Tuesday, July 23, 2019

Linux - kernel 5.3.0 rc1 - regression - no usb keyboard

So, don't try this one until rc2.  My logitech usb keyboard was dead.  I even changed the batteries.  But I went back to the old kernel and everything worked.  youknowho better take his stress pills.  :)

Monday, July 22, 2019

Farewell to Hong Kong


I was lucky that I worked in a time when Hong Kong led the world.  All my bosses came from HK.  It was bright and innovative.

Now China is seeking the 'peace of the dead', and it is hiring the triads to do it.  It's the ultimate 'the end justifies the means', which means if you want peace and quiet, you kill everybody.  All these riots are 'food riots' just like the Arab countries.  It means that you can no longer feed the populace. 

HK is going to become insipid, like Singapore, or China.  All their people are going to try to go to California.  Sad.


The End of July

Looks like 28C for another couple of weeks, then August 25C, going rapidly down to September 20C, etc.



Since we right on the edge of chaos, we might get more heatwaves.  But old man Winter is trying to attack us.  The old El Nino is dying.



The ice curve will tell us when the El Nino is dead.  It is starting to curve.  The winter before had the highest ice volume, but you can see in October it started to plunge in volume.  It is amazing that last winter's ice volume was still just below 2018, even with the El Nino. 

That tells us that when this EN dies, we will see one heck of a winter.  The ice volume will hit a new record.  All of the news will be silent, however, and we will only get selected irrelevant factoids.  Looking forward to it.

The garden is fantastic right now.  We are freezing a heck of a lot of beans. 



Retail Apocalypse Hits Canadian Tire

So, I wanted to get bathroom, rv toilet, and fishing stuff right away.  Can't go to ammie, which had a huge selection.  I went up to the local CT.  They are in one of their 'despair' phases, which means that nothing was in stock.  Went away with nothing, and had to order on ammie anyway.

The retail sector starts to cut down on stocking, and then employees.  Once in while they get a fire under their feet and pour money down the hole, then everything is stocked.  But now they are dying.

This is called a vicious spiral, and it is exponential.  Expect to see it all go down the drain next year.  Only Shoppers will remain standing.


Friday, July 19, 2019

Cottage report July 19, 2019

This is the peak of the July heat wave.  Stagnant, Gulf air is over us.  High of 34 in the city.  Here it is wonderful.  The water is still cool, and the nights are cool, as well.  Horseflies are everywhere, but easy to kill and feed the fishies.

Not a nibble with my fishing, which is par for a heat wave.  Some people want me to work, but not going to happen....

ps


Yeah, let's blame that rotten jet stream for everything, even though it just a boundary effect between hot and cold.  It's angry at all the carbon being released, and will bring the ice age down on us.  The more we breathe, the colder it will get.

ps.  fun watching the daughter teaching her man how to windsurf without the centre board down.  When I finally mentioned it, he said to her 'I hate you."  Then he started right away with the keel down.  :)

pps  a major change in weather on Sunday.  The fish are biting again, but I didn't catch anything worth keeping.

more:  this is the warmest June ever.  I couldn't believe it since we are well below the peak warm month, but we are on a small El Nino rise and all the other Junes were in troughs.  Thus, the warmest June ever, but a highly misleading fact.  The other El Ninos did not peak in June.

mor2 - coming home Sunday, I saw that Toronto got like 6 inches of rain.  wow.

Thursday, July 18, 2019

Pumping saltwater on Antarctic ice sheets will save us

Reference


Yeah, pumping salt on ice is the best way to keep it from melting.  We Canadians know that.  Best leave basic physics out of this.


Wednesday, July 17, 2019

Fun in the press

Reference



The manuscript makes the extraordinary claim that human-made climate change does not exist in practice. But scientists who contributed to the scathing Climate Feedback analysis point out that the document cherry picks information and relies on circular reasoning.

This is hilarious to me, since that's what the warmies do constantly.  I now think we need 5 years of cold to shake this out.


Tuesday, July 16, 2019

Stagnant air makes it a July to remember

It's as I predicted.  Without strong tropical plumes moderating the temperature, we are at the mercy of stagnant air, and the solar flux.


Throw in a little bit of El Nino and we have something.  Note all the air is just swirling around.  This gives the warmies a happy time.


The UK isn't that hot.  The tabloids keep predicting a 3 month heat wave and it never happens.  Can't wait to see what happens in Aug-Sept.  They are getting cold.

Such fun.

