State of the World's Heat Flow - March 7, 2023

 This is the hard physics viewpoint.  It is consistent with all laws of physics, which influencers find constraining.  

Hypothesis -  The Earth must reject heat from the Sun, or it fries.  It has maintained temperatures for life for billions of years.  No cataclysmic event has stopped this self-regulating system.  Almost all the world's heat energy is trapped at the equator in the Pacific Belt.  It has a limit of about 30C, and excess heat energy is shunted off by tropical atmospheric plumes, and/or non-belt ocean currents.

This is the major non-belt current (Gulf Stream), which takes heat from the much smaller Atlantic belt.  It has always warmed UK and northern Europe.  It has been running for the last couple of hundred years.   Right now, it has stopped at Iceland, and the Greenland current has started up again, like Niagara Falls.  That's an ice-cold current and is decimating the GS.  Recently, it has been going up and down like a dog's tail for treats.

This is the feed to the Pacific Belt.  There is a hot wedge by Central America, but the main cold feed is getting stronger.

That hot wedge may not amount to much.  The main Pacific Belt is cold like ....  (whatever).  Australia has hopes for it to end, but it's colder than ever.  Invest in umbrella makers.  Ocean currents do not reverse easily.

Rebuilding Southern Turkey

 

This was a beautiful paradise, built on sludge.  So many disasters have hit sludge cities.  How can it be rebuilt?  

New Orleans was pure laissez-faire, which meant 'do nothing'.  All the working poor and middle-class left for Houston, with nothing on their back.  All their possessions were gone.  New Zealand's Christchurch was the complete opposite -- everybody got gov't insurance money for the full value of their possessions.  They all left for Australia.  See the difference?  Nope.

Actually, I had bright ideas, but this is the afternoon and I turn off my brain for the day.  Maybe tomorrow morning, maybe not.  I can't see a way through the muck.  Even if I did, there is no hope of enacting it.  A strongman in his early days could do it, but now he has killed too many bright people.  He will just brood in his enclave, and arrest everyone.  I need a sign of hope...

The other problem with sludge cities is that they are sinking.  This earthquake will have knocked things down another metre.  You would have to raise everything on piles and fill the gap with concrete.  Wow.

Turkey earthquake has closed out

 First a note on rebuilding.  This earthquake is an interior earthquake, exactly the same as New Madrid and Christchurch.  These are one in 500 years earthquakes.  You won't expect another one for 500 years.  You would think it would be easy to rebuild, but no.

Christchurch is a ghost town.  It's as rebuilt as New Orleans, which is now a shabby tourist trap.  Nobody wants to go there again.  Why can't anybody rebuild?  Because there is no faith without physics.  All the natural influencers have left, and there are only paid gov't hucksters.

New Madrid had no buildings at the time, so everybody just built in utter cluelessness.  When that earthquake comes around again, it will be the same as all the other disasters -- a total wasteland.

Guatemala rebuilt from an earthquake 100 years ago, and left some ruins to be charming.  But that can't be done with recent earthquakes.  Perhaps the memories are too strong.

Back to geology:

This is the full aftershock map.  It defines the fault planes of the two big earthquakes.  I was going for another big earthquake at the bottom, but it appears the geology won't support this.

Recent earthquakes with the fault lines

You can actually see the lines in the topography.  This mechanism is done.  The rift dropped, and faded out to the south.   It ran into the upper fault and wrenched it.  This caused a complex strike-slip earthquake.  

How can you rebuild and not follow all the others?  Physics, not influencers.  However, there is no physics in the world, and I expect this to become another wasteland.