I look at this plot and the NOAA plot of world temperatures. The plots are very jaggy and this month is up. It is still generally down from the 2016 and 1997 'super El Ninos'. There are no heat events in the Pacific, so next month is most likely down.
ps. the NA weather now looks to continue the pattern of the last month. The Pacific plume is going to 'pinwheel' again, bringing up the warm Gulf air against the brutally cold Arctic air. The collision zone will get the big storms again.
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