The warmies are spinning out explanations on why it's cold, and I'm spinning on why it isn't as cold as I thought it would be.
The Arctic is very cold and should be throwing out Arctic spills, but it is in turmoil.
The proper setup for Arctic spills is an entirely still Arctic, building up power like a glacial lake. However, there are lots of winds.
There is Pacific air pouring over the mountains, and carrying little cold blobs away. I really don't have a mechanism any more. This is the classic chaos mechanism where everything just goes into a quivering mass.
On the dailies, we have the picture of the tropics being steady, but the nhemi and the Arctic having a poke up from very cold.
We will have to wait and see.
ps. and here we have a warmie-type headline.
might be a small problem....
pps. I'm thinking that the only thing that could cause this mess is another segment of Pacific ocean current coherent reversal (mini el nino). I have to wait for the ocean currents map.
more. there appears to be a tiny speck of the hot water blob from the last segment reversal. The main blob is now shoved south of the equator, but this is north, and may be firing the plume cannons at us. It will run out of ammo, soon.
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