Friday, July 17, 2026

Global air temperature drops

 


This is my best correlation to the concept of 'Is it generally warm or cold?'  When all the headlines scream 'Warmest year ever!'  there is no solid definition.  My hypothesis is that we are heading into a major ice cycle.  However, July is the same with a hot or cold world.

The true measure would be total heat energy.  Averaging temperature has no physics.  The Gulf Stream is dropping out of existence, and the heat blob in the Pacific is staying still and distorting sea temperatures.  Expect that our summer is over, and we'll have the old-school cool August.


Thursday, July 16, 2026

Have a smoke?

 The smoke map shows that the NW wind is carrying forest fire smoke to Toronto.  It's thick up at the cottage.  The wind is shifting to the NE from the Arctic so it will clear the smoke and end our summer.

The charts are all showing rapid cooling for the world.  All our heatwaves will stop getting media coverage because they are dead.  

The heat blob in the Pacific is solid again, showing we are carving through sections of a very irregular deep blob that slowly rises.  It has virtually no heat content.  The ocean currents are now showing a full reversal with no heat.  We truly have an El Nino, in all but heat.  However, there is no physics definition of the thing in terms of game physics, so we are dreaming.

I hope some sun gets through this smoke.

ps in the evening, the smoke has cleared out and it is getting cool.


Wednesday, July 15, 2026

Summer Sinks Same

 I am crippled without mimic, and it might be dead forever.  Trumpy has thrown out the physics baby with the bathwater of warminess.  

The Arctic is spinning again, and northern air is going to wipe out our one-day heatwave.  Made for some good headlines.  


This has always been a good chart for me.  It has levelled out.


The Nino zone is gone.  The heat blob is a donut.  The Gulf Stream continues to fall.  Since I like it when I'm wrong, I'll let you know.