Wednesday, September 23, 2026

Tracking the Nor-Easter

 This is pure mechanics.  Fun stuff.


The planar wind shear has created a vortex.  Note that it is now the same size as the phoney hurricane they were dooming about.  Although the winds are high, they are nothing to write home about.  That vortex will be the killer.

Right now, the Arctic air looks so powerful that everybody will just freeze on the beach.  The vortex could stay out to sea until it dies of old age.  We will be able to chalk this up to 'Good News From Physics'.  or not.


So far, absolutely no heat energy blasting out from Mr. Super.  We still wait.

ps just a little hook of the warm blob left in the Nino zone.  Next week, a big fall.


You can see the nice hook, but the 3d picture may change



Tuesday, September 22, 2026

Basic Physics - The Anatomy of a Nor-Easter

 


Nothing more feared than this, mainly because it is more common than a big hurricane.  This is all due to climate change, blah, blah, but that has no specific mechanism.  If you want more fun, go to physics.

The energy of a storm is due to temperature difference.  Climate change is supposed to be defined as a broad warming all over, if it is ever defined.  Does not increase storms.


Here it shows we are going to have a big difference, especially when that weather, which is freezing Toronto, moves down.  We have pure Arctic air up against pure tropical air.


We can see the very intense collision front.  The NE air is coming down very hard.  The tropical air just hangs around.  The name is due to the cold air, but it would be impossible without clange.  

The classic thing is to bring in the fishing boats.  This doesn't do much to sheltered harbours, I think.


Big Insider nat-gas play possible on prediction markets

 If I ever bet anything in my entire life, I would hit this.


A bearish medium-term factor for nat-gas prices is the market's expectation that a “Super El NiƱo” will bring warmer-than-normal temperatures to the Northern Hemisphere this fall and winter, reducing heating demand for nat-gas. 

Natgas is in the dumps because of the Godzilla El Nino.  That does not exist, in the physics, heat energy sense.  It exists in the hearts and minds of climate marxists.  They are expecting a mechanism of warmth when the Arctic ice is closing in.


There are no Pacific heat energy plumes crossing North America.  All Atlantic plumes are being generated just from the Gulf heat.


You can only make money on this 20% play if you have a few million in mad money for the prediction markets.  Buy me a coffee if it works.

For my real readers who can't rub two looneys together, this would all be consumed in admin fees, etc.  I qualify this to the yazoo - blah blah, if you lose money, it's on your own stupidity, blah blah.  My record for this is absolutely zero, since it all depends on timing, and betting against the stupids, who I don't understand at all.

By December, even the stupids may doubt the marxists, so the prediction is 20% by January.

The big money is Europe.  North American futures are determined by the Gulf of Maine.


The US tends to have the big spikes when Texas freezes over.  Really hard to time.