Waiting for Super El Nino

 By now, you may suspect that the Super El Nino train is late to the station.  The forecast is very cold for Apsley, Ontario.

We are planning to close the cottage a week early.

Today, all the 'doom scrolling' media has given up on the endless 'El Nino will kill you' stuff.  

The most authoritative world temperature chart is diving.  The media is always looking for more obscure charts.  Remember that the concept of 'baking to death' was a broad brush.

No Pacific plumes are crossing North America.  For the whole scary thing, they just focus on temperature, when you need to focus on heat energy

I love this 'candy swirl' in the Arctic.  Very pretty, but it is a sign of no heat energy.

Start bringing out your winter clothes.  I'm wearing the lined pants.

There is no 'come down' on this for the weather people.  Just like last winter, they will just fade away, and come out for the stagnant, short summer.

Trumpfull Arch to be armed to the teeth

 

The wings are radars for aiming the boob-guns.  The head pops off to launch missiles.  

Too many males

 In the past, the biggest threat to society was prosperity and too many aimless males running around.  I am surprised this is going on in high school.  We'll soon have public school home-comings.

In all previous times, the solution was to go to war.  Give them something to do and cut down the numbers.  All the old guys, in charge, loved this.

These police pre-answered the obvious negative comment:  'Don't you have anything better to do?'  Neat.

When we visited Ethiopia a few years ago, there were too many aimless males, drunk on the local weed.  We needed guards.  I thought, oh god, something is going to happen, and it did.  

Since we are too civilized to kill off the males, we must live with increased drunken violence.  Sucks for women.  There are talks everywhere of bring back the draft, but that doesn't work.  You need to kill them off.

ps since we are Canada and we don't kill off males, we need something else.  We had the housing boom and all the louts up the street were into construction.  But the price of condos has gone down to 2 bucks, and all the towers still going up are zombies.  We need something new.  I'm hoping 'Greenhouses for Everything' takes off.

ps obviously Southern Alberta has too many louts.

The Swirl of Cold

 I was not going to write unless something was happening, and it is.  The Arctic Basin Vortex has lifted its skirts to show the mechanism.

Only to me, is this a slice of heaven.  I am still recovering from my frozenness at the cottage.  You can see the swirl that dives under, for the centre.  In full 3d these things are complex, but we'll never know about them.  Anyway, this is the defining weather-maker for the rest of our winter.

I include a video of the hot blobs fooling the rest of the world, aside from the coffee stain on the map.  They are full 3d and being rotated by the currents.  These huge blobs 'defy physics' by being warmer and floating like a balloon at neutral density.  Amazing physics, never to be known.

The world air temperature is sinking and crossing lines.  This used to be the darling of the climate marxists, but went out of favour, by going down.  They'll switch to any chart to show their point.  However, soon, all charts will abandon them, and that makes no difference.

Toronto will get snow in October.  We will continue to get assailed with media tales of warmth, while freezing.  Have a nice day.

ps Super El Nino stories are trending down today.  Must be the weekend.

ps today, the Toronto forecast is dropping by the minute.  Can you imagine anyone on the media saying: "Where's that super el nino?"

Everybody going for the tax cash grab

 This was my idea, so I feel some responsibility to monitor it.  My idea was pure and it would work.  Unfortunately, all my ideas are 'politically unacceptable'.  I've really only had a very few pop through the corporate filter.

I didn't read what they came up with, because that would be sad.  However, I've read that farmers think it's for automatic milkers.  These are all projects that give 10% on capital, and would be funded if Canadian business and bank people weren't blood-sucking leeches.  But, they are nice people.

My idea is to create California conditions.  The States don't have that in the East because of avarice, and Canada has tax.  You need something for angel investors who lose 9 times out of ten, and then win big, in multiples of return.  Normal tax takes care of the losses, but you need to treat the winnings here like a lottery ticket.  This is not for cows.  The 'brights' have to be paid with stock options.

Take my 'Greenhouses for Everything'.  You have to accept we are going into an ice cycle, and then get all the approvals for 'medical coca plants'.  There is no concentration here, leave that to those rotten caffeine guys.  The gamble is to find a market for low-dose cocaine, like 'Cocaine Cola'.  They would fall into a lottery win.

Underground Toronto and Vancouver could host this.  Forget the 'pure wools', they throw too much garbage.  Forget the car plants - blah.  We need big winners.

More confirmation that mitochondria feed on red light

 

If you are old and read a lot, have a tiny red led flashlight in your pocket.  All our screens and ebooks are blue light, and the sunrise is red light.  Those little mitos in your eyes need to feed and there's no blood.  These scientists directly measured a 10% feed for mitos, but in your eyes it might be a lot more.