**for another year or two the cold will be blamed on a 'wandering jet stream'.  Ha.

ps. just went blueberry picking at the cottage with 100% humidity and not a speck of breeze.  Biting flies everywhere, the dogs were huffing like steam engines.  Never again.


Compost facility composts its own roof

Reference

https://globalnews.ca/news/5490239/edmonton-compost-waste-council-plan/



This is hilarious.

El Nino comes back at us again

This past year there has been an almost continuous small El Nino.  Just when you think it's dead, it pops up again.


This shows the Pacific reversing again.


This shows the huge reversal temperature bump in the Pacific.


This is the bottom of the ENSO ONI index table.  You can see it is in the red for a long time, but a fraction of 2016.  This is the El Nino that never ends!  It's also the reason why the global temps have bumped up again.  The Arctic ice volume continues on a steep summer dive.

ps.  also, the Atlantic belt is pumping warm water up north again, so we might not be into such a big freeze as I thought.

Saturday, July 13, 2019

Nuclear waste studies continue

Reference




Nobody knows as much about the rock mechanics of waste storage, as myself.  Yeah that it is all being ignored, because this is all a political exercise.  The unfortunate part is that all the northern granite was glaciated with no cover.  That means high-pressure water was injected everywhere, and this had the effect of cracking the rock down to about one klick. 

Below this is the 'natural' stress of the rock which is so high that it cracks if you look at it.  They are fixated on a certain way of disposal because they printed up all the literature, and it's wrong.  However, it's something they have to go through.  Good luck.


Friday, July 12, 2019

Clear-Air Convection Strikes Again

Reference


In the 70's they used to study clear air convection.  They used lasers and found huge convection cells of very high velocity.  But all that was destroyed when the 'greenhouse gas' religion came to nasa.  Now they don't do a thing, because to admit to this type of convection is to cast doubt on the carbon hypothesis.

For there can be no greenhouse effect if you have convection.  It's like having no glass in your greenhouse.  Modern lidar could define all of this, but their last measurement had all the lasers pointed upward from the balloon, to look at upper convection.

With a little bit of physics behind it, airplanes could have lasers looking for this.  But, no, airplanes will continue to blunder into severe cells, and we'll call it 'turbulence'.

ps.  a clear-air convection cell is a dry thunderhead.  No plane goes into that.  But, as there are more planes in the air, we'll see more of this.

pps. OMG



Thursday, July 11, 2019

A thunderstorm at the cottage

They were very intense in the 70's cycle.  They would scare the heck out of you, and make the electricity box spark.  They could blow lightbulbs that weren't turned on.  Right now, one of these is coming in.  It is preceeded by strong winds. 

Once there was a tornado that came right at us.  The tornadoes were more common in the warm cycle of the last few decades.  It was like being under water.  The rain came at us horizontal from the lake.  Water poured in from the upper vent.  After, we saw several trees knocked down.

During the cold cycle, we never had tornadoes, but much more intense electricity.  Cottages would get burned down from lightning strikes.  I dread the whole change, and the dog is under the bed.  This one coming now is very small but very intense.


Wednesday, July 10, 2019

Cottage Report - July 10, 2019

This will go down in history as the finest cottage weather for more than 20-30 years.  The day is hot, the night is cold, and we have blueberries for the first time in 30 years.  This is enough to tide me over the harsh winter.

The fish aren't cooperating.  I looked down from the dock the other morning, and it was like a show aquarium.  There must have been 20 bass frollicking around, some really large ones.  All of them laughed at my bait.  My dock fish know all about me, and with the world's worst fishing dog, they get lots of warning when I cast.  She just has to bark each time. 

The charts all show me we are in a classic 70's Beta Block, which is what Percy the weatherman alway talked about.  Now, the warmies aren't happy with talking about 'The End of Civilization' now it's the 'End of All Life'.  Sheesh, don't they get enough money from the trudies?  My only hope in Ontario has gone all crazy with his vendettas.  No basic physics coming soon.


Saturday, July 6, 2019

LCBO has empty shelves

It looks like Dougie hit the wrong store.  Lots of empty shelves of stalwarts like vodka.  Everything is gone.

According to staff, it appears that the computer system for deliveries has gone wacko.  Trucks are going to the wrong places, and not showing up.  This is like the Fed payroll system, except it has a real effect on people.  And when it goes nuts at the Tax Dept.  it's sad when they don't give back your money.

