Getting into February, the pattern has changed. We are no longer getting 'clean front' Arctic blobs, mainly because the ambient temperature is starting to rise.
You can barely see a blob front in the clear air of Western Canada.
Greenland is showing full white, which has indicated the magnitude of the blob before, but it is a very raggy front.
The anomaly plot has a nice lobate front in the States, but it is different from the other plots.
That is such a beautiful straight flow over the Arctic. So, I am stopping my magnitude estimates of Arctic blobs because things are changing. Nevertheless, the natgas draw this week will be a show-stopper.
As usual, nooanosa are forecasting warm, warm, warm. The warmies have somehow found a plot that says January is the warmest ever. I predicted this a long time ago, that we would have a conflict between happy-talk, and reality.
Get out your shorts and sandals
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