Arctic is still shut down

 

The twin typhoons have stopped all Arctic vortex production.  We are just into standard gloomy November weather.

ps and just to cheer me up a little, the Nino zone has lost all its hot blobs and the temp is diving

The N hemisphere temp has shed the little typhoon pimple

Although the N pole is being swept by tropical plumes, things are still generally cold, and the media is torn between the Ninnie and the Polar Vortex Fairies.  

This might take 2 weeks to start spinning again.  I officially lose on my prediction for a big Toronto October snow storm.  Very sad.

ps they are putting the Polar Vortex to bed, maybe

Both El Nino and the PV are imaginary, so they can do anything they want.

AI follows physics

 

This was a good show.  They all raced for 'First mover advantage', and there was no advantage.  I've done several posts on this, and the main point was that it had no physics.  They just went with a 'neural knot', like a worm brain, and it appeared to get smarter the bigger it got.  However, there was a scaling factor, due to the internal wave dynamics.

The human brain divides into many modules, with a main split in half.  Bright brains have evolved to link the modules in original ways.  

What people realized, is that all these people were cutting off their knees to gain height.  Because of the lag in learning, all the AI's were improving the productivity of things that were going obsolete.  Helping you write?  This blog proves nobody reads any more.  Self-driving cars?  Who goes out any more?

The AI was addressing things in a Hallmark movie, a book store in a small town.  There can be no originality, just marching through useless tedium, like math proofs.  Can't wait to get cheaper memory soon.

ps I have officially gone to 4 readers, after 3 years or 3.

The party continues with another typhoon

 

We'll just call this El Nino, why not?  Just as the weather forecast changed overnight to freezing, it changed back again.  A delicate balance.  

The Chaos reigns for Halloween!  Close enough for Ellie.  

The Arctic vortex ran away overnight.  We've got nothing.  As the proverbial cartoon villain:  "Curses, foiled again.  I'll get you next time!"

If for some reason, you are not in a party mood, two typhoons in a row is quite rare.  I expect the normal course of cold to continue in a couple of days.  Toronto is right on the edge.

ps there's no heat left in the Nino zone.  Those typhoons are running on heat in the west Pacific.

Somebody is happy.  Why don't they call this El Nino?

ps and just a minute ago, they were trotting out the Polar Vortex.

They are ready for whatever weather comes along.

State of the Oceans - October 29, 2026

 It's sad thing that I must declare El Nino dead before Ninnie Day of Nov 1.  We will be on the edge of snow in Toronto in the next few days.

As a recap, I just do the physics weather, as defined by the Scientific Method.  Nobody uses that anymore because it doesn't fit into Doomscrolling.  Speaking of that, my doomscrolling is now doomed because AI is creating all the stories.  No money in it for humans.  The weather forecast is just looking out the window, and they turn on a dime.  Warm - climate change.  Cold - Polar Vortex.  Everybody is happy with that click-bait, and so, I am happy.

With my unnatural physics compulsion, I look at heat transfer for the Earth as a cascade.  The Earth has been in this business since the Beginning of Time.  The chaos results in lots of cycles, big and small.  It is the great innovation of Influencer Science, that these cycles were declared dead.

The most efficient 'heat pipe' of the Earth, is the ocean system.  All weather starts from there, as the heat energy eventually gets radiated out to space, like a dim heat bulb.

The big news is the massive shift of the Gulf Stream.  This started after 2016, and I've been tracking it since then.  It has gone up and down since then, but this time, it is huge.

I just use the still image for this, since there is no flow up north.  It used to keep all that cold water away, but now it doesn't.  The whole basin above Iceland will freeze solid, in the next few years.  We now have a permanent ice cyclone in the area.  That dark section below Greenland is a monitored spot on the charts.

The temperature is now falling to the beginning of the satellite era.

The Pacific has now changed a lot.  The 'ocean current energy' is now lower than anything I've seen.  All the warm blobs are being shoved down south.  That big spur of warmth is closing off the southern ocean feed.  I think it will completely come to a halt, but I don't know what that means for us.

ps with no ocean current, the temperatures could rise a big, but no heat transfer to the atmosphere because of the insulation of stationary storms.

No weather today

 Due to a lack of interest, there is no weather today, either on this page, or in the world.  Blah.

ps ok, it looked dull, but the 'Twin Sisters' icycanes are at full speed, and the central Arctic Basin Vortex is starting up.

This is a most beautiful arrangement, all clear-air vortexes that don't appear in any weather map.

