Just had an overwhelming feeling of stupidity. Really, if they want to have a fraud of two separate lines, what can I do? The earthquake got me started again, but those things are as rare as hen's teeth. Tomorrow should be warm, and time to sit in the sun without freezing to death.
Good luck with all the pictures proving Climate Change. Hope for no earthquakes where they make castles out of sand. I'm gone.
The microplastic scare was manufactured to create lots of anxiety and lots of money for the media. It was shown to be phoney when they discovered it was contamination from the gloves. That's the fun of all these temporary anxieties without physics. They all just drop off the radar, and nobody says boo.
Now, it's silica, which is deadly enough in high amounts. Ask the old coal miners. I always thought the asbestos scare was phoney, since nobody showed or cared if it was worse than silica. The only 'victims' they ever found smoked like chimneys.
They are selectively choosing the synthetic quartz countertops, because what the heck? Granite is the same, and tombstones bury people. Look to lawsuits, etc. Like Roundup. They just pick something out of the herd, and go to town. There is never any context.
Volcanic dust is the worst, yet humans evolved with this crap. We all have excellent dust handling systems. You really screw that up with smoking. You will find that none of this stuff is any worse than a dusty road, or a nice campfire. Every veggie has some wonderful chemicals in it, and we digest it.
Can't wait for the next thing.
They are calling it because of a rise in sea elevation along the equator. That is always there in cycles, because it is the main mechanism for heating the planet. The water bulge is due to the spin of the Earth.
This is funny, because the current reversal that is increasing temperature is above this.
They do not line up! Yet, they go on that the elevation rise is 'totally unusual' and resembles 1997. This satellite was launched in 2020, and they never had any accuracy before. Did we have such a rise for the posthumously declared El Nino of 2024? Easy to check. Will they? No, does not make for a good show.
That current reversal is a shallow thing that fools satellites, yet they use the elevation rise to say the heat band is very deep and full of hidden hot water. It doesn't line up!
IT DOESN'T LINE UP!
This show has a great twist ending.
The main fantasy is that the winds drive the ocean currents. Today, all the winds are pushing the ocean to the west. No? The big el ninny thing is that the currents are going east.
Let's not report this, it makes them look bad. The upper reverse current, which is not on the equator, is breaking up. Fantasy Ellie is dead. The equator is cold.
Enjoying your June Winter? Thank goodness that Europe is having a tiny heat wave. Lots of pictures coming up.
No weather at all from the Pacific. The fun thing is to see how long they can keep this up. The cold weather is peeling the Trumpaint from that pool. Perhaps he will fume enough to warm everything.
ps that was a great soccer game! I think this is what would happen if we played Brazil.
ps the pictures of people drinking water have started. They prove climate change.
They actually have to use selective physics and math to get these results. Are they any good at it?
I like that nothing changes this curve at all. The trillions of dollars to cut carbon have been useless. This curve might simply be related to population, but probably not. Most likely we don't know what drives this curve, but they can certainly make things up.
Selective physics is built on bad assumptions. We wait for new great findings.
We have a shy El Nino. Normally, it comes on strong, even in the year before official declaration. But this year, it's as though it doesn't exist. I would never argue that point on X.
The Arctic is yelling "Comon and get me, ye pansy!". It is pouring down and freezing us. It reminds me of the song "My boyfriend's back". I never thought he would do anything for that whiny girl.
The best indicator of heating events is this guy, but he is a "Limp Richard".
Just flip back and forth between these two pictures and you see something weird.
ps In Toronto, 3 inches of rain, and now, high winds. My pea supports fell over, and I put them back and re-pounded.
This is cute, but it means nothing. They are matchy-matchy with earthquakes, in the two zones.
It's funny that if there aren't any earthquakes, any interest in my blog goes down to the usual 3. That is the story of my life with earthquakes. A ten-minute interest when shaking, then nothing.
Asia is being hit by earthquakes. This is just standard random clustering, and has nothing to do with fantasy things. If we want to stick to the Scientific Method, then we need measurements consistent with physics. Unfortunately, earthquake engineering, codes and siting are stuck in a 'traditional' fantasy land. We increasingly see the results. The SM and physics are harsh mistresses, and destroy power structures. That is why you never see it in action.
A fantasy or groupthink is maintained by those who's power depends on it. Weather prediction depends on horrible assumptions that are against physics. They believe that wind drives the ocean currents, and the weather people do not conduct the required experiments. They also ignore clear-air convection in the atmosphere, which give us the ridiculous assumption that convective air acts as a greenhouse glass.
