest ads ever.  Amazon makes all its money from sleaze with their cloud service.  And we know all about Facebook.  The Internet makes the British tabloids look good.  Even Fox has had enough with Trump.  And Twitter is a bane on Civil Society.

The problem is that all the wonderful intentions of Mr. Tim need money.  I had proposed 'Canadabis Plus'  funded by the Canadian cannabis industry.  This could be great.  I would add daily draws for juice for positive people.  The extremes of left and right need not apply.

And I'm wondering about ads.  Is there an ad that is any good?  If we could rip apart ads on C+ would they pay us any money?  My experience with getting money out of Google tells me no.  

Perhaps gov't would pay, but they are severely constrained by the 'opinion of the day'.  If there is a twitter-storm about something that someone objects to, then the weaklings react.  How would Trudy react to my request for more physics on the Carbon Hypothesis?

In short, I'm asking Google, Amazon, Canadabis to give me lots of money and I'll think of something.  :)  

ps.  Ha, I am an intellectual depressive.  Doing anything like this means you have to fight stupidity.  And I can't do that.  I would need a battery of 'stupidity fighters', and I couldn't keep them together.

Toronto housing stagnant

Not much news here.  Prices 20% down from peak.  My impression is that monster houses are down 30%.  Condos flat, and prices may be down.  I think people are still holding on, but interest rates are going up, and Amazon isn't coming here.

My thoughts are that housing cannot stay flat.  It either goes up or down.  So, I am still expecting more of a drop. 

Monday, November 5, 2018

Give the horses in Montreal a break


Ever see these horses going through traffic, hauling the fat tourists?  It's the same as donkeys on the Greek islands, american tourists are getting fatter and fatter.  Two seats on the airplane!

I can't stand the thought of it!  Where is Pam?

However, I have a solution - The Geofish Phoney Electric Car Company.  We'll make modern versions of antique electric cars, put in a tesla battery, 4 wheel drive, and watch it take Montreal traffic.

There it is, 0-60 in 8.4 seconds on 'Ridiculous Mode'.  Takes any degree of fatness.  Might even show Doug Ford a good time.  :)  No unemployment with sending the horsies out to pasture.

Linux - amdgpu is quite solid with 4.20 rc1

Although 4.18 was working, it took me 3 tries to boot, and I could never just restart.  This new kernel acts like the ryzen 5 is a real processor.

ps.  playing d1x-rebirth which is a Descent clone.

pps.  the kde power saver (screen off) still mucks everything.

Nasa lets slip that the Antarctic has become extremely cold again


Still, two more days for the charts, but this is interesting.

They make a ton of inferences, but they let slip that we are back to the 70's temperature-wise and the ozone holes should be back.  However, their heroic efforts to substitute chlorine with flourine has won the day.

ps.  nasa could never have the headline 'Ozone Hole Worse than Ever', yet they have a monopoly on measuring it.  We should be happy for this little slip-up by the pr department.  :)

Sunday, November 4, 2018

Linux - games and x-box controller

Neat, I got back an old xbox controller from the kids.  You just plug it in and it works.  I'm trying freedink, which is an old 1997 game that has been completely rewritten in modern standards.  The effort was amazing.  All those old pc games are practically machine code.

However, I am rather slow on the fighting part, so I hope the controller helps me.  I could never do the 'two things at once' requirement of the ps3 and other units.  I always got killed in the first 5 minutes.

Friday, November 2, 2018

Severe Canadabis Shortage



You can't get any, come hell or high water.  This makes it technically impossible to grow your own under lights.  The plants should be ready in 2 months.

But, you can't buy seeds legally!  That's because the growers would be nuts to sell you seeds right now.  They need every one to grow more stuff.  As well, any plants grown for seeds have to isolated, and you have to waste space on male plants.

However, you can buy these great 'Souvenier Beads' from Crop King Seeds (look it up).  Hurry up before they sell out.  I buy them and put them on the wall for decoration.  :)

As I've said, I prefer 'Hash Plant' decorative seeds, feminized.  This gives a nice powerful oil as good as anything you can buy.  You can view my video.

Thursday, November 1, 2018

Linux - when updates go wild

Once a year you might do a standard update and find it wants to remove hundreds of files that make your kde run.  I've always waited a day, but today I was in a perverse mood and said yes. 

It destroys your desktop, and when you try to do a console reinstall, it can't find anything.  This is a result of your Debian mirror going nuts when it is receiving new updates.  It takes half a day to work again.  Then you just reinstall your kde.

Better still, just ignore it for a day.  :)