This is a mucky linear clear-air storm.  I didn't think much of it, but the Toronto forecast has gone very cold overnight. 

They still think that warm air is coming after, but I don't see it.  They'll probably change that.  Snow is right around the corner, after the Big Halloween Party.

ps dense fog in Toronto today.  Fog was the big thing in the 70's.

ps natgas traders looking out the window and the price goes up.

Project 'Greenhouses for Everything' Continues

 

Saffron, a tropical spice.  We can grow anything in greenhouses, and we will have to, when El Nino poops out.  I'm pushing this, with my audience of millions.  Coca leaves are next, and nice red poppies.

In Great Suspense, Typhoon Bump Takes the Form of El Nino for Halloween

 

There it is, a perfect costume.  The Pacific is erupting and El Nino is coming to heat us.  No need to invite grouchy old Polar Vortex to the party.  

The NH temperature chart can be shown again on the papers.  Look at that bump!  We are going to have the best party ever!

The Arctic Basin Vortex is hiding away to get dressed, and the two Permanent Icycanes are putting on the glitter.

The cleanup crew is coming down, and we are going to get the clipper of my dreams.

ps no need for the excuses, super duper El Nino is here!

Start the Party!

Condensate pump an experiment on the Origin of Life

 

You need one of these if your furnace is in a room without a basement drain.  It is very reliable and pumps the water through a tube, over the hallway.

The last one lasted a very long time, and was clear when I took it out.  I bought a replacement 6 years ago, and never looked at it, and it burned out in 6 years.  Now I have a brand new one.  

The pump gets distilled water from the air conditioner, and natgas condensate from the furnace.  None of this is conducive to life or mineralization, so I never looked at it.  Upon taking it apart, I found clear bacterial mats, as tough as leather.  These sheets clogged up the pump.

A little bit of sulphur and other 'earth stuff' identical to the beginning of life.  These are the bacterial mats that created stromatolites.

We saw these in Nfld and I gave my sister a long lecture, on how the mats fight each other on the same rock, and you can see the boundaries.  To exist on the rocks at that time, the mats were tough.  And I had them in my basement!  They are formed by Archea bacteria, which still float around, and clean groundwater deep in the soil

Needless to say, I will now open it up once a year, and pour in cleaning vinegar.  Don't want them taking over the world!

ps yeah, Roxie the wonderdog just saved a lost puppy.  Lady came up in the car and asked if we saw a dog, and she was so upset she described it all wrong.  I said no, and a minute later a little dog came running up.  For a minute, I thought it was another lost dog, and asked some of the neighbours.  I just put Roxie's leash on the dog, and continued the walk. Luckily the lady came back, and all was well.  The little dog just loved Roxie, and I had to tell her firmly to be nice.  She hates little dogs.

Arctic Sea Expansion

 Yes people, the Arctic Sea is taking over the world.  Forget the Russians, because they are getting frozen over.  My hypothesis about the Gulf Stream is now validated by the New Scientist, but we need some physics, to overcome pat explanations.

The Arctic Ocean is freezing over more than in recent years.  The ocean currents feeding the Arctic with heat are flagging out.  Hurricanes are high-grade heat engines driven by hot ocean water.  Around the Arctic we now have low-grade scavenger heat engines that are the agents of expansion.

We are talking Stirling Engines, using clear air as the working fluid, instead of steamy air for the hurricanes.  The mechanism is different.  My brain hurts when I zoom into one of these, and try to make them work.  There is a double vortex because the cold air has to go down, and the warm air up.  Compressing the cold air and expanding the warm air produces heat expansion that pushes against the walls, and continues the vortex.

A hurricane has to move on to get to the hot water, but the ice vortex stays at one spot, and sucks in stray tropical plumes.  It is extreme cold at the bottom that anchors it.  I saw the ice trail that the Hudson Bay Icycane left behind.  You do not want to be at the bottom.  Can freeze a caribou in mid-stride .... 

This is a hypothesis.  Even the New Scientist doesn't do these.  They need the 'Big Pronouncement' "Ocean Current Collapse!"  It can't just run out of gas, like reality.  For the Scientific Method, we need experiments where it is not a foregone conclusion to protect the power-people.  Unfortunately, they have the money and have fun abusing power, like turning off Starlink.  

We used to have the pat explanation for everything: "The Will of God".  Now, it is "Climate Change".  I dream of a world where people get sick of this.  

ps just had a great thought to eliminate the Victorian Brutality of the Scientific Method.  Always have a twin opposite hypothesis, and the winner buys the loser a chocolate.  Get the betting markets in on it, to fund the physics.