Ammie leads with way with mundane issues of delivery and such.  I know that they put huge brains on it and paid them a fortune.  No bright person wants to work on stocking shelves.  So you can't get bright people to work on depressing stuff (in Canada), because you can't pay them more than an average programmer.  And startups in Canada never get any real money.

So, no vodka for you.  I'm sure they will never mention this unless it shows up on the news.

ps.  I guessed correctly - a gov't computer system.




Kern County earthquake is a fine New Madrid mechanism


First a thrust on the lower spur, then a larger strike-slip off the spur.  Next we'll have another large strike-slip on the other side of the thrust spur.

A classic compressive mechanism, all according to rock mechanics.  Our fav. busgus will be totally surprised.

Also, please note that all the earthquakes in the past 10 years have proven their 'early warning' system is useless.  However, they have to eat, and, so, make up an imaginary world, just like warmies.

ps.  Okay, here is the prediction



Now the busgus could be a bit more precise, but it looks like it won't bother too many people.

pps.  qualification -- if you believe this, instead of the busgus, you are nuts.

more: second quake a multiple because of places near collapse that could be fixed.  Best stay out of 70's highrises.


more:  The prediction window has closed.  It was a failed prediction.  Even if it happens tomorrow, it has failed.  It's just so unstable at this half-done point.  But if it happens 30 years from now, it will just in the background seismicity.  :(

Friday, July 5, 2019

Global temperatures are up, but North America crashes

I think that the warmies can use the global temperature plots again.  They prefer to use isolated pictures like a stupid duck eating a cigarette butt.


The global temps are rising!  But wait, the carbon hypothesis says that warming should be uniform.


The Northern mids are way down as anybody in the UK or Canada could tell you.  And US natgas is at almost zero because of this graph.



Look at that drop!  My tomatoes suffered for it.  But just tell the warmies they should go back to actual charts again, instead of endless 'models' that use the parameters from 10 years ago.

ps.  I had expected that the globals would go down again, but an oscillation of heat flow from north to south would be almost the same.  We really don't have a handle on previous cycles.


Toronto real estate limps along


The market is turning down in the hot weather, although the June weather was horrid.  Anyway, it limps, like bitcoin.  My friend is building a house up North in the middle of nowhere.  She sold her Toronto house right away with a 20% haircut over peak.  The buyers were a young couple thinking that a 20% was good.  Meanwhile, you look around and there are endless things being built.

The monster homes are at a 30% cut, and I think they will hit 50%, like Vancouver.  Everything should eventually settle to 20-50%.  In ten years it will start to rise again. 


Kern County earthquake, 1952

The recent earthquake in California is in the same general area as the famous Kern County earthquake of 1952.



This m6.4 was a shallow thrust earthquake.  The Kern County earthquake was a m7+.  That is probably the maximum for a shallow thrust.  A valley blind thrust can probably get to an 8.  These are the most deadly earthquakes ever, if there is a city on top of it.

That's because the 'hammer' of the thrust on the hanging wall can throw solid rock into the air.  Nothing can survive that.  All the other big earthquakes like a subduction m9 or a San Andreas m8 can never approach this type of peak ground velocity.

You can see the San Andreas takes a bit of jog at Kern County mainly because of extremely strong rocks.  That places the area into high compression.  Thus, every big earthquake in that area will have the same thrust mechanism.

Anyway, good trivial information.  :)

ps.  a bigger m7 strike-slip earthquake.  Since this is in strong rock with high compression, it resembles an eastern earthquake.  The busgus would have no clue.


Wednesday, July 3, 2019

Cottage Report July 3,2019

We are living in a stagnant July heat wave.  The lake has been still as a millpond all day.  All the ocean plumes are stuck.  This is the wonderful summer I predicted, but it will be short.  The water is cool now, and the nights are cool as well.  This is the most perfect weather for the cottage that I have seen for a long time.

When we had that warm spell sometimes it was so hot that the water was a bathtub, and you lay in sweat all night.  Not now.

Here are the rocks at sunset.  They glow red.  I can take the drone up now and not crash it.  It might last until my trip to the Seychelles.  Yeah! 


The bugs are at a reasonable level.  I can put up the shade tent on the dock, and I zap the horseflies with my super-heavy 7000 volt zapper.  They shrug it off, but it must give them a headache, since they fly away for a while. 


Tuesday, July 2, 2019

Figuring out the drone

Sometimes it's sad to be an old man with the reflexes of a slug.  This is especially true with a drone.



