I would call that Socratic Science reasoning. That's looking out your window and coming up with an explanation, and then doing a linear extrapolation for the future. With finance, that's called 'momentum investing'. It's proven to be the worst thing over time.
I recently had a big tussle with Googs AI, regarding heat energy removal for the earth. It just used text from established institutions. I could never get it to go into 'physics mode' with uncertainties, etc. The best that I could get to was that convection dominated atmospheric heat transfer, but that radiation (the warmie thing) was 'none negligible'. I couldn't get it to go further. With physics, if something is an influence of a factor of 10 less (10%), it is considered 'insignificant'. It is part of the noise.
None negligible could be 1%, or less. As well, it stated that convection is confined to the lower atmosphere (troposphere) and cannot be a mechanism for Earth heat removal. That is garbage, because without any air molecules, all heat transfer from there on up is radiation. They confuse that with radiation from the surface of the earth, and use it to reinforce the radiation dominance.
Open AI claims to have a new AI engine that can reason with physics and math. Ha, let's see that in action, but I'm not paying for anything with my soul.
ps all those doomer scare stories about black plastic, or tea bags use 'non negligible' which can be parts per billion.
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