Typhoon pushed all the cold air to Asia

 The typhoon only had a little plume hit the Arctic, but a big effect.  

We have no cold linear storms hitting us in Toronto, and clearing out the Gulf air.

The Arctic has no black, and will give rise to those thoughts it will become ice-free.

Wow, what a tropical pole!  Asia has to get out the parkas.

The Arctic Basin Vortex will recover.  We have, at least, the 'permanent' UK ice vortex.  They should be having fun.

None of this heat came from El Nino, but people will say it did.

ps some physics in the news.  They use my charts, and leave out the climate crap.

The UK cold vortex is taking its place.

Main Arctic Basin Vortex starts up again

 Today we continue our Countdown to Ninnie.  Nov 1 is the day we must start seeing heat energy from the ninnie, or declare it dead.  I got this from the AI.

Since the weather people already know that poor Ninnie is dead, they have started up the Polar Vortex.  This is just a convenient assumption and nobody can measure what is happening with it.  With Physics and the Scientific Method, that which cannot be measured does not exist.

However, the warmies can play with semantics.  They have defined the Polar Vortex as cold Arctic air.  So, when it is cold, they say Polar Vortex.  To say the cold is caused by the PV, is another great bit of False Logic.  They are full of that.

A great example is to be playing billiards, while an onlooker spouts on about invisible balls swirling around.  Every botched shot is due to an invisible ball, along with every great shot.  More and more invisible balls are being added, and they are responsible for everything.

All storms and heat energy must be transported by the tropical plumes.  Nothing from Ninnie.

We have two major types of storms from clear-air convection.  One is a linear sweep, and the other is a vortex.  Right now, you can see a new sweep coming at us.

The warmies use peak desert temperatures, I use the minimum at night, which is a better indicator of heat energy, or lack thereof, which is bleak cold.  I've always used Greenland as a cold indicator.  Right now, it is black, and it will get white soon.

As mentioned yesterday, we have a constellation of clear-air vortexes.  The mechanism for these is the same as a standard hurricane.  They are giant Stirling Engines.  The heat energy at the bottom starts at higher energy density, expands, and waste energy comes out the top, to be radiated away.  They are all double-vortexes, so much colder air is put out at the bottom.  This could have been measured, but the warmies banished all physics, when it became a threat to them.

We have a 'dance' between the central vortex, and the outer constellation.  This year, I expect to see how it plays out.  

The forecast is for extreme cold.  Last year, we had some bumps from hot blobs moving in the West Pacific.  You can see them on the Northern Hemisphere chart.  They are impossible to predict, because they are in the Heart of Chaos.  I don't think they will come to save us this year.

Down the greasy slope of Cold.

ps the Arctic flow is weak, and we have the Pacific plumes getting in edgewise.  This will lead to mucky warmish weather for a little while.

Full clear-air vortex constellation is set

 

This is it.  The nucleation centres for continental glaciation.  Had this been 5,000 years into the future, these would be the spots of extensive snow accumulation, staying through the summer.  However, the land goes up and down, and this is how the ice advance cycle works.  Land high, snow accumulates to ice, moves all over us, land sinks below sea level.  Ice melts.  

The constellation may just show when the Master Vortex is in recharge.  For now.  Can't wait for it, and its buddies to be going full blast.  Or it all vanishes tomorrow.

These vortexes have the unique property to be totally invisible to the MIMIC.  No water at all.  The mechanism is only known to me, and no weather people.  That gets me a cup of coffee, maybe.  I still have my steady 3 readers.

Nothing.  Nov 1 is Ellie Day.  It is the day when the AI assures me we will see some sign of heat movement in the MIMIC.  Nobody will see it.

ps we are in a giant swamp of uncertainties.  I just go with my gut.  The only real money here is with the natgas market, and that's just insane.

ps the polar vortex is totally imaginary, and they can turn it off or on.  It is now coming to 'explain' why they crashed out with the Ninnie thing.

ps and that's why they love me.  I told them they needed this a long time ago.  

Bleeding Commies out in BC

 

Now, we hope they can get to making money.  Greenhouses for drugs.  They have such a huge drug problem that can only be solved with lots of money.  Allow all the natural drugs you want if you go into a paradise villa.  I'm talking pure poppy gummies, red wine alcohol, and unprocessed cocaine.  They tend to taper off themselves.