I realized that you can't use automatics when taking off from a high deck.  I've had many crashes but into the nice bush.  I can't use 4k when uploading in photos.  Here's a nice run where I landed it right.  Neato.

Whoops you have to download first.  blah.  Wait a minute.

Monday, July 1, 2019

How to make shit up

Reference



In future years, when we are freezing, we can warm up by the fire, reading how the warmies kept things going 3 years after the turn.  You can admire thier wonderful plot that stops at the peak of the 2017 El Nino.  It will be amazing how they focussed on melting events that happened 3 years ago.  How the town's prosperity depends on keeping the concept of 'seeing the last Arctic ice'.

These people can't imagine going back to the 1970's so they just ignore it.  Don't visit in the winter.


Sunday, June 30, 2019

Cold air ends our summer


I was expecting stagnant air which would give us a hot July.  But we are getting lots of cold air coming down on us.  At the cottage we call it 'working weather'.  Yuck.


Saturday, June 29, 2019

Self-Igniting Manure Will Kill Us All


In a new development for warmies, it has been projected that in the next 10 years we will all die of manure explosions.  These models are never questioned and use the stuff from 10 years ago.

There is no explanation of this model, nor what computer it ran on.  That's all.


The fish have all left the lake

So on the May long weekend, the fish were jumping into the boat.  We got stuffed on splake, then the weekend after, the neighbour family realized they liked splake.  I thought that was an absolute horror, since when would I get fish?  However, after that he got skunked all the time.  He can't catch a thing.

The lake is jam-packed with fish, but sometimes they get lots to eat.  So you can't catch anything.  I got two nibbles the other day.  Yeah!

Nice weather, not really that hot, but the water is still ice.  We only have a month to get really hot weather, then its back to winter.  Yuck.

ps  on the long weekend I caught a small bass to throw back.  Someone on the lake caught one of the 30 pound monster lakers.  Took him 30 minutes to bring it in. 


Ice melting curve shows we are having a nice hot summer


The current melting is following the inside of the curve.  Summer melt is so rapid and intense that all the curves come together at this point.  My hypothesis of an ice age would predict that the curve breaks out of the pack by August and stays above, which means thicker ice.  We'll get more stories about supply ships not getting into ports.

The warmie trend would be that the ice gets thinner and thinner.  That's not happening, and we'll never see that in the press.

All the predictions from my hypothesis have held so far.  Warmies -- zero.


Thursday, June 27, 2019

Enjoying July Heat

Here I am at the cottage enjoying the hot weather.  Due to a cold June, the water is ice cold, which is good for a 3 second dip.  The nights are still cool, due to the water.


This is our 'stagnant air' phase.  The big tropical plumes are avoiding us.  We get the full heat of a land-locked mass.  Yeah.

ps.  the UK is getting a one-day hit by a plume and they are going ga-ga over it.  :)


Saturday, June 22, 2019

Yeah, Bruce engineers want a better contract

Reference


I wish them the best of luck.  I know Bruce brings in consultants to do all the interesting stuff, like seismic.  The local engineers do the factory running.  Yuck.

This is the first time the Union has mentioned doing more interesting work.  They were always just into pay and such.  Must be really really boring up there.

I always did interesting stuff until the last 10 years of intellectual prison.  Happy efforts.

ps.  watch out engineers, you could get replaced.  :)


Friday, June 21, 2019

Toronto watermain replacement

So, when they come to your door, it is best to appoint a block captain who is a retired engineer, or some such thing.  Otherwise there is going to be a lot of anger on the street.

When they do the pre-assessment make sure they have inspected your main street sewer so that it isn't full of silt.  That stuff loosens up during the construction and makes a big mess for some houses.

Alma Drive watermain replacement


Harold Asmis 

(2 days ago
Attachments
Thank you for your previous help with the sewer, it is all fixed now.  Now, all the neighbours
 seem to be upset that there are small sections of the road that have not been resurfaced.

As you can see in the attached photo, the section of road opposite my house is as cracked
 and damaged as any section they did.  This section will have potholes by next year.
 The neighbours seem to be upset about a false economy here.  I'm sure this will be brought
 up in the next election.  All the equipment is still around the area and this is a half day's work.

Many thanks.
Attachments area

to me
Good afternoon Mr. Asmis and thank you for your inquiry. The resurfacing only takes place
 where the watermain work was completed. General resurfacing and watermain work are 
not necessarily paired and cannot always be coordinated.

