Saturday, October 17, 2026

A magnificent dry clipper

 


This is a full Arctic sweep of M8.  That tiny bit of moist air comes from a very weak Pacific plume.  In fact, there are no northern pacplumes at all right now.  The little bit of heat from an old warm water blob has left the building.


Just a little pimple of water that is close enough to emit, but it is under rain.  Everything else is dead.


No snow for us, because we are dry.  We have to lose another 10 degrees to suck up snow from the lakes.  The Arctic Vortex has shot its load, and will need to recharge.  The natgas people are going to be quite 'shocked, shocked' by this weather.

Since there is nothing dramatic expected, I shall hibernate again.  


Friday, October 16, 2026

The mechanics of a real heating event

 By questioning the AI, I found there is a non-linear relationship with heat transfer in the ocean to the atmosphere.  Mainly, at 28C, it may start a little, and rises exponentially to over 32C.  This limits the maximum temperature of the ocean surface.  

Right now, the phoney El Nino has not reached that temperature, and is not heating the world.  Of course, anything can happen in the future, even with no heat energy, as according to the fantasy-sellers.

But now I add another condition.  The water must be moving.  I am not counting typhoons and hurricanes as they are great injectors of heat energy into the atmosphere, but I don't think they are the main mechanism.


This is a picture, of warm, moist air.  The myth-makers call the plumes 'atmospheric rivers, but they only dump water when encountering cold air.  A big miss for these guys.


We combine this with the rain maps.  That big spur on the lower half is our main heater right now.  It shows only in the S Hemi map.


Nothing for we the north.


Smooth as Trump's lies.  The big topography at the beginning of the year was all those heat blobs passing through.  They have now accumulated down south, and form our heater.


You must now combine water temp and rain.  It is my testable contention that heavy rain is a perfect heat shield.  Water vapour goes up, and then rains down.  No loss of heat energy.  However, if the water is moving, you can get heat transfer and powerful plumes.  That one is going right away from the heating zone on the MIMIC map.  

In the old days, a really powerful heating zone seemed to have many micro-vortexes, seen on the mimic.  We won't see any of those for 300 years.


Trump fiddles with the Starlink switch

 Yeah, Trump has decided not to be called a 'blood-thirsty dictator' and will not live-stream shooting a guy in a wheelchair.  He is, however, blinking the starlink off and on for Ukraine, thus killing a lot of them.

He thinks he'll get a few more votes by trading lives for diesel.


I do hope his supporters can afford driving their monster-trucks to the polling stations.