Tuesday, December 24, 2024

First sighting of the next Arctic spill

 Please ignore this, I am getting ridiculous.  I stare and stare at the MIMIC, looking for the smooth front of an Arctic spill.


You can see here that all is cold on the Arctic Front.  Look at those gentle filling cyclones.  That's just a drain action of the warm air coming in over the top, losing all the heat by clear-air convection, and spiralling down to fill the Arctic Basin with cold, dense air.  That is the same as glacial head-pond action, and is due for a spill over.  But not yet.  We have a little spill through the Bering Str, but who cares?

This filling pond will never pose a threat to humanity.  No weather person would know about a Filling Vortex.  I just came up with that.


But just to drive me nuts, we see the lip of a perfect curve.  I've been 100% correct with larger curves, so I am pushing it to 'teensy weensy' so I am not always correct.  I hate that.  Stops the learning process.  Only the big guys have to be 100% correct, at least in public opinion.  They never would say 'Ooops!'.  Can you imagine someone saying they had a factor of 10 math error, but it didn't matter?

I think they have a math error of a factor of 100 in the 'radiation vs. convection' debate, but it doesn't matter.


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