Just 1-2 minutes gets your eyes going for another few hours.  Everybody I know is afraid to do it, but they also believe in climate change.

Friggin' Freezing!

 At the cottage, huddled by the fire.  My nose hasn't warmed up yet.

I'm getting warmth from the laptop, as I read about how warm it is.  Gotta chop more wood.

ps my favourite world anal thermometer shares my pain

The standard world temp chart is also crossing lines.

Cottage Report - Sept 17, 2026

 We have a perfect stagnant air day.  Nice and warm, the water is still.  Cold air is coming in, and it might get to 3C at night, but the lake water usually keeps it up a bit.

Today's big news is that the ice extent is taking a sharp turn to the cold side.  It was following 2025, but now is leaving it.  Amazing.  Monster El Nino is having a laugh.

I'm not going to lecture anyone on what this means.  Get your snowblowers tuned up.  Our winters are going to get progressively worse, and they are already dusting off the Polar Vortex as an excuse.

Carney goes with my tax idea

 I love it.  California tax regime for wealth creation.  We can pay for social equality issues with the secondary wealth.  And we can clamp 30% more than the US, later.  No Canadian in California wants to rake in billions and become a pervert.  

Now, on to my other ideas like greenhouses for everything.  And forget Churchill Falls, we are going into an ice age.  Of course, all the Canadian monopoly criminals are going to zoom into this.  I really hope it works.

We are going to have to put Vancouver all underground, and keep the waterfront for beach volleyball, in the summer.  

We can make the next big invention of 'Poop Jets' for runners.

Toto Toilets stumble with cheap packaging

 This was a saga.  Having replaced all the insides of the upstairs toilet, I thought I still heard ghost flushing.  Oh, cracked bowl.  Then I thought I would get the cremedelacreme toilet on Costco online - The Toto Drake 2 toilet.  I didn't want the hassle of installing a monster auto toilet.  You need a lot of plumbing and electrical work.

There is was #1 toilet.  I called for them to take it back.  

#2 toilet.  Toto says they only ship in bulk, and the toilets are perfect.  The local distributor packs them.  

Anyway, I think they are garbage, and have given up on toileting for a while.  The upstairs toilet quieted down because it knew I was suffering.  Is this a comment on Canadian stupidity?  or a comment on Japanese Toyota engine engineering.  Who knows?  Buy a new toilet.

I demanded a bribe or I would write this for my 3 readers.  Nope.  

State of the Oceans - Sept 15, 2026

 I decided to do this every few weeks when something changes.  I am totally the Scientific Method, and basic physics.  By this, the oceans are the main conductors of heat energy, and the ocean currents are driven by internal convection.  This is 1000 times the energy density of air.

The weather influencers have their historic patterns, and believe the winds drive the ocean currents.  Very simple experiments could disprove this, but they hold the floor.  I have no impact on them, and I don't care.  No money is affected by my efforts.

They only use temperature and air pressure.  These are isolated aspects, and do not apply to energy, such as billiards, or basic physics.  That is good, they live in their world, and I live alone, with 3 readers.

In the past few weeks we've had lots of excitement on the physics angle.  I was freezing on the dog walk this morning.

The Atlantic has run our of heat energy!  It is a much smaller mirror of the Pacific in its mechanisms.  This is a problem for Europe and the UK.  It is ironic that they had their problems with stagnant heat waves because of no energy for ocean breezes.  That upper section of the ocean is going totally blue, and I've never seen that.  

The Arctic sea ice extent is following last year, and I predict it will exceed it, and encompass those Arctic islands.  That is the official starting flag for the Little Ice Age 2.  

The lower section of the Gulf Stream has completely collapsed on its feet, and is putting out weird bone spurs.  Poor thing.

And here is the 'Great Hot Hope' of climate marxists everywhere.  All their wet dreams are caused by lumps of hot water, travelling in a diagonal from NW to SE.  As they pass through the 'made-up' Nino zone, they cause it to flash up.  It is about to come down in a dramatic way.

We are going to have a winter worse than last year.  No moderating ocean breezes.  That summer stagnant heat wave becomes a winter stagnant -30C.  Such fun!  

ps I must make fun of the Pacific Coffee Stain.

While everything else is moving and shifting, you just can't get that stain out!

ps My position is that it is not real.  Could stay like this for another year.

ps also, we have a perfect Arctic Basin Vortex set up.  This has been a constant fixture of last winter and our miserable summer.  It has never happened before.

Really, really stopping this time

 Well, sorry, 3 amigos.  Here's what will happen.  We will go into a worse winter than last year.  Everybody will say it's climate change.

The UK will be Siberia - climate change.

There is nothing much else, so I'm leaving the blogosphere.  Even earthquakes won't bring me out.