But the worst for killing people is the earthquake assumption that everything scales on peak acceleration (PGA). Acceleration for damage scaling has no physics since the PGA goes up dramatically with increasing frequency. PGA has no physics and should be dropped like a hot potato, yet we will see increasing death counts because of this.
Measurements in Taiwan show that damage is associated with PGV (peak ground velocity), pure and simple. Don't look at anything else. I have modelled seismic waves, and pgv scales with the stress (energy) in the wave. The waves hit the buildings and apply base shear. The building takes a hit with the first velocity pulse, but may take a while to fall down. The seismic waves near the earthquake source are always a huge velocity pulse.
The extension to this is that there is no measured or noted effect of building vibration. This was postulated a long time ago by a single earthquake, and is the entire basis of the shake-table industry. Can you imagine them admitting they are useless? Not going to happen.
The big corruption that has hit the phils is this dependence on pga and the fact that deep basins filter out the high frequencies which lowers the pga. The basins amplify pgv by a factor of 10.
Thus, we had the ridiculous assertion that your soft building is fine on a jelly-belly basin, when, in fact the opposite is true.
In phil, you would see the pgv on the rock at 2 cm/s, and no damage. In the basins, it was 20 cm/s with extensive death. Poor people.
For basins, you need stiff buildings on piles. This was proven in Christchurch. You could cut some of the steel in the concrete, and put it into the screw piles budget.
It is in the cards that phil will be hit by another earthquake while the buildings are softened. That's just odds, even though I feel strongly that a mechanism is being set up. However, no measurements means no physics. In my gut, another equivalent pgv will take place in the next month.
ps In Toronto, we will be killed by the same bad assumption of pga and building response. That doesn't do anything. We have the Hamilton fault, all lubed and greased up, and in the top 10 for North America. Totally ignored. All our condos are 'soft story' bottoms to make room for stores, and the tower is 'floating' on a transfer slab. All is perfect with shake table tests. I am not going on with the obvious conclusion here. So, you are not alone, phil-buddies who buy me coffee.
ps do you notice how fuzzy I am on many statements? That's called Engineering Design.
I'm doing this tonight, because it is such a perfect storm. The driver of this is very cold Arctic air ploughing down into the default Gulf heat. Of course, it is all clange.
I was driving home during the last one. Blah! I hope the ice cream is okay in the freezer at the cottage, because of all these power outages, and on comes the next one!
Oh, and this is also due to El Nino.
ps freudian slip of confusing monster home and storm.
The basin is quite like the Christchurch basin. During the earthquake, the ridge goes up and the basin goes down. I'm expecting to see creep along the basin edge, but it doesn't seem to be there. Doesn't mean much, the edges could go at any time, with about the same odds as any earthquake in the region.
I was not expecting to see creep towards the major subduction zone. That means some compression stress has gone that way to the sea. We can expect another M8 in this mirror zone, but with no clue as to when.
In the continental regions, we can get a thrust earthquake like this, and nothing else after. All these earthquakes are a result of stress, strain, and fluid motion. In the very dry regions you will not get earthquakes, there must always be water (to 90%). In North America, we have the New Madrid seismic zone associated with the Mississippi River, and we have the Hamilton Fault near Toronto. They were having fun in Oklahoma for a while injecting fluid, which would have made a third M8 zone, but they wisely stopped.
Water adds the 'stick-slip' power. Dry rock just grinds along with constant friction. S-s is being barefoot in the 1950's tub, and suddenly slipping. The friction goes to zero. All earthquakes work like that, but it is not appreciated with the big guys. They still test dry rock.
Again, none of these observations mean much over the regional seismic hazard, which is defined as the probabilities of certain ground motion.
If I were living there, I would actually work on my handy-dandy accelerometer system and measure buildings. You can tell immediately if somebody left out the steel, and then I would be shot. I hear the trumpykids are big into sand castles, and other human and environment disasters.
We shall see if this earthquake replaces Turkey as the biggest corruption earthquake. At least they had little stringers of steel for show. In those days we had some hard-hitting investigators paid by the US nuclear plants. Now, I don't expect to see anything. Taiwan is the best for freedom of information.
ps I was at a cottage deep in the forest, with no Internet. Yuck, lots of mossies. Lots of earthquakes in Asia during this time, but a cluster like that never means anything.
ps and this is meaningless, it has no physics.
ps despite what I'm saying about nobody can predict anything, if you really want the date and time to the nearest second, of the next earthquake, send me coffees. No refunds.