I completely understand your concern and can appreciate that Alma Drive appears to be in
 need of resurfacing. However the side that didn't have watermain resurfacing is still in
 state of good repair, even though there are visible cracks and deficiencies.

I will however ensure that staff are aware of your concern and see to it that it is in line for
 resurfacing in the future.

Please do not hesitate to contact us at any time.

Kind regards,


Dion Angelini
Office of Deputy Mayor Stephen Holyday
Councillor, Ward 2, Etobicoke-Centre
Phone: (416) 392-4002

Add your name to our e-newsletter distribution list
Catch up on Ward 2 news with our spring e-newsletter
Attachments area

Harold Asmis 

to Councillor
Thank you very much for doing this.  The confusion with the neighbours came from the work
 done on Leggett nearby.  That pavement is the same age and it was all done.  Leaving
 small patches here on and there, on Alma, is ugly, but I understand that it is difficult to
 coordinate these things.  I'll try to calm people down, since somehow I've become the block
 captain on city engineering matters.
The final issue is that they wave a magic wand and now decide which little patches of road to leave un-resurfaced,
 where they used to do all of it.
Try to get them to promise to do the whole street.  Little patches are ugly and make everybody angry.


Thursday, June 20, 2019

Nuclear plants are sad

Reference



It's funny that this was created by the top people who ruthlessly browbeat underlings.  If you are an engineering graduate of a second-rate school with second-rate marks, and you want to live way out in the suburbs, then this is a job for you.

Focus all your brains on community and home, and use strong meditation (or strong medication) to give yourself a lobotomy for work.  Then you'll be fine.  Do not have any ideas, or work too hard.  Everybody will blame you if things go wrong.

The top priority is a big clamp on any leaks, and that goes all the way down.  Swallow everything they give you with a smile.  Then, after 30 years, you get a pension, like me.  :)

ps.  fuel going in.


It's a bit funny that I discovered that the main design flaw of Darlington was the fuel bundles.  At the water flows they used, the bundles went into chaotic behaviour.  This was barely handled by smoothing the pump flow so that they just badly vibrated instead of smashing.  Fun stuff.


No, Greenland isn't dying

Reference



However, the slowdown of ice flow at Jakobshavn Isbrae (and for other glaciers) for the past two years may imply slowing of mass loss, which may persist for several more years.

The popular press has other ideas.


That's because there was a spike in ice melting due to very warm plumes hitting Greenland.  You can see it in the chart above, and the spike is quickly dying.

This is just more fun in the war of selective facts that goes on.  :)


Wednesday, June 19, 2019

Plate tectonics and the atmosphere

Reference


Yeah, first ever scientific paper linking the 'Great Mush' of continents to baking the co2 out of the deep crust.  I came to that conclusion a long time ago.

These guys are leaving out the Mesozoic, but I supposed they will come to it soon enough.  Also they are leaving out global temperature changes as the continents shmoosh and separate.


Ocean current report - June 16, 2019

Yeah, the guy took a vacation for two weeks.  But the new shots are amazing.


This is the far view and it shows a lot of heat going down.  But the close view is amazing.



The entire lower side of the main current is peeling off South.  You can trust me that I have never seen this.  The ocean temp maps seem to be quite slow in updating.



But the heat is going south.  Lucky for us we have July when the solar heat is so great that we swelter, no matter what.

The Pacific is the same -- weak currents going west, no sign of a reversal.


Tuesday, June 18, 2019

We're setting up for a typical 70's July and August


This is what they used to call a 'Beta Block'.  A zone of dead air over North America.  You can see that the ocean plumes are grinding to a halt.  This will give us a nice extreme July that the warmies will be salivating over.  Before air conditioning became common, we used to sleep in the basement for this weather.

Lots of people will die of overheating.  They could have had air conditioning but all that money went into windmills that will be still.

So, for those with central air, tape up all your vents in the basement and first floor, and let all the air go to the top floor.  It will then cascade down like a fountain.  Enjoy the heat.

ps.

Denver is slightly cold.


Monday, June 17, 2019

The life of a major ice advance


This snow will eventually melt away.  In a major ice advance it won't, and then it will build up.

We are going into a major ice age cycle.  Lucky for us, the land is still depressed from the last one, so the ice won't build up.  But in 5000 years we won't be so lucky.  :)  Then we will just go underground.

ps.  and cbc is doing a major thing on the climate crisis.  Bet they won't go here.  Everything they mentioned is 5 years old.

https://www.cbc.ca/news/technology/climate-change-editor-note-1.5175490