Remember that anything in the future is a forecast. The Popular People fiddled with semantics to make a 'climate change' straight-line extrapolation, but it is a 30-year forecast. And we know that even short forecasts aren't that good.
I couldn't hibernate without a winter forecast. Here it is.
Winter forecast according to physics
This is a forecast for the next six months, and has nothing to do with the long-term clange forecast which lies in the area of hope and philosophy.
The ocean patterns have settled in and are good for 6 months. They can change at any moment, so this forecast is formulated to have an 80% chance of being correct. That is achieved by muddling the resolution, and having no memory.
Eastern NA will have endless clippers for 6 months. Winter will start now, and last until May. The US natgas reserve will suck air. As you can see, the West coast will have stagnant air, and will be the poster child for clange.
Europe will have clippers, as well. There won't be too much heat energy coming from the Atlantic belt, as this is exhausted. It won't be this year, but the Thames will freeze over, if you assume the same sluggish flow of the 1600's. Apparently, the flow is higher now, so it won't actually freeze over. We could have some freezing for the Dutch canals. That's all the history we have for the Little Ice Age.
Obviously, we will go into another stagnant-air summer, so the clange party can go on.
Australia will be a sog, but they shelter themselves from physics. The followers of 'La Nina' will be yelling 'Why won't you die!" Sad.
This is a horrible forecast and I won't be following it and gloating at people freezing. That's why I am going into hibernation.
ps. and young influencers share their ways to live with no heat.
1 comment:
Appreciating the heads up. I'm going to be fine... Woodburner, solar power, Starlink, big batteries and lots of food in the cupboards . You take care.
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