Everything is cold. In fantasy-land we could write "It is always coldest before the warmth.'. That's beautiful!
I don't have anything to say. I just note that for us, the Gulf heat has given up, leaving us to the mercy of the Arctic winds. In a classic short cold cycle, like the 70's, we would be going into a static balance, making everything hot. Perhaps for a major cycle, like this, we have no summer. We just don't know what happened here during the Little Ice Age.
The main epicentre is located by seismometers and is at the top of the rupture. This is called a subduction zone, but you can see a real subduction zone right beside it.
These are not what I call 'clean' subduction zones, and may only produce M9's rarely, or not at all. The M8 earthquake produces the maximum of what we can expect for an earthquake, but an M9 shakes longer. You will never get the pgv higher than this, whatever it is.
However, thousands of structures have been weakened by this earthquake, and I would call it quite likely that another one goes off on either side of the basin. It seems similar to Christchurch.
So, in a few months, all buildings that 'look alright' will be cleared. Then, bang! Another one. I give this a good likelihood, but who am I?
If you want to live in a building here, try to get pictures of it being constructed. The steel will be obvious. If you had followed my 'Handy Dandy Guide to Riding Earthquakes' you would have measured the seismic noise when built, and now check it after the earthquake. It should show no difference. If the building has softened, get out of Dodge.
Anyway, my official opinion is to believe everything they say.
ps what I really wanted to say is that in all these earthquakes, the highlands go up, and lowlands go down. The topography tells you a lot.
Instead of Chromebooks, you go one step down, and just have a built-in browser. It is keyed with encryption to a server machine that runs ChromeOS. There is no way to break this.
My one worry was 'interception' by creeps pretending to be kids. This is quite simple, since you put the whole onus of registration on the kids and the schools. We would also have a phone-like portable tablet. Most likely you would just have larger and smaller tablets.
The Kinternet Universe should not be a dull leftie paradise. This is the difficult part, since education is all lefties and they like to control everything. Educators would patrol the area, but we must allow some freedom to make mistakes and then be corrected for it. Lefties, like that federal minister, like to over-control and forget the consequences. Anyway, all the shouting would be about this world.
You could have a kid-friendly fortnight thing, with avatars. No money, no credit cards. The Scientific Method would look at the usefulness of the education, marks, etc. Self-starting is vital. No political propaganda hammering. This really is 'milk toast' like the googs gaming system, but I hope it would be fun.
The way around it, is for the cool kid, of divorced parents, to bring in a loaded iphone to school. This would be treated like a gun. You can easily tell by all the kids crowded around it. It's quite simple to make it a crime to give a loaded iphone to a kid. It's like cannabis!
The SM approach is to make a hypothesis that the kids will be better off. You need to show that with measurements. Using pure SM, you are immune to influencers who think an El Nino is on the way. I don't know if that is possible. However, it is technically possible, keeping the cost down to 2 years per kid.
The main savings will be to use the second-grade chips and processors on the racks of the data centre. The super-duper stuff goes to AI. My tiny AMD computer is sufficient. Millions of these could be in a used data centre. No new building is required. Live off the stuff the AI crowd throws away.
- finished.
ps I was thinking of the early railroads with spaghetti rail line everywhere, all different gauges. The money is in building the stations.
ps we can avoid propaganda by leaving that to the schools, and treat this as a resource centre. Out of work librarians can curate it.
Kid Internet or Kinternet could turn into an Ottawa LRT for the whole country. Boy, would Alberta be howling if we had a Universal Internet Gun Registry, making the assumption that every person using the Internet is a criminal. That would shave 5% annually off our GDP.
But, if we do it right, then it's lots of money for Canada, and Alberta is happy. Look at kids around the world, they have problems with being wealth creators. At least all our young people go to California, along with the Indians, and create trillions. All those big Internet and computer companies got to be billion-types without any regard to social costs. Does MS pay for endless exploits? Does FB pay for ripping out privacy? Will AI pay for suicides? Not in the US.
In Canada, we must find a way to make this sort of money, and be able to sleep at night. Hundreds of other countries want some money without total collapse of morals. They try to do it by hammering their kids, but that takes all the 'animal spirits' out of them, and they all become Singapore.
The first thing is to adapt the 'Scientific Method' with experiments and measurements. That's the California way. We don't need 'Influencer Science' led by lefties. A famous leftie said of the Niagara Tunnel "It's worth it at any cost." Since it was never used, you would add "And at any level of success, even it is zero" That's the Ottawa LRT.
