Philippine Earthquake - Part 2

 The reason I wasn't interested in this earthquake, was that it was a 'Corruption Earthquake'.  That's when they make buildings like beach sand castles, and very low ground shaking comes along.  The lower the ground shaking, amid collapse, the greater the corruption.

Corruption is associated with the lack of transparency, and I find the authorities there take no flak from people.  I can't get any records.  Even in Guatemala they take earthquakes seriously and put in a lot of steel in their buildings.

The standard approach is to enact building codes, but they are useless, if not applied.  In these cases, I think consumer choice is important with transparency.  Would you pay more in rent, live with less room, or move out a bit, to have less chance of being killed?  How much?  Once a building is up, no authority can come along and say "This is a death trap!'.  They would get shot, and there is no 'concrete' proof.  

Obviously, you as people, should fight for 'less chance of death'.  However, this is a leftie thing, and therefore, totally useless.  You have to change the fundamentals, and use the Scientific Method, and physics for that.  Do not rely on influencers of any stripe.

- whoops, have to run.  Don't see any more coffees tinkling the tip jar.  Am I greedy?

 

Someone bought me a coffee! - Philippine Earthquake

 

My surge of viewers was legitimate.  Seems from the map of viewers is that everyone is from an earthquake zone, and is interested in not dying.

I'm not proud, I'll be an organ monkey, and will produce with the clink of coffees in my jar.

First off, I do earthquakes with physics and the Scientific Method.  I am always right in the long term, as the odds take hold.  If you flip a coin and get three heads in a row, it is the Influencer Thing to say that you will continue to flip heads (legit coin).  That's because they love a linear extrapolation.  That is a death trap, because if we know the physics of a coin flip, we know the long odds will come true.

It's the same with earthquakes, we deal with the long odds.  Your job, to live, is to reduce those long odds.  The big problem is that it takes a long time for the odds to hit, and you get a lot of 'snake oil' people going the wrong way on earthquake engineering, without basic physics.

This is a classic picture.  Note the destruction and the building right behind doesn't have a cracked window.  Lots of death, beside - ho-hum!  That is the fun of 20 cm/s.  The building behind would need 80 cm/s to start tilting.

These are modern structures so what happened?

Can you count the number of steel bars in this column?  Right -- Zero!  In nearly all the destruction pictures, I can't find any steel.

No steel means 'Pancakes on the House!' or "The House is a Pancake!'.  No chance to survive.

- to be continued after a coffee break.

Arctic is still a player

 

In order to get the hot stagnant summer of our dreams, we need the Arctic to calm down.  It is not cooperating. It is difficult for those wanting to take pictures to prove Climate Change.

Still no coffees, so that whole 'popularity' thing was FB people who get paid to make comments on FB groups that have nothing to do with them.  Good to see FB is destroying itself.