I'm reading murderbot, and I see some resemblance.  Amazing.

I will continue with my memoirs, and create my own AI.  It will also have trouble communicating.

Never more than 3 readers in the world.

Just shot this to Gemini.  Cute how my blog never gets anywhere, not that I want it to.  It's an exercise to the non-reader on how they leave out 'convection'.  "If you ignore it, it's not there' 

physics to debunk climate change

The laws of physics cannot be used to debunk climate change; rather, foundational physics is the very framework that proves it.

While a few individual contrarian physicists have claimed that simple calculations disprove global warming, these claims rely on flawed assumptions that violate fundamental laws of thermodynamics. Here is how core physics actually validates anthropogenic climate change: 

 Quantum Mechanics and IR Absorption

Contrarians often argue that carbon dioxide (CO₂) is too scarce a trace gas—accounting for roughly 0.04% of the atmosphere—to alter global temperatures.

However, physics shows that a gas's heat-trapping ability is determined by its molecular geometry, not its atmospheric abundance. Symmetrical molecules like Nitrogen (N₂) and Oxygen (O₂) make up 99% of our atmosphere but are completely transparent to infrared (IR) radiation. In contrast, asymmetrical molecules like CO₂ possess vibrational modes that perfectly match the wavelengths of outgoing thermal radiation emitted by the Earth. Quantum mechanics dictates that CO₂ molecules absorb this energy and re-radiate it in all directions, sending a significant portion back down to the Earth's surface.

ps it's fun asking it about convection, etc.  It's like questioning trump

Avoid Underpasses

 

This is a rain-train exactly like many others.  This has a 50% of filling underpasses, but it may break up.  Weather people have it as 'showers' so they don't expect much.

ps yeah, it's going just underneath us

Warm Gulf plume smashes Arctic blob

 

Haven't seen this in a while.  The collapse of the Gulf Stream has warmed the Atlantic around the Gulf.  That was a very powerful Gulf plume that pushed the cold blob to the East.  They got the frost.

However, the plume is getting hit at the back, and it has a huge rain-train coming down on Toronto.  The weather forecast only says 'showers', but we'll see.

You can see another big blob coming.

 In Europe, no heat energy.

There's that nice Nfld frost.  

We are in for a wild time if the Gulf plumes remain strong.  The Arctic blobs remain unrelenting.

ps this is our Little Ice Age weather.  Endless collisions between blobs and plumes.  

ps the weather for Toronto during the last Major Ice Cycle was that of a cold rain forest.  We had those huge cedar forests.  You can still see the giant stumps around the cottage.  I can now see the mechanism was the collapse of the Gulf Stream forcing all Atlantic equatorial belt heat into the lower North Atlantic.  This shoves the huge plumes up north, colliding with Arctic blobs right over Toronto.  The other remnant of the last ice cycle were 'beaver marks' on old trees 10 ft up.  That means 10 ft snow for everybody!

Phoney Anxiety Alert!

 

And washing your hands.  And touching anything in the bathroom.  Will this pasta stick against the wall?  

The basic point is that if it looks clean, then it is clean enough for humans.  We have our immune system for a reason.  File this with all the other anxieties they use to make money.

First frosts a month early

 

Soon, we are going to get the story on how the jetstream is making out with the Polarvortex fairies.  All while saying it's warmer than ever.

Arc de Trumpf to be built on dead soldiers

 

I always wonder how far he will go.  Nothing is stopping him.  So, it isn't right on the remains, it will cast shade on Arlington.  The picture is missing the giant statue, Trump as a soldier.  Or raising the flag on that island, all by himself.

Toronto housing officially submerges

 

There has been a seller's strike for a few years now, supported by the banks.  They don't want the real value of their assets exposed.  This happened in Japan during the big real estate bust.  The governments don't want this either, and don't inspect the banks.

I'm thinking that if the bottom is cracked, then it will an exponential thing, like a landslide.  We wait.

ps just like bitcoin!

Most extreme New York climate marxists go for nuclear power

 

I just find this funny.  They do realize you need physics for this, do they?

Another wild time for Toronto coming

 At about 30%.  I find that when the big Arctic blobs hit us, we may miss the storm.  But somebody gets hit.

It's coming down at a weird angle, so who knows?

Europe is the fun story today, and I have no idea what's going on.  There should be rain coming in, but it seems to be in some sort of heat lock.

For reference, the Arctic Basin vortex is in full swing.

ps mild winter!  Phew

ps this says they are just patternists.  Their best explanation is 'pattern shift'  That will be used all winter.

Ice on both poles is doing well

 

This continues the winning streak of the climate marxists.  Every single big prediction has gone wrong.  But every day there are new charts, and new excuses.