We should stay out of the AI Data Centre game. That's like early railroad building with 10 different track widths. Let the Big Guys destroy themselves on that. We sneak under, and use rejected data centres. These old guys can't put out the heat, and hold the iron of the AI centres. Although AI doesn't mind destroying the world over time, like MS, they are stopping production of new models that instantly destroy the world. We're talking Mythos 5 here, and what will it do for us?
Kinternet is a bold idea that will put Canada into the world with existing data centres. It is so fabulous that I am pausing here, in order to glory in my idea. I know you new readers are dying to hear about it, but that's me. I live on coffees.
-- to be continued as Kinternet Part 2
I love it when a plan is impossible. They are going for age verification, as though that can't be hacked. The essence of the Internet is that it can't be censored.
I liked the concept of the Google proxy machines when they had them for games. It all died because you can't cheat, and the greedy game sellers wanted more money. The whole graphics market was driven by game advantage (cheating), until AI took everything.
I would propose that one of those data centres be turned over to proxy Internet. Then phones and laptops could only connect through these, for kids. A bit of parental responsibility is needed here, but 'universal access machines' could only be sold like booze.
Busy moms could not hand over their iphones. Any obvious leakage could be investigated. The whole thing would be ten times cheaper than sending 'truant officers' to check ages. The age thing would need 100% registration of everybody, including me. It can't be done. The proxies would have basic graphics ability, so no complex shooting games. All the privacy stealers would be shut out. Let's do it!
ps slimy bald drunk guy could push this as a data centre for Alberta.
ps left a comment on Geist. Nobody listens to him, either.
ps It's neat you apply the Scientific Method and solid measurements to this. If you don't then everything crashes by smart comments. People will find a million-to-one exception and use this to tear things down. One will be 'cost per kid', including general economic damage. Remember that the lefties think money grows on trees. If they try to do a 'Universal tracking of everybody card' we might as well just dig a hole and crawl into it. The cost per kid should be limited to about 2 years of education.
Came back from the cottage as this front was coming down. As usual, I am trying to hurry everybody up, but everybody was resistant. No physics people in the family.
We just made it, and the rain came down on the drive back. Haven't had that since the 80's and 90's. I was worried about trees falling on us.
To celebrate the birth of the child, El Ninny, we have the equatorial belt getting colder. The heat anomaly is on the upper side, because it is getting blocked from the north.
Anyway, we can never tell that the clangers aren't right in the summer. I was expecting the Arctic flow to stop for the hot part of summer, lasting a month. Who knows?
Their El Nino doesn't exist, but there are no 'milestones' to hit, and no mechanisms. So, we will have endless discussions this summer.
ps everything and its dog is now going to be blamed on Ellie
with so much proof, I totally give up on this.
Every 70 years or so we have a Definitive Learning Earthquake, and I think this is the one for this century. The first was the famous 1906 San Francisco earthquake, but all the wrong lessons were learned from this one. Then the San Fernando earthquake of the 1970's, and this one. Each had a huge effect on the earthquake world.
You can see the perfect source, and the predicted intensity.
The reported intensities match the predicted. All we need are peak ground velocities, and the scene is laid for advances. The intensities, or damage, line up with peak ground velocity, a million times better than measured acceleration. PGA has no physics for damage, so throw that out in the garbage. All the standard earthquake engineers are all PGA, so that says something.
If somebody can hack the government and get the PGV's we will have a full plate.
All of this presents a new way of saving lives with regard to earthquakes. The existing methods of having priesthoods with no concern for the people have failed. Critical thinking by the consumer will save us, along with the Scientific Method. Don't go protesting over this appalling death count at 20 cm/s. Won't do anything.
-- next I have my grandchildren over from California - lots of energy.
ps I have stopped my attack on the priesthoods. They really want what's best for you. I'm now getting direct paypal scams. Neat. Good-bye.
ps the other reason to quit is my number on the corruption index for earthquakes. I saw a picture of the India earthquake and the entire neighbourhood was flattened, except for one concrete house, untouched in the middle. That was ignorance. Then there was the Armenia earthquake where every Soviet apartment building was a pile of dust, not even pancaking. The closest to a 'high corruption' earthquake was Turkey, and that wasn't close to this, since they had some steel. You could not investigate this earthquake without pissing a lot of people off. That's why you won't see any analysis. And I'm staying away.
ps also there are something like 60,000 people red-tagged. The big problem is the same as Christchurch, in telling who can go back. Lots of perfectly good buildings will collapse in the next earthquake, and this guy looks to have at least one.
