Watch Lake Erie slowly freeze over

 This is mostly turn-over, where the colder water sinks when it hits maximum density at 4C.  

At 3C, the water becomes less dense and quickly forms ice, since there is no more water movement.

ps 

It's ironic that if we could see through Lake Erie on the Canadian side, we would see tons of methane pipes, connecting wells, and they leak all the time when they are broken by ice ridges.  You can't see that, and you can't know about that.  But the methane doesn't do anything, anyway.

ps. we can now measure with satellite, the co2, methane, and earth's radiating heat.  If they were correct, you would see the co2 and methane damping the heat release, the whole clange thing is based on that.  Easy to measure now, but it won't be.

Musk and Trump tied for the nutty race

 

So, the pool is on whether they can cross the finish line by inauguration.  

Warm air still floating around, giving hope to warmies

 Yeah, the warmies can keep their fantasies.  If challenged, they get nasty, because the torches and pitchforks will throw them out on the streets.  Can you imagine the greatest fantasy foisted on the public, since phrenology?  I can't, it didn't happen, so don't kill me.

The world surface air temperatures, the be-all and end-all of clange-ism, has been going up.  Don't forget that this chart shows a strong northern seasonal signal, and it theoretically shouldn't.  It is the world, after all.  What goes up, must come down.  While the north has winter, the south has summer.  This plot should be mostly flat or double-humped, like the world sea temperature.  But it isn't.

That's because the warmie chart is contaminated by the fact that the north has most of the continental land mass, and they use peak day temperature for this chart.  It is rather useless for physics, but nooa will tout this rise (anomaly) as clange.  I can't wait until tumple's appointee octopus takes over.

The main chart is also contaminated by drifts of warm air.  Although they actually add temperatures to make this chart, the world doesn't work that way.  Masses of warm air don't add their temperature, it violates various laws of physics.  They only displace.  So, if there is warm air floating around, it only has an effect on air colder than it.

I've been looking for these wisps and I can see them in this map.

Neat.  These things drift and only knock up the low temperatures.

The tropics are unaffected.  

But, that doesn't mean that clange is real -- please don't kill me.  We must live in fear, until the trumpopus takes over the big US institutions.

ps ** octopus reference

Arctic cold wiping the floor with beaten heat

 One day we will have an Arctic flow that lasts all winter, but not this day.

We must now look for the demise of this Arctic surge.  And that comes through heat energy.  The mimic looks strong, but a core of heat is standing tall.

Warm air is sneaking up the mountains.  This new Pacific plume might break through the mountains.

And most importantly, Greenland isn't white.  Look for a pull-back in a week or so.  

ps.Of course, a pull-back comes with lots of snow.

ps.  The Europe Arctic spill might last a bit longer

Pacific tide gauge jitters up a bit

 

I love this chart!  But nobody else does, and that's good.  No use giving it a pumped head.  This chart shows every warm and cold period in recent history, and those hots and colds had a major effect.

We have the 'grapes of wrath' dust bowl.  We also have the day Hilter invaded Russia and didn't stock enough warm socks.  It's got my 70's winter camping, and the season of 4 month summer at the cottage.  Right now it's been on the 'cold' setting for a while.

Yeah, for the two people in the world that might understand this!  I just write for my 6 year old nephew, who has some hope of knowing physics.  Of course, they are going to try and destroy him by shoving magic down his throat.

Arctic on the move

 Remember the doomy press making a big deal of the magnetic pole moving a little bit?  This is the whole Arctic sliding down on us.

The weak tropical plumes are now being kicked to the curb by the New Arctic.

This is beyond my 'worst case' scenario.  It has become some sort of hybrid Mega-Blob-Channel, and looks like a good chance to be a Texas Buster, and freezing all their uninsulated gas works.

 We can look at the mechanism to see if it has legs.  The Arctic is being fed by Siberia, takes a trot around the place, and then pours out to support a global mega-blob.  This should last a week or two, or all winter.  Who knows?

The Toronto forecast shows no end to it, and we are still draining the heat energy from the Great Lakes to keep us at a balmy -12C night.  Remember to ignore daytime peaks when looking at this stuff.

Once the lakes all freeze over, or top at near-freezing, turn-over stops, and no more heat energy.  Then we settle to my favourite 70's winter camping weather of -30 for Toronto and -40 for Huntsville.  

Since the conventional people are going to lay on Polar Vortex Fairies, rather thick, I advise to buy the 4K Wicked movie, if you have a 4K tv.  It is the best movie yet for oled 4K.  Stupid plot, though.

ps

Remember that the Polar Vortex Fairies act with neither rhyme nor reason.  They are beyond physics, and are pure magic, used as a convenient excuse for ignorance.  All weather action happens in the troposphere, and the fairies dance in the near-vacuum of the stratosphere.  Only weather people can conceive that vacuum whisps can descend and affect the thick soup of our convection.  Butterflies ripped apart by a tornado.  Watch the movie, and you know it's all real.

ps and the cold hasn't reached NYC yet.  natgas prices are zooming down.

The bromance is over, mushie tries to kill trumpypants

 

muskie has planted cybertrucks all over the US, waiting at trumyhotels.  It's over.

ps. sorry, the trucks are now packed with fireworks.  I thought they were powerful enough on their own.

The Fickle Fingers of Cold

 

or are they 'Claws of Ice'.  Our Arctic spill has doubled overnight.  The Arctic is full black, which beats a little Greenland white.

There is no end in sight, so watch your natgas storage.  Charge 25% extra on that, trumples!

In Europe, the cold is fighting the heat, and the heat is losing.