The Arctic ice is on the exact path as last year, and some of us know what kind of winter that was.

If a hypothesis pings off every prediction, then it is considered good.  If it needs endless excuses and adjustments, then it is considered bad.

Arctic blob is deflected

 

A big Gulf plume is pushing it.  That's going to be lots of rain.  It should go around it and come down on Toronto.

A nice cold spear, but the anomaly map doesn't show it.  I guess the whole world now has 'anomaly disease'.  

Lots of rain, and Europe remains a desert.

The Arctic has the 'Spin of Cold' starting up again.

And my favourite indicator is dropping.  Nobody has decided to go after it, yet.

ps we are now getting predictions from the Gods of Global Warming.  All of them believe the Pacific Splotch is real.

The big one here is that the Pacific plumes will again waft over us.  Our heating degree days will be down, as well the 'Winter Misery Index'.  All wonderful things.

Did you ever notice any comment on the last winter?  Nope.  I'm saying this winter will be worse than last.  The snow-clearing budgets go over again.  All their predictions will crap out as usual, and nobody will be the wiser.  That poor guy had a big thing about the Barrier Reef being healthier than ever, and we know that the polar bears are doing well.  It's no use saying that every one of their predictions has failed, they always come up with new ones.

ps and this is funny.  Antarctica is gaining ice mass!  However, that is just a blip, caused by clange, just like all the above.

AI starts to affect the productivity of producing Stupidity

 I've always said that the only way to make money is to sell 'Stupid Stuff to Stupid People'.  Now there is something new.

That statement always implied there was somebody smarter making the stupid stuff.  That is my definition of MS.  Now, the stupidity of Artiness is threatening the factory.

The thing that would always kill Arties was that they ate their own poop.  They learned by stealing all writing and art, and now all of that is AI.  Sad.

I see the whole thing collapsing.  However, as an old man, I have to make the statement that all the young people are as thick as boards, and AI is smarter.

Trump to do the Nixon Flit

 

He made a feeble attempt to stop the whole US postal system, but that's not much.  He has read the writing on the wall, and knows he is doomed.  New Plan!  After the election, he will do the Nixon (I am not a crook), thing.  He must have made a few billion in 2 years, and it's time to go golfing.  

He's not throwing good money after bad, it's his.  Everything is his.

Arctic Double Whammy

 While I was looking at the cold coming down from the Yukon, we got hit by a right hook from Greenland.

The long weekend still has some warmth.

Since it has become so sad, I'm not making fun of the climate marxists right now.

ps the Guard is now in the air conditioning business.  They can accept their ads now.

Gulf Stream has completely fallen

 This was the big anxiety story a while ago, but now has been forgotten.  Yes, the GS has left the building of the Greenland Gap, or the North Sea, whatever.

As to the history, you have to take my word for it, since nobody else follows this.  There is no heat energy going up beyond the UK.  There was always a good remnant of the GS, until now.  We have never had the blue of very cold water creep down like this.  It would make a good student project to track this, and you could always blame everything on clange.

So now we have the reason for the sea ice extent curve.  The whole place is going to be full of ice, confirming the Major Ice Cycle.

The GS current is completely down and carving new warmth channels.  I am amazed at the speed of this.

UK is now going to experience a true ice age winter, and worse to come.  Every speck of electricity going to electric cars will freeze some old lady.

Meanwhile, the Nino Zone continues to pass hot blobs drifting down the SE.  One has almost gone, and two more to go.  This is the new method of 'store and release' for the Pacific, making the old El Nino cycle dead and gone.

You can see that the Nino zone graph is barely alive and will soon drop.  Never fear, the next lump will bring it up again.  These lumps only affect the world graph when they are forming, and not when they drift off to their graveyard.

ps it's fun what this means for Atlantic plumes.  They are the only source of Europe's rain.

The GS determines how far north the plumes go.  This is a good one, but there is a stagnant cold zone in the gap, and the plume will not go farther.  Can this plume break over Europe and give it rain?  Donno.

Arctic Rex

 This summer the Arctic has ruled over us.  Every other week or so, we were getting a huge cold blob, full of Arctic air.  The physics was that of 'no heat energy' from the Pacific.  Those plumes normally tame the Arctic tiger.

Now, we got another one coming.  They always give us big rain storms, but the rain front is always knobbly, and not all hit Toronto.

Lovely.

You can see that this one is really cold, as we should expect at this time of year.

We don't have a full spin yet, but enough to throw down some cold.

My best indicator, of Pacific heat blob action, is taking a dive.

ps 

What a mystery!

No heat energy in the Atlantic hurricane zone equals no hurricanes.

ps the hurricane thing is now blamed on El Ninnie.