Now we only have Woopie Smith to boot out.  

Clear Vortex Constellation

 Today, we continue to study the Clear Vortex Constellation.  This is a set of long-life clear vortexes around the main Arctic Vortex.  Sort of like a rock star and his groupies.

We are getting the Hudson Bay Vortex.  Usually a steady customer until the bay freezes over.  

The other type of storm is a Clear Linear, formerly Arctic blob.  This one is mucked in with the vortex, but will bring Toronto freezing weather.  We will miss our October snowstorm by a hair.

We will continue to wait at the alter for the Ninnie to show up.  

It looks like the Clear Vortexes need water right now to start.  They don't like Siberia.  

Evolution of the Arctic Basin Clear Vortex

 Just had this great thought.  The basin vortex is confined, and it reached a maximum last winter.  As the world goes into the major ice cycle, it wants to grow.  

Then I saw today's video.  OMG, it's reproducing!  Then things made sense in my physics brain.  It will split into stationary vortexes over the main glacial growth points.  Four major centres, spaced evenly.  The UK will get their very own vortex.

We will have our vortex over the Laurentian Highlands, and the Rockies .  All of these will be hard at work starting continental glaciers.  They won't succeed because the land isn't high enough, it is still pressed down by the last glaciation.  However, the centres will be fun.

Can't wait to see these things set up.  Will the Arctic basin vortex still exist?  Most likely not.

Of course, we are looking at a low chance for this year.  Maybe next.

These are due to clear-air convection, which was banned by the warmies.  One of these things produces unbelievable cold over land.  I've seen the tracks, but nothing yet in populated areas.  

Typhoon Plume is Squelched

 The Arctic has just dumped everything in all directions.  Very unusual, and the Arctic Basin Vortex is stunned.  I wonder if a new mechanism wants to come in.

Clear-air convection storms, previously known as blobs, are bowling-balling the plumes.

We are getting a little moisture from the Gulf.  The noreaster has been smashed out to sea.  Another fine clear storm is coming down on us.

That storm hitting the UK has no moisture on the MIMIC.  Shall we call it a clear-air convection vortex, the the Arctic Basin Vortex.  Are these things taking over the world?

Trump's Dogs to sue any state who does not return a trumper

 

Ok, it's almost time and we don't what rabbit he will pull out of his corrupt hat.  This is good.  They will sue all states.  He tried to put all the election officials in jail and that didn't work.  We are all glad the states run the elections and they are just as 'full of it' as Trump.  

Then they'll sue Congress and the Senate for trying to impeach Trump.  Congress should try and pull out the feathers of DOJ first, before hitting the big guy.  Anyway, this is all fun to watch.

Nin Swit emulation now works on Linux

 Like I said before, the PS3 emulation works great, but I only get so far with the fighting before I give up.  All those games are good for 10 minutes, for me.

Now I am trying the Ninswit emulation.  I have coded my reference to it, because those guys are ruthless in their ridiculous take downs.  As I have implied, Trump corruption is only a spot along a rising line.

This works great, and I am almost at my limit for the Zellie game.  I love it, and maybe I'll do a bunch of games for the intro.

In other news, Canada is starting a billion dollar start-up fund.  However, they have always had this, and it reeks of insider corruption for photo-shoots.  This is not close to California, and it won't bring back our people.  

Clear air convection storms

 If the clear-air event has wind speeds of over 100 klicks, then it is a storm.  As we get colder, these will start to dominate our weather.  Obviously, it's going to be dry for this.  

I was asking the AI about studies into this.  My contention was that all the physics done in the 70's was stopped, but the artie cheerfully said it had evolved into the study of patterns.  In other words, it was stopped.  All the artie weather models now just use the past patterns.

So, the only way to get out of this groupthink is a big whap in the head.  Don't see that coming.  Mainly because the people who love the status-quo are in charge of doing physics.  The big military fire was like an airliner drop, it was a convection storm.  No matter what sort of winter we get, it will be due to the big ninnie.  Climate change will rev up again with the short stagnant summer.

Arctic is in a mess

 

Things are not that organized up there.  I'm getting a feeling that we are just tracking last year, and not anything worse.  

The good news is that remnant Arctic air is pushing away the noreaster.  The typhoon plume will probably overwhelm the Arctic.

We shall continue our desert weather.  

ps the dream last night was that the Arctic was resurgent, just as the typhoon-plume hit, making the Clipper of the Century.  All of NA was in a 3-day blizzard.  However, almost no chance of that.