Saturday, December 21, 2024

Socratic Science uses the word 'hypothesis' for the first time

 Reference


They have a nice picture and everything.


A team from the Alfred Wegener Institute proposes a compelling hypothesis: the Earth’s surface has become less reflective due to a decline in certain types of clouds. This reduction in reflectivity may help explain the additional warming.

They are proposing all sorts of things that happened at once.  As the article says, this is a 'compelling' hypothesis.  But it remains a dream, unless they measure things.  For example, it can all be measured using existing noosa stuff.  If they measure, they will come up against the 'physics third rail', which is that convection blows out radiation in cooling.  

This is just a classic Socratic Science thing of whipping up something after the fact.  As we know, before the Reformation, all scientific explanations were determined by Archimedes, the king of Socratic Science.  How did the rhinoceros get its spots?  All sorts of things, like curing people with a bang on the head.  How did we get back to that?

The Scientific Method was introduced to combat Socratic 'explanations'.  We don't do that any more.

ps. The Physics Hypothesis can stand up to measurements, but that isn't important these days.

ps. I just had a big tussle with Google Gemini AI to finally agree that convection is more efficient than radiation.  It won't tell me how much.

In summary: While both convection and radiation contribute to heat removal at room temperature, convection is typically the more dominant mechanism due to the factors mentioned above.

  • Deep Convection: Strong convective currents can reach the tropopause, especially in the tropics. This is often associated with the formation of thunderstorms and plays a crucial role in global atmospheric circulation.  
    • At the bottom of the stratosphere (near the tropopause): The pressure is around 0.1 to 0.2 atm.

    • At the top of the stratosphere (near the stratopause): The pressure is much lower, typically around 0.01 atm or even less.

    Key takeaway: The stratosphere experiences a significant decrease in air pressure as altitude increases.

    Earlier, it said that convection only moves heat energy to the top of the troposphere.  neat.


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