Wednesday, November 14, 2018

Natural gas is over the 3 year mark


There isn't enough natgas in the US NE for our coming ice age.  Naturally, I had predicted this surge in prices for last year.  :)  People who followed my advice would have lost their shirts.

This is the 3 month futures price.  By that time, all the natgas storage would have been used up.  Judging by the Oklahoma earthquakes, there has been almost no activity this year with NE gas fracking.

This is the face of the Ice Age....


ps.  We can easily ascribe the carbonista movement to evil conspiracy, but I have tracked it and it's just the usual stupidity.  Nasa isn't smart enough for conspiracy, look at their rocket.  And the Russians have just threatened to shoot their rocket builders.  Nasa should do the same.  :)  It's so effective, my old company used to do it all the time.

pps.  Scientifically, evil conspiracy is nearly impossible, and has never been a force in history.  Willful Ignorance is the major force.  Stalinists like trumpy are loners, wanting to surround themselves with simpering idiots, and they shoot anybody who is an internal threat to the crown.

moreps .. Can you imagine any famous scientist, university, or government body ever saying:  "Hey, you know that thing we've been pushing for 20 years?  Completely wrong.  You wasted a trillion dollars for nothing.  Isn't that hilarious?"  The late J. Tuzo Wilson was the last scientist who would willingly demolish his latest pet theory.


5 comments:

Penny said...

Good Morning Mr. Geofish

If you could? And I would appreciate it!

http://pennyforyourthoughts2.blogspot.com/2018/11/sunspot-activity-is-at-record-low.html

What do you think about this news of reduced/non existent sunspot and colder atmosphere along with more cosmic radiation?
You've referenced the next cold period coming? And your much more science minded then myself..., so, please share some thoughts and I will come back to read
Again, I thank you in advance :)

Harold Asmis said...

I put in a comment on your blog. We all need to calm down and do experiments. :)

Penny said...

Hi Harold

Agree on the calming down part- But hasn't there been a pile of 'experiments' already done? ie: Modelling?

Here's my response:

Harold AsmisNovember 14, 2018 at 9:26 AM

The sunspot cycle doesn't really line up with the temperatures on the ground. I have found it lines up more with the major ocean currents. However, this is always an excuse for more measurement physics. Nasa is too tied up with their philosophy to do experiments that might prove them wrong. Both extremes never want to set up a hypothesis that can fail. We can apply the Scientific Method to this whole thing at one millionth the cost of all these failed climate efforts.
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Replies
PennyNovember 14, 2018 at 9:49 AM

Thanks for your input Harold.:)

"The sunspot cycle doesn't really line up with the temperatures on the ground."

Can you be more specific? From the information above it seemed there would be some affect on ground temps- though not one source stated how much the effect would be?

"I have found it lines up more with the major ocean currents"

How so? btw: I had still more information on the el nino and how it's contributing to snow in texas and drought in California..


" Nasa is too tied up with their philosophy to do experiments that might prove them wrong."

I would agree with that!

"We can apply the Scientific Method to this whole thing at one millionth the cost of all these failed climate efforts."

Some would argue the modelling is science. I'm less inclined to think that is so...
Modelling appears to be as good or as bad as the data input.

Just wanted you to know your answer just gives me a pile more questions!
My husband says I think too much- LOL
Thanks again :)

Harold Asmis said...

My wife says the same thing. Modelling follows 'garbage in garbage out'. Nearly all modelling is a circular argument. You can call it 'science', but I have called it 'Aristole's Philosphy Science'. It is cheap, and can never be proven wrong. That is why everybody does it.

Basic physics deals with the forces of Nature, constants, and relationships. Crazy conspiracy guys like trumpy should put their money where their mouth is, and do experiments. I find that all these arguments like on your blog, or the carbonistas follow the Birther Movement. :) This doesn't advance society.

Penny said...

Understand what your saying about not advancing society..

That said the down playing of the sun's affect on our planet by the AGW promoters, imo, needs rebuttal because it is out of touch with reality.

I like your wife's thinking :)