Wednesday, March 6, 2024

World heating events have all ended

 The thing that can muck all my predictions are heating events in the Pacific.  The Mother of all heating events is the El Nino reversal.  This is much more than what the old guys make it out to be, it is a massive reversal of the belt current, and it dumps a ton of heat energy into the world.  We have also had many minor heating events in the years since 2016.  These make the peaks on the world temperature chart, and are a source of great enjoyment for the warmies.

The minor heating events seem to be a reverb of the main event.  Each such event gets smaller and smaller.  They are noted by a zone of current disruption and then a big heat blob in the water temperatures that hangs around for a long time.

We had a nice heating event last year, and it sent the charts up.


On the world dailies, the event zoomed up the chart in 2023, and kept it up, above 2016, but this was a narrow peak, with little energy.  Nobody noticed it.

Now, the chart joins the main crowd.  This parrot is dead.


The tropics have seasonality, both from the north and south.  Very weird.  However, it is cutting straight now.


Our north is also joining the crowd.  


The Arctic has had some big wobbles, which I attribute to the erratic Gulf Stream.  It will be normal soon.

This heating event hung around way too long, like an unwanted guest.  Mucked up my thoughts of the Great Lakes freezing solid.  The Gulf Stream blocked the Freezing of the Thames.  I will make up for it by a very long cold Spring, and the heating degree days up, along with natgas prices.  Or not.

ps.



2 comments:

Neil T said...

Cold is hot
Black is white
Dog is cat etc

https://www.independent.co.uk/weather/weather-warning-met-office-snow-forecast-uk-b2509200.html

Harold Asmis said...

They like their stories.