Friday, August 14, 2026

Columbia earthquake shows stringy steel

 This is more like the Turkey earthquake with thin steel here and there.


This is the type of picture I look for, with an equally decrepit building undamaged right beside it.  I am still estimating 20 to 40 cm/s but they have a history of earthquakes.  That means a lot of the older buildings may have been 'softened'.  

The older buildings are expected to fail.  This is not as corrupt as Vennie, with many obviously modern buildings not having a scrap of steel.  You can never find pictures of modern buildings with steel.

ps I would call this Christchurch.

ps neat, they are calling 20 cm/s as the max in a small area.  It was mostly 10 cm/s  I still can't find the records.  




Finally they come up with a measure

 


We have a test!  So far it has been all blah blah, with no measure.  

The hypothesis is:

A historic El Nino will come, on par with 1997, and 2016.  It will elevate the autumn temperatures in the equivalent of the difference with the historic events.  That is, we are looking at the degree of change, irrespective of the instrumental drift seen in the temperature records.  It will be noticeable and remarked upon by the common people.

This should eliminate the endless tricks.  The opposite is that nothing will happen, and it will be colder than ever.  Then the hypothesis fails.

To make me happy, the Arctic Vortex has moved out of the Penalty Box, and is taking its place to occupy the full basin.  Nothing warm happens with that.


Look at the little baby tomorrow!  Can they muddy the waters with pinpoint one-day heatwaves?

ps after the last snow melts next Spring, they have a low misery index, and I have a high one.  They can't muck with that!

ps remember that their degree of mucking has reached 'record' levels


Fine August Weather

 The typhoons have shoved some warm air up into the Arctic.  The Arctic Vortex has been pushed into a corner.



The world is cool except for a tiny little spot, and the media will make the best of it.  Had we a real Ninnie going on, the Pacific plumes would be back, sweeping over NA.  No sign of that.


A random patch in the North Atlantic is falling in temperature.  The mini-blobs continue to hit the Nino zone, but this has had no effect on world heat.  We are freezing in spite of that.


Europe gets its rain from heavy plumes hitting the Arctic air.  Those light plumes are dry.  There is a nice heavy plume coming in, but it will die, like all the rest.  Big droughts are a hallmark of the Major Ice Cycle, and if you take 10% of the Little Ice Age weather, you can continue to call it Climate Change, until the cows come home.

In all the world, the only people who do well in such a cooling cycle are us, in Toronto.  We shall grow huge cedar forests again, like BC.  And have 10 foot snow.  The rest of the world is screwed.

And you think, wow, if only people knew this was coming, they could build greenhouses instead of windmills, and grow medicinal plants.  

ps whoops, video!


There's the poor Arctic Vortex, a wallflower, afraid to dance.  

ps and the funniest headline of the day


The guy doesn't learn anything!