Wednesday, October 14, 2026

Bye bye warmth

 Will we get a tree-buster Halloween snow storm?  It's still 50-50.  


As usual, no plumes from the nino zone.  




The Arctic ignores the fantasy.  We continue to set up for a winter worse than last year.

ps as usual, they blame every type of weather thing on ninnie, and here is the first time we get 'Extreme cold caused by el nino'



Tuesday, October 13, 2026

Hurricane leftovers are still strong

 Today's story is about the hurricane who wouldn't die.



You can see that there is still a vortex and it is pumping warm air up to Toronto.  Soon to die against the implacable Arctic forces.



I am glad my readership has gone back to near zero, because now we look at something complex.


The world air temperatures have a hook.  This has always indicated a warming event for me.  But it's only for the S Hemi.


It is universally acknowledged, by me, that an intense rainy zone cannot transmit heat energy to the world.  That is a closed loop, heat energy goes up, and it goes down.  The only time you get heat energy, is if there is a spur of hot water, and no rain.  Then you get the nice plumes.  This is happening right now for that left-over garbage zooming down south, and mucking with the Pacific cold feed.  For for intense heat transfer, you can see little vortexes pumping out the heat.  This spur barely qualifies.

The world sea surface temps and the nino zone continue their bitscoin fall.


Monday, October 12, 2026

Nino zone starts the collapse

 Big money on this.


Let's see - The Lefty Loonies, or the Crazy Guy.

For a month now, I have been tortured by a heat blob lingering on the edge of the Nino zone.  It keeps rotating like a dead pig in the river, and it should have gone south.


That's the zone, and the blob is teetering on the edge.


I'm calling it now that the party is over.  Or not.  Anyway, I'm getting in some practice for when it really happens.  


Those blobs are going down SE.  That big red smear south of the equator is the leftovers of 2023-24, in a big warm garbage pit.  It is now running into the main feed from the south.  That has warmed things up.  Their big splotch anomaly is caused by having a severe cold upwelling in the base map.  However, it meshed perfectly with the change of feed, and it was all the same, until this warm water came in.

Anyway, although we get weird charts out of this, we are not hitting the 'magic point' of 30 plus degrees, to initiate massive heat transfer to the atmosphere.  Nothing is happening.

If that graph continues to fall, then I'll gloat.  

ps I remember this was one of our scenarios for nuclear power plants.  Under extreme conditions, the outflow from the reactors (hot water) would curve around and get sucked into the cold water intake.  That's why we put diffusers on the Darlington outflow.