I'm finally tracking the movement of the Pacific heat blob, otherwise called El Nino, and it isn't moving at all.
It changes shape every day. Beautiful dancing.
If we go by the current, then it was perfectly bisecting at this spot, and now the bottom stream is dry. We get no heat from this current, but a huge anomaly because it is going over a zone that is usually very cold. A slightly warm current gives a huge signal. That's why it is always good to look at several charts, and not the only one that confirms your beliefs.
This current does not budge the heat blob, so I conclude it is a very thin current that is letting the infra-red from the blob through. The dancing is caused by the blob being shaved like cheese for the pasta.
There will be no heat shift usually caused by this El Nino. I can't say there will be 'No Ellie' because it has no physical definition, and is just a fantasy. The snowing Gulf Stream will have 10 times the effect.
ps this is fun. How will they end it when nothing happens?






