Lots of rain coming

 Just look at the historic weather patterns for the last major ice cycle, and that's what we'll get.  Toronto will become BC, and BC will be a desert.  All of Europe won't be able to grow a speck of food.  Perhaps the Sahara will bloom again.  

We are getting a nice blast of cold coming down.  I'm not doing any graphics because of computer problems.  Of course, our excessive rain and Europe's drought are all due to the "Will of God" or climate change.  Only a severe winter will challenge them, but the media will ignore it.

The Gulf Stream continues to sink, and the Pacific heat blobs are working their way down south.  The mechanisms are working so well, that it's boring.  I'm just going to call all these ocean shifts "Climate Change".  

ps I am going with 'sub-polar North Atlantic' as the best world temperature gauge, other than the tide level which will soon be unavailable.

This has the advantage of having not much going on in the zone with regard to ocean currents.  As well, it is free of urbanization drift, wonky integration, and other corruptions.

ps note a triple vortex in the Arctic.  This is pumping a cold stream down on us, and the 3 should soon merge to one.

Europe could get a cold stream soon, but it needs the plumes to get rain.  We have the Gulf warm plume, and it will be always with us.

ps our future life in a rain forest.  Somebody needs better drainage.

ps for Europe's river tours, this plume needs to go higher.  Nope.

Typhoons still feeding the Arctic

 The main advantage of having a bunch of mini-computers is that my main computer just poofed on me.  I run Linux Sid, and will have to re-install.  Everything important is on usb-ssds.

A warm air feed is still going on.  I expect a few more days before it stops.  Everything else is proceeding on schedule.

Indonesia M7.7 Earthquake

 

This is an interesting earthquake.  A shallow back-arc thrust.  Very intense ground motions on top of it.

ps only appears to have 10 cm/s.  The main hit of the thrust 'hammer' was in the sea.

Columbia earthquake shows stringy steel

 This is more like the Turkey earthquake with thin steel here and there.

This is the type of picture I look for, with an equally decrepit building undamaged right beside it.  I am still estimating 20 to 40 cm/s but they have a history of earthquakes.  That means a lot of the older buildings may have been 'softened'.  

The older buildings are expected to fail.  This is not as corrupt as Vennie, with many obviously modern buildings not having a scrap of steel.  You can never find pictures of modern buildings with steel.

ps I would call this Christchurch.

ps neat, they are calling 20 cm/s as the max in a small area.  It was mostly 10 cm/s  I still can't find the records.  

Finally they come up with a measure

 

We have a test!  So far it has been all blah blah, with no measure.  

The hypothesis is:

A historic El Nino will come, on par with 1997, and 2016.  It will elevate the autumn temperatures in the equivalent of the difference with the historic events.  That is, we are looking at the degree of change, irrespective of the instrumental drift seen in the temperature records.  It will be noticeable and remarked upon by the common people.

This should eliminate the endless tricks.  The opposite is that nothing will happen, and it will be colder than ever.  Then the hypothesis fails.

To make me happy, the Arctic Vortex has moved out of the Penalty Box, and is taking its place to occupy the full basin.  Nothing warm happens with that.

Look at the little baby tomorrow!  Can they muddy the waters with pinpoint one-day heatwaves?

ps after the last snow melts next Spring, they have a low misery index, and I have a high one.  They can't muck with that!

ps remember that their degree of mucking has reached 'record' levels

Fine August Weather

 The typhoons have shoved some warm air up into the Arctic.  The Arctic Vortex has been pushed into a corner.

The world is cool except for a tiny little spot, and the media will make the best of it.  Had we a real Ninnie going on, the Pacific plumes would be back, sweeping over NA.  No sign of that.

A random patch in the North Atlantic is falling in temperature.  The mini-blobs continue to hit the Nino zone, but this has had no effect on world heat.  We are freezing in spite of that.

Europe gets its rain from heavy plumes hitting the Arctic air.  Those light plumes are dry.  There is a nice heavy plume coming in, but it will die, like all the rest.  Big droughts are a hallmark of the Major Ice Cycle, and if you take 10% of the Little Ice Age weather, you can continue to call it Climate Change, until the cows come home.

In all the world, the only people who do well in such a cooling cycle are us, in Toronto.  We shall grow huge cedar forests again, like BC.  And have 10 foot snow.  The rest of the world is screwed.

And you think, wow, if only people knew this was coming, they could build greenhouses instead of windmills, and grow medicinal plants.  

ps whoops, video!