The reason I wasn't interested in this earthquake, was that it was a 'Corruption Earthquake'. That's when they make buildings like beach sand castles, and very low ground shaking comes along. The lower the ground shaking, amid collapse, the greater the corruption.
Corruption is associated with the lack of transparency, and I find the authorities there take no flak from people. I can't get any records. Even in Guatemala they take earthquakes seriously and put in a lot of steel in their buildings.
The standard approach is to enact building codes, but they are useless, if not applied. In these cases, I think consumer choice is important with transparency. Would you pay more in rent, live with less room, or move out a bit, to have less chance of being killed? How much? Once a building is up, no authority can come along and say "This is a death trap!'. They would get shot, and there is no 'concrete' proof.
Obviously, you as people, should fight for 'less chance of death'. However, this is a leftie thing, and therefore, totally useless. You have to change the fundamentals, and use the Scientific Method, and physics for that. Do not rely on influencers of any stripe.
- whoops, have to run. Don't see any more coffees tinkling the tip jar. Am I greedy?
My surge of viewers was legitimate. Seems from the map of viewers is that everyone is from an earthquake zone, and is interested in not dying.
I'm not proud, I'll be an organ monkey, and will produce with the clink of coffees in my jar.
First off, I do earthquakes with physics and the Scientific Method. I am always right in the long term, as the odds take hold. If you flip a coin and get three heads in a row, it is the Influencer Thing to say that you will continue to flip heads (legit coin). That's because they love a linear extrapolation. That is a death trap, because if we know the physics of a coin flip, we know the long odds will come true.
It's the same with earthquakes, we deal with the long odds. Your job, to live, is to reduce those long odds. The big problem is that it takes a long time for the odds to hit, and you get a lot of 'snake oil' people going the wrong way on earthquake engineering, without basic physics.
This is a classic picture. Note the destruction and the building right behind doesn't have a cracked window. Lots of death, beside - ho-hum! That is the fun of 20 cm/s. The building behind would need 80 cm/s to start tilting.
These are modern structures so what happened?
Can you count the number of steel bars in this column? Right -- Zero! In nearly all the destruction pictures, I can't find any steel.
No steel means 'Pancakes on the House!' or "The House is a Pancake!'. No chance to survive.
- to be continued after a coffee break.
In order to get the hot stagnant summer of our dreams, we need the Arctic to calm down. It is not cooperating. It is difficult for those wanting to take pictures to prove Climate Change.
Still no coffees, so that whole 'popularity' thing was FB people who get paid to make comments on FB groups that have nothing to do with them. Good to see FB is destroying itself.
On Google Analytics, I get my usual 3 readers a day, and a small number of tourists. The Blogger stats are always contaminated by link spam and get 10,000 per day. Now I suddenly got a 'legimate' 1.4K readers, but maybe there is a hack going on.
If suddenly, thousands of people want to follow the 'Rational Path' then you can buy me a cup of coffee. You will be disappointed if you want to follow a guru, because I bite all the hands that feed me.
The Rational Path is just the Scientific Method. It came into being because of the endless 'quackery' of the Victorian Era, or Snake Oil. We now live in an era of snake oil, because of influencers with thousands of followers, and that defines 'truth'.
We have the snake oil of climate change. I do not argue against it, because 'argument' does not lead to scientific progress. If we recast the issue in the Scientific Method, we put forward a hypothesis that can be tested. The test must allow for the hypothesis to 'fail'. Religious faith cannot fail, and Climate Change cannot fail by means of an experiment.
We have so many 'faiths' that I cannot recall them all. The blogs were about the coming of El Nino, and earthquake engineering. These are faiths and tradition and prop up a 'priesthood' who cannot afford to say 'My Bad'. When you see that, look out.
Thank you for giving me the illusion of readership, which can only be confirmed by coffee. I am safe from the countless priesthoods with academic blood on their hands, because to argue with me would make things 10 times worse. If I really thought I was becoming an influencer, I would hide under a big rock.
The deaths by earthquakes are an example of what happens when the real world meets faith. They should have not happened. A simple sensor can tell if your building is going to kill you, but that requires physics, and the Scientific Method. Not going to happen, since the SM can shatter a priesthood in a blink. Much too dangerous.
Earthquake methodology has an obvious physical failure. Rockets blow up. The El Nino will not show up, and excuses will be made, or all of it is totally forgotten. The waste of resources, however, results in thousands of deaths, as people fall in Standard of Living.
ps no coffees. It all looks like an exploit of link spam. Neat.
ps very sad I cannot access any velocity data for this earthquake.
