NOAA jumps in

 

Cottage report has hot weather, but not crushing.  We slept well.  Lots of deer flies.

Philippine Earthquake - Part 3

 Every 70 years or so we have a Definitive Learning Earthquake, and I think this is the one for this century.  The first was the famous 1906 San Francisco earthquake, but all the wrong lessons were learned from this one.  Then the San Fernando earthquake of the 1970's, and this one.  Each had a huge effect on the earthquake world.

You can see the perfect source, and the predicted intensity.  

The reported intensities match the predicted.  All we need are peak ground velocities, and the scene is laid for advances.  The intensities, or damage, line up with peak ground velocity, a million times better than measured acceleration.  PGA has no physics for damage, so throw that out in the garbage.  All the standard earthquake engineers are all PGA, so that says something.

If somebody can hack the government and get the PGV's we will have a full plate.  

All of this presents a new way of saving lives with regard to earthquakes.  The existing methods of having priesthoods with no concern for the people have failed.  Critical thinking by the consumer will save us, along with the Scientific Method.  Don't go protesting over this appalling death count at 20 cm/s.  Won't do anything.

-- next  I have my grandchildren over from California - lots of energy.

ps I have stopped my attack on the priesthoods.  They really want what's best for you.  I'm now getting direct paypal scams.  Neat.  Good-bye.

ps the other reason to quit is my number on the corruption index for earthquakes.  I saw a picture of the India earthquake and the entire neighbourhood was flattened, except for one concrete house, untouched in the middle.  That was ignorance.  Then there was the Armenia earthquake where every Soviet apartment building was a pile of dust, not even pancaking.  The closest to a 'high corruption' earthquake was Turkey, and that wasn't close to this, since they had some steel.  You could not investigate this earthquake without pissing a lot of people off.  That's why you won't see any analysis.  And I'm staying away.

ps also there are something like 60,000 people red-tagged.  The big problem is the same as Christchurch, in telling who can go back.  Lots of perfectly good buildings will collapse in the next earthquake, and this guy looks to have at least one.

Philippine Earthquake - Part 2

 The reason I wasn't interested in this earthquake, was that it was a 'Corruption Earthquake'.  That's when they make buildings like beach sand castles, and very low ground shaking comes along.  The lower the ground shaking, amid collapse, the greater the corruption.

Corruption is associated with the lack of transparency, and I find the authorities there take no flak from people.  I can't get any records.  Even in Guatemala they take earthquakes seriously and put in a lot of steel in their buildings.

The standard approach is to enact building codes, but they are useless, if not applied.  In these cases, I think consumer choice is important with transparency.  Would you pay more in rent, live with less room, or move out a bit, to have less chance of being killed?  How much?  Once a building is up, no authority can come along and say "This is a death trap!'.  They would get shot, and there is no 'concrete' proof.  

Obviously, you as people, should fight for 'less chance of death'.  However, this is a leftie thing, and therefore, totally useless.  You have to change the fundamentals, and use the Scientific Method, and physics for that.  Do not rely on influencers of any stripe.

- whoops, have to run.  Don't see any more coffees tinkling the tip jar.  Am I greedy?