My surge of viewers was legitimate. Seems from the map of viewers is that everyone is from an earthquake zone, and is interested in not dying.
I'm not proud, I'll be an organ monkey, and will produce with the clink of coffees in my jar.
First off, I do earthquakes with physics and the Scientific Method. I am always right in the long term, as the odds take hold. If you flip a coin and get three heads in a row, it is the Influencer Thing to say that you will continue to flip heads (legit coin). That's because they love a linear extrapolation. That is a death trap, because if we know the physics of a coin flip, we know the long odds will come true.
It's the same with earthquakes, we deal with the long odds. Your job, to live, is to reduce those long odds. The big problem is that it takes a long time for the odds to hit, and you get a lot of 'snake oil' people going the wrong way on earthquake engineering, without basic physics.
This is a classic picture. Note the destruction and the building right behind doesn't have a cracked window. Lots of death, beside - ho-hum! That is the fun of 20 cm/s. The building behind would need 80 cm/s to start tilting.
These are modern structures so what happened?
Can you count the number of steel bars in this column? Right -- Zero! In nearly all the destruction pictures, I can't find any steel.
No steel means 'Pancakes on the House!' or "The House is a Pancake!'. No chance to survive.
- to be continued after a coffee break.
No comments:
Post a Comment