This is actually the State of the Oceans - Feb 10, 2026. It tells us how we are going to be in the next few months. Heat transfer by the oceans is thousands of times greater than air. Think of a little fan in a water-cooled Artie data centre. Of course, the final stage of cooling is forced convection. With the Earth, most of our cooling is out of the poles.
Our biggest engine for the water portion is the Pacific Ocean. The Atlantic is a weeny side-show. Water is shipped around by convection in the ocean. The currents are driven by convection, not the air, which is the biggest weather-person myth. Our continents also move around by convection of the mantle, and not by Trump's Will.
There's nothing going on here. Our biggest influence is that warm blob in the South Pacific, but the effect is minor.
I like looking at the Gulf Stream, but that is just a little fun on the side. The UK keeps blaming the weather on the Jet Stream -- good for them!
We have had a little heating event in the West Pacific, starting the same as the huge 2024 heating event, but just a baby compared to that.
The more meaningful water temperatures show almost no effect. I always go with water temps since they even out little blips.
Just a little while ago, when that blip was rising, all the current in the W Pacific was reversing. For the monster heating event of 2024, we had a huge current disruption, and I wish I recorded it. Anyway, it will be seen one day when people start doing physics.
In summary, there is nothing stopping our major ice cycle from playing out to historic levels. We'll make the Little Ice Age look like a skating party. However, I still predict that the lip-flappers will continue to convince people that we are getting warmer. I find they are an 'unrestrained Trump' since they don't have to use charts any more. No chart can be found that agrees with them, unlike phoney viewer numbers for the trumpy sad half time show.
