Toronto's big earthquake fault - The Hamilton Fault

 All lively cities live under an earthquake threat.  There is something about the possibility of massive destruction that juices up things.  Are earthquakes more of a concern than imaginary carbon warming?  Maybe.

My main hypothesis is that you need water infiltration to have earthquakes in the continent interior.  That's probably true even for plate-edge earthquakes.

We have linears along the lake edge, and the west end of Lake Ontario is rising slowly, due to the isostatic uplift of the outlet, over by Kingston.  We did a lot of seismic reflection work, which is now hiding in the academic libraries.  Nobody wants to make the effort to get it.  Sad.

We have a huge fault under Hamilton that exhibits all the characteristics of a fault that goes every thousand years or so.  We did massive seismic scanning of the lake bed, and found it to be very disturbed by seismic motion.  This is an active fault, fed by water.  We are talking about an M7, albeit at remote odds, beyond the living memory odds of 1 in 100.  There are many other faults, all outlined by minor seismic activity.

Who cares?  If it is out of living memory, then people assume there is no chance of earthquakes.  However, all the destructive earthquakes are at the 1 in 1000 odds, rather than 1 in 100.  If the earthquakes are really frequent, then people build accordingly.  They suffer when the rare earthquake hits.

That is why I say that all cities of the world are at risk for the 1 in 1000 earthquake.  Early warning systems only work for trivial earthquake ground motion.  I have written scenarios for an M7 earthquake here, and it is not pretty.  Nor is it accounted for in any emergency scenario.  That is why Toronto is so lively, compared to a totally safe city, like London, Ontario -- blah.

ps. OMG, my brain is too active.  I suffer from my definition of the Brilliantitis gene, which was given to us by the Vikings.  It is the ability to burn the brain candle at both ends, but at 40 you better be a lush, or you'll kill yourself.  All the great people of the world have this -- Putin, Musk, etc.  For strongmen, they spend the brilliant part killing everybody in their way, and the depressive part killing more people to defend themselves.  Think Hilter, etc.  I have to hit my brain with a stick about this time of day, so I can sleep.  

More depressing smoke for Toronto and NYC

 "This is climate change in action."  In reality, we are in a stagnant mess because of no ocean heat energy.  The good news is that a Pacific plume is blowing away Alberta smoke to Europe.  Then, they can have fun with it.  The smoke only ends with rain, which stops the fires, and rains out the smoke particles.

We are back to the 70's when this was common.  Yuck.

Projects can only succeed with good physics

 For some reason, all the world AI's are hitting my AI-written site.  No human is writing this, because he is hiding, under threat of ticktok stomping death.  This is a fine example of AI destroying the groupthink with physics.  The world is not safe.

For a long time in my career, I had the benefit of internal political support for projects with good physics.  I am the last die-hard 'Scientific Method' fan.  Everybody else likes to diddle around, 'exploring' things, and making ridiculous extrapolations, based on observations.  This is classic 'momentum investing' and is always a disaster.

My last, well-supported, project for the old company was to deal with the assertion that there was a big fault under a nuclear plant.  This was supported by a lot of yelling and press articles.  With huge financial support, I did a physics experiment that I set up to be as neutral as possible.  The hypothesis was simple:  a big fault would disrupt the limestone marker beds under the plant.  I set the hypothesis as 'no disturbance', and set out to do a lot of drilling.  As with all good hypotheses, it could go either way, and I was willing to take that bet, since it was no sweat off my nose, and I was confident.  

Needless to say, all the marker beds were as flat as a billiard table.  Yeah!  But, success just put me out of a job.  New management believed all the crap I put out, as 'no chance for earthquake'.  Internally, and now, I do not have that hypothesis  They are merrily ignoring all the earthquake threats.

I had other projects that put me into the crazy house.  These were ones that had political rules that destroyed the physics.  Blah.  I only remember the good projects.

Now, we have every single big project in the world without physics.  A project with good physics can be destroyed by political interference, but a project without physics will always fail.  My biggest condemnation is 'this has no physics'.  These things never succeed.

Things without physics

• Climate Change
• Fusion Power
• Battery electric cars
• Quantum computing
• Solar and wind power

All of these could enjoy some new physics, then the groupthink would align with the Universe.  Unfortunately, nobody with an agenda to push wants to deal with the Scientific Method, and the chance they will fall flat on their face.  I have nothing riding on anything.

ps.  Al the AI left off himself on the list.  Since nobody reads or writes any more, all my AI readers are training on AI-produced writing.  This is equivalent to a new species eating its own poop.  For a billion years, every animal species has evolved methods to avoid their own poop.  My dog only eats goose poop.  

pps.  I just write to avoid the fate of the nosa engineer who could only say that using the o-rings in freezing weather was 'not good'.  He was killed and kicked out after the fact, by all the stupids who said he didn't try hard enough to convince them.  The stupids went on to more success with ozone and carbon warming.