There's the poor Arctic Vortex, a wallflower, afraid to dance.  

ps and the funniest headline of the day

The guy doesn't learn anything!

Which Poot was that?

 

We are only getting staged shots now.  There were 4 poots.  poot1 is dead.  I thought, if they had independent video then AI could now separate the poots.  But with staged shots, an AI mucks it up first. They all have the exact same face number, which has the same odds as the same fingerprint.

We know P1 is dead, because we don't have the wonderful things like using an aircraft missile for assassination.  How about filling all of London with radioactive Polonium to kill one guy?  Who waltzed into Ukraine on a bet?  These remainder poots are all reactive, and boring - kill kill kill.  

And if they knock down his plane, then another poots says "You missed me!"

And so we face the final curtain

 Ha, the weather is a big curtain falling.

Just dead air for the UK

 

The UK turned into an Arctic desert because the Gulf Stream failed.  You can see the mechanism now.

That light plume is just dry heat.

This gives us the process of the GS sinking.  No heavy plume will now hit the UK.  With the abolition of physics, they are deer in the headlights.

Here, we have multiple minor heat blobs lined up like planes approaching a runway.  They are keeping up the hopes of El Nino, but have no effect on the world.

The Great Heat Blob of 23-24 had the same diagonal mechanism, but these just do little bumps on the chart.  

The Big Splotch on the Pacific anomaly chart remains a stain on all physics.

ps

ps Holy Cow, it feels hot out there under the sun.  Los Vegas dry weather.

New heating event showing up

 

Now, I'm hanging up my pencils.  Although they corrupted every measurement possible, there may be a new heating event like 2023-24 showing up.

This heat blob will again drift from the NE to the SE over in the West Pacific.  I've been expecting the air temp curve to dive again, but it may not.  That's the problem with knowing the mechanics of the old El Nino cycle.  It's best not to know anything.  Good thing I only have 3 readers.

We can't estimate the effect of this heating event.  23-24 was only one of the many heat sliders, and it had a huge effect.  All the others were nothing.  I'm still expecting a high misery winter, but who knows?

The Pacific plumes are still weak.  The first thing we expect is that the BC forest fires will stop if the plumes strengthen up.  They are using a new weird index to say July was the hottest ever for the US, but that heavily weights the mid-west and not the East.  They will choose whatever they want.

ps and googs has finally cleared up the spurious counts on the readers.  It is now down to a pure 2.

I am so proud.  

Luxury everywhere, but shoved into a catering truck

 

That's the trouble with everybody wanting to kill you.  No gold toilets for the trumpybutt.

The Lion of Winter

 

I've got a cold from the grandkid.  That age, the Bubonic Plague is a sniffle.  We now have the end of Summer, and my one-second swims at the lake.  

It's very funny that this is warm air for the Arctic.  

We have a very solid front, but not the usual mechanism for winter.  This was caused by some Pacific air leaking into the Arctic.  Neat.

ps the Pacific heat blob continues to surprise, but with no heat energy.  All the world charts are staying up, but we are cold.

ps since this is Pacific air, it is just late August weather.

ps lots of press about July heat in NA.  Caused by stagnant air.  The warmie press is happy for now.

Deep Columbia M7.4 earthquake

 

This is an 'every day' earthquake for this region. It was quite deep and looks like 20 cm/s on the surface.  Most likely 5 cm/s on rock.  People are generally situated on deep soil basins or valleys.  Any size of earthquake can get them going.  They should have better construction, but who knows?

ps their site is all pga, and I can't find pgv

The AWSSI will become important

 

It's basically a winter 'misery' index of snow, sunlight, length, etc.  Last year was huge for Toronto, and people saw it in their heating bill.  This is one measurement that goes against the media, and thus, is ignored.  The year before we had the 2023-2024 heating event.  This winter will be huge again.

World temperature drops

 

This is my best indicator of world temperatures.  It shows the general instrument drift but the bumps and dips are good.  As we know from the tide levels, we are entering a cold period.  The media says we are getting hotter and hotter, while experience shows us to be getting colder.

Lots of action in the Pacific, but the giant skid mark of the anomaly remains a stagnant stinking mess.  More cold water is coming up, and I think the splotch is getting eaten from the back end, but it is hard to tell.

The cottage is enjoying late August weather with the advantage that the water is still warm from our single heat wave.  The Arctic is getting hit by a plume going up China, driven by the typhoon.  No Arctic blobs for a while.