As explained yesterday, the mechanism of two ships passing in the night, cause a big spike and now we are going to have a big drop.
This should be quite something. Don't you worry, though, El Santa is real in the hearts and minds of all those people who make money from him. Our weather is boring, but I'll keep updating this. Unless I'm wrong, of course, then I'll hide.
Two thrust earthquakes this week. First, a big one in the Philippines. Then a smaller one north of Cuba.
The size of this one is defined by the aftershock zone.
The Cuba earthquake most likely won't have aftershocks. These earthquakes can pack a punch close to the epicentre.
Damage for weak construction, but a lot of buildings stood. This is typical for 20 cm/s. All buildings should ride through this level of ground motion. We won't get recordings here.
Arctic spills are still dominating our weather.
Our only source of heat and rain is the Gulf of Mexico, and it is running out of gas, like the rest of the world. Expect big droughts.
Still no El Nino hype. Weird, because the Nino zone is going ballistic. That is, 'two ships grinding in the night' because the old heating event blob is colliding on the end of the Nino zone. It is almost past, and I'm waiting for this curve to drop.
The tropics are nothing compared the 'posthumously declared' El Nino of 2023-4. This will also drop when the heat blob passes on to die in Antarctica, like the last one.
ps the nino zone has now peak and is flat. I expect it to go down now.
Of all the coming groupthink busts, this one is the biggest party. Selling useless stock for $75B, puts up the value to 2 trillion. He lives in his drug-addled head, but can put on a good show.
The big rocket flies like a pig, so he threw in Artie, just to join crowd. Total genius! At your next party you can brag about this investment, the second coming of El Nino, and how windmills are the future. You can probably get that leftie college girl, if you have a Texla car. All is good.
In the old days, all of recorded history, we had a classic cycle in the Pacific. The Pacific Equatorial Belt would be fed from the northern waters, and a strong current would go west along the equator. The mechanism for this is quite simple, and involves rising hot water, and the equatorial bulge. Every 7 years or so, the hot water would clog up at the far western end, and barf back, as an El Nino.
The weather people believe that the air drives the ocean currents, and stick with that. It's a horrendous physics error, but it defines them.
In 2016, we had a tremendous event where the Pacific Belt was suddenly fed from the south. This sucked in the Antarctic cold water, and the Pacific Belt became cold. I could tell you about my frozen Tahiti vacation. The old cycle was shattered, and my hypothesis is that this event was the mechanism for a 300 year cold cycle, or Little Ice Age. As usual, all my hypotheses could be easily tested, but never will be.
With the El Nino Watch, since it doesn't exist any more, we just look at why they are being so obtuse.
We look at sea temps and it is obvious that the feed is from the south because of the temperature distortion. All water temps want to be stratified along latitude lines, but ocean currents pull things.
This is the anomaly plot. Flash both pictures in your mind. Something is wrong. However, the weather people choose whatever works for them. There is a mechanism for this, but who cares? Let's have an El Nino party!
The forecast looks great. Last year we had a good June, then a miserable July. I can't remember why. I'll try and keep better track this year, but when I go to the cottage, I can't do weather.
On this view, the Arctic has given up, and we are getting hot tropical air.
Then we look at Europe, and there is a huge Greenland Blob in the Atlantic.
Lucky us! The only heat in the world. Let's take those pictures!
This doesn't show much, but I suspect the Arctic will ruin our July again.
We can never apply physics to fantasy, but we can apply physics (math) to the appearance of hype. All 'El Nino will get you!' references are now 3 days old. The hype index is falling faster than world temperatures, if anybody had a way to measure anything.
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We were measuring the state of world temperature by pictures of people drinking water. Only the States shows a bit of heat, and no leftie cares about those trumpies. The world is cold.
This is exciting that the left-over blob of a recent heating event continues its voyage south and has gone past the equator. No el no-no here. The old blob of the 2024 heating event has been cut up by the cold water of the SE Pacific.
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The equatorial band is cold. This is the usual ellie track for warmth. What they are showing on the charts, and what you see here is north of the equator, and is due to a very shallow water return. The coast of S Am is warmer than normal because of the lack of a deep water draw that defined the old currents.
I am putting out the hypothesis that the 'fantasy fervour' is flagging. This whole thing will fade away, and we wait for the new great predictions. They are 'batting zero' but everybody believes them, sort of like trumpy and 'peace any minute' oil manipulation, but even that has reached a limit.
