I consider this a reliable map in terms of effects for us in Toronto. Will we have a mild winter? etc.
This is better than just waiting for weird things and explaining after the fact, that it is clange.
The essence of 'usefulness' is to have a medium-term accurate forecast. The farther you go ahead, the fuzzier things seem. Which is quite different from the pencil-sharp forecasts of the warmie brigade. However they are never right, and they rewrite history to show how good they are. I am always amazed, but nobody really cares if they are right or not.
The world plot is sensitive to the poles swinging up and down. That shouldn't happen, but it does. The world plot is going down now, because Antarctica is freezing the penguins.
That recent big swing affected the world temps, because they are just adding the increase in temperature to the total, regardless of the actual heat energy. It's just one of those things.
The forecast for the next few months, is much colder weather. Next year should be colder still. If you don't like this forecast, there are a lot of others to choose. I'm not right a lot.
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