Since this is a 'slider', the lower winds are beating the main mimic, which shows the higher clouds.

The UK picture is amazing, with a giant clockwise gyre.  Such a monster is pure cold, no heat.

The Arctic Cold Factory is pure gyre, with two outputs -- NA and Europe.  We are finally getting into what I predicted -- that dang Atlantic residual heat is gone, gone, gone.

As our prime min says -"If you believe in clange fairies, clap your hands'  I just wish the Alberta truckers weren't so violent about lefty fantasies.

Full cold channel engulfs the UK

 

This is the 'worst' picture I dreamed up for the UK.  That was before the demonstration of a Mega-blob.  But this is bad enough.  I thought this was going to happen a long time ago, so my timing is off, as usual.  

I am going with the concept of this being a steady thing for a few weeks.  That's enough to freeze the Thames in the old concept when the Thames was a swamp, and they had 'ice fairs'.  Those are good books to read.  I give 50% that this will be steady.  The other side of the coin has it all swept away by something else.

A steady stream gets colder and colder as the Greenland Gap fills with ice.  This is also dependent on the ocean currents.  Worst case has the two main islands socked in ice.  If the whole channel freezes, it sets things for a continuous flow.  Hope it doesn't happen, but it will someday.

Wasn't Me

 

Ha, ha.  This goes with my general theme of 'no rationality' or 'no physics'.  We know the fundamental forces that caused this, but my lips are sealed because of fear of death.  In fact, I would shorten the expected lifetime of anybody who went after this.

We can expect an exponential increase of reading about this sort of thing.  We are probably only reading 10% anyway, because of intense cover-up.  Could the Chinese be covering up?  No, they are only eating what is served up to them on silver plates.

Enough of that.  Let's wait for the next big one, shall we?

Also, expect an exponential increase of this crap.  The forces are building.

New raspberry 5 and accelerometer

 I have finally got the stuff.  This is an ADXL355 mems accelerometer with 2g range and 20 bits.  It is 16 times more sensitive than all the 16 bit things I have fooled around with.  I was putting them in parallel to try and get an extra 2 bits (factor of 4), and now this thing comes along.

I'm not going to harp on engineers.  Suffice to say they are exactly like clange, clinging on to power through enforcing a priesthood.  I ran into good structural engineers in California, putting in really stiff foundations for those giant tech campuses.  Ha, all that love down the drain.  Maybe they can make farms out of them.

My 2buck accels are a step closer to 'smart dust'.  But who the heck is going to monitor this?  Accels are now wasted by using 'triggers', something from the 1800's.  The future for AI's is not replacing humans where humans are happy, but in doing the stuff that makes my head fall off.  We can't expect AI's to come up with the quantum spark of originality, but I can throw in many hypotheses, and test them out.  That's what I'm working on.

The real benefit of 2buckers is in before and after the earthquake.  During the earthquake, it is pure chaos, even though the engineers believe otherwise.  Before, the AI can come up with a profile of normal performance, stiffness, etc.  After, we see how that changed.  It would save a lot of lives.

For example, my scenario earthquake for Toronto, would destroy every cheap condo.  People would eventually get out safely, after a few days of starving, but then there would be the false promise of 'evaluation'.  That's just looking at the building and saying, 'Yup, it's okay'.  That doesn't work, as the Christchurch earthquake showed.  For Toronto condos, the monitors would show if the structure softened and would collapse in the very long aftershock sequence.  I expect every single one of them to fail the monitoring test, but the downtown bank towers would be okay.  They went very 'old school' and made them stiff.  The new things are all 'design build' which pushes the codes, because there is so much money in it.  Think of the lives saved by going into the downtown bank towers in the winter.

Don't worry, we'll never have a Toronto Earthquake, according to the influencers, but this would be good for California.  It will never happen, for the same reason the clangers will never do physics.  Too much chance of thowing those guys out into 'the hedge rows to starve'.  Would you plunge the knife into your own heart?

As before, I'm hooking up the 20 bit accelerometers to the raspi, but that's the easy part.  The hard part for me is the monitoring, which drives me up the boring wall.  I hope to make a breakthrough there, or it will all gather dust again.

ps don't forget that the people even more useless, are the seismic people, and the emergency planning people.  They could do cheap stuff to save lives now, but that would require physics.  Much better to shrug your shoulders after, and say "Who knew?".  

Back to standard Arctic Spill action

 

Although it still looks minor, compared to a blob, this guy is pouring in the negative thermal energy.  It is a full spill, and doesn't look to be stopping soon.  It will affect NYC.

We see the same for Europe, as the spill whips down the Greenland Gap.  Spills activate right away, down topography channels.  They can go on all winter.  Blobs are delayed spills, blocked by warm air.  Mega-blobs are very unusual, they are blocked by huge cyclones, and are ten times higher than spills.

For natgas, spills are the Energizer Bunny of persistence.  

Greenland isn't white because of that large heat cyclone over Hudbay.  But note the black over the Arctic.  That is the Heart of Coldness, driving the spills.  I expect I will be talking about this for a few days.  The year before, we had two spills set up over Siberia and Alaska, and had California soaked all winter.

A spill like this has the potential to drain all the natgas reserves.  However, it could stop tomorrow.

ps  whoops, forgot these guys

These are my two fav spills.  I was expecting this for all winter, until the blobs came.  A constant spill over the UK is the stuff of dreams for the Little Ice Age.

What we have here in the Arctic is the beginning of a good factory for spill production.  The air comes in, spins around a bit, and then pours out.  

ps.  ha, ha.  This always happens when they don't know what they're doing.