The Gulf Stream continues to sink making all of Europe's rivers into a mud-wrestling extravaganza.  No plumes are rising above the GS heat line.

My 3 readers are down to 2, according to googs.  To get coffees, I need another earthquake.

ps today, with the clouds, it was chilly.  Perfect September weather.

Artie is saturated

 For me, 'saturated' means a product can't go anywhere.  Black slab phones, pc's, etc.  They are all at a dead end.  

I was reading that googs is dead regarding the big central AI models.  But what can they actually do?  I was asking physics questions and the responses are high school.  That goes for almost everything.  Now, the only thing left is to creep you out.  This will collapse soon.

Fine vortex weather for cottage

 

This is one step up from stagnant weather, where we get enough rain to stop forest fires, and we get to sleep at night.  Some Pacific air is hitting the Arctic so that the ice machine vortex is stopped for now.  BC is dry because they don't realize they need cold air to wring out the plumes.

Europe has no plumes and is dry as a bone.  This is all wonderful ice cycle weather, but they can make things up if they want to.  

ps very cold water is now rushing into the Pacific equatorial belt.  They used a time when cold water was coming in as a base for their bird-poop nino.  It now continues to get a haircut.

Giant El Nino poop stain starts to get eaten from the back

 

The anomaly map is a simple calculation of subtracting a 'climate base' from the sea surface temperature map.  It is meant to highlight rapid change.  But something went horribly wrong.

Nothing much is going on with actual temperatures.  The anomaly started from the 'end' which is down South America.  In a real El Nino the heat energy comes from the West.  This weird behaviour could only be a result of slightly warmer water coming up the coast of S Am.  It's still cold water.

Now, the process is reversed with colder water coming up.  The phoney anomaly is being erased from the bottom.  We shall soon see that tail being chopped off.  Neat.

ps wow, 1970's lightning at the cottage.

Rain, rain, rain

 

The big vortex is moving on, but Toronto is always at the boundary.  

Europe is clearing out the heat, but only a speck of rain.

The Atlantic plumes have no heat energy.

We should get slammed by the lower portion of the vortex, but the weather forecast isn't showing it.

Lots of action out in the Pacific.  The big heat blob has moved out of the equatorial belt, and the cold counter-flow is roaring back in.  That was some heat blob!

But the 'Big Bird Poop' just stays on the dock, and doesn't wash away.  All the curves should start falling now.

The counter-flow is now past Hawaii.

ps the media ink is still spilling

ps this is neat.  I'm expecting the rain to be pushed away by the bottom of the vortex.  You can see stationary rain, which means a big slug of rain for some people.  Basements be warned!

You always want those funny colours to move on through.  If they stay still, it is a collision of forces straining against each other like Sumo guys.

ps this is fun

North America plunging to record cold

 

So, the charts are all over the map.  Pick and choose which one you want.  The world temperature charts are at 2023.  You can say the warming is accelerating.

However, all other indicators are showing that nothing is happening.  Choose your poison.  The fact that the Gulf of Maine is plunging shows the average heat energy of the N Am is down the tubes.  

Absolute sea level continues to fall

 

They are getting rid of this view, and the text, for a new site that pushes their 'sea level rising because of climate change' attitude.  This was the only authoritative chart (for me) because it is free of calculation drift.  The least drift is the RSS plot.

The tide chart shows no real drift in temperature.  This is a drift due to urbanization and other sensor things.  

The sub-polar North Atlantic chart is least subject to urban drift, and is diving, due to the shift of the Gulf Stream.  This is the UK's future.

ps and in Europe, the river tours have turned into fossil hunting.

This has been a test of Winter

 

We continue with our weird Heatless El Nino.  

The Arctic flow has shifted over to Europe.  

We continue to enjoy no heat from the Pacific.

Some of the heat blob has moved past Hawaii.  That's keeping the curves up.  The rest is heating the Southern Hemisphere.  I can't make any sense of the ocean currents, but the map is pretty.

For Toronto, the front is exactly like Sunday, but little rain is forecast.  Weird.

ps UK's rain comes from the Atlantic plumes following the Gulf Stream.  Too bad they live in leftie ignorance.  

There is a tiny shred of a plume that might give them rain, but all the main action has sunk south.

Look up the weather patterns for the little ice age.

ps our Arctic blob curled in on itself and missed Toronto

That's the largest vortex I've seen, and it's not something I would have expected.