Cold water rises from the South

 

I have never seen this in all the years that I have looked at ocean temperatures.  Of course, nobody else has looked.  Why should they?  I'm going a bit nuts in posting, I expect it's the wonderful party of cusp26.  Everybody who is anybody is there, freezing with the Scottish weather.  I hope they have lots of coal to burn.

You can see that the big turn-up of cold water, up the side of South America on the Pacific side.  This must be the mechanism of a cold age.  On the Atlantic, we have it going up Africa, and when it hits the equatorial belt, we'll have no heat.

People can warm themselves up with their beliefs.  I am happy for them.  I'm looking forward to lots of snow and 40 below temperatures.  That was the winter of my discontent as a youth.  All these young-uns were raised with warmth.  Sad for them.

Gods of Carbon Warming - Buy her book

 Reference

She is a Toronto native, and trained in observational astronomy.  Not a speck of physics in her, but she is great on tv, and could debate a horse to drink, after it is led to water.

Of all the people who will fall when the ice hits us, I am most sorry about her.  Actually, her charisma is so strong she will keep going forever.  Look at the picture!  It is our scientific future.  A desert of ideas, everything controlled by charismatics.

Do you see the little spot in the middle?  That is my grave.  I'm turning over a lot.  But, since I can never succeed in the metal-verse, nobody listens.  My loony sun-spot guy is complaining that he is being cut off of ads in the metgala-world.  I was cut off a long time ago, since I bite every hand that feeds me.  

World enters the Dark Ages - Metty-eval

 

The metty-eval era was defined by a lack of any free thought.  Everything was controlled by the Church.  Now we have that age, again.

Instead of an Inquisition burning you, we have anonymous nasties issuing death threats.  At the start of the new religion of Clange, this was used to 'burn' anybody who dissented.  They started with a 97% self-selected survey, and through career deaths, they upped it to 99.999%, the same as the darkest part of the dark age.

I don't know how we'll emerge out of this.  The metty-eval power is increasing, as they go into health care and such.  Perhaps it will be 'no medicine for deniers', just as there was no salvation for the excommunicated. 

None of those in power will ever admit that they were idiots.  They will continue to use legal arguments to define scientific laws.  Why not?  They will say "Just because the ice is descending, doesn't disprove carbon warming, by our new standards, which are 10 times stricter than the original weak correlation'

I am not a 'denier' or 'faithless one"  I am all for the new definition of 'climate change' which includes continental glaciation.  :)

Europe resorts to praying that clange is real

 Reference

Clange, a contraction of fading climate change, is a real thing.  Cups26 will be a big prayer session.  All of Europe merrily got rid of sources of heat, knowing that heating was unneeded with our hot future.

Our friend, pootine, pushed that along, and so, we have this headline.

Why would anybody think that?  I'm sure he didn't fund the commies to get rid of all nuclear power in Germany.  

ps.  to paraphrase a famous headline "Just because the world is getting colder, doesn't disprove carbon warming"

Air glacier coming down in Canada

 

We have two major actions for our weather.  One is the transverse of a tropical plume from either the Pacific or Atlantic.  In the winter, these are our only sources of heat energy.  In the summer, they moderate temperatures for the land-locked regions.

Then we have static or stagnant air when nothing happens.  For the western part of Canada, this can produce tremendous heat in the summer, which is blamed on climate change.  In the east, the temperatures of stagnant air are moderated by the Great Lakes or the ocean.  

In the winter we have 'blobs' of extremely cold air coming down on us from the Arctic.  These can be seen on the above chart as very clear air.  While we were having the 'Great Heat Pipe' the blobs stayed away and went to Europe.  Poor them.

Now, we are getting the blobs.  If they are extremely powerful, then they go all the way to Texas, and freeze the little 'female slavery' freeks.  For Toronto, a blob almost always bounces off the Great Lakes.  Perhaps this winter, the lakes will freeze, and the blobs will sail right over, and hit our water pipes.

This one is coming down and will put Toronto down to 1C.  Neat.

**I have as much chance of anyone from Texas reading this, as anyone from Alberta.  :)  Their only bright light is Mr. Rex, who was kicked out of a nice province.

ps.  Europe is now pushing up the warm air, and the cold blobs are down on us.

pps.  wow, I just thought of great physics in how the warm air rises to the poles and the cold air descends, laterally on a sphere with uniform gravity.  It makes my brain hurt.

Toronto has a major inbreeding problem

 Reference

Now, I didn't read this article, why would I?  Toronto has a big cousin problem, obviously, if they went through so much trouble.

Now, we've all read Jane Austen, and first cousins marry all the time.  Did that bother anybody?  But seriously, look at royal families.  You can see the effect of inbreeding.  

I'm totally against first cousins marrying.  This should be a national campaign.  We need posters, and people on the street.  "Throw out all cousins in Toronto!"  I'm done now.

**this was satire.  I was struck by all the fuss, on the part of the silly building and the silly news.  :)

Beginning of the end for battery cars

 Reference

Telsa and others have been living off of by-products.  Let's say you made batteries and cars out of leather and was a big success.  Could that scale?  Could you supply the world with cars?  No, leather is cheaper because of hamburgers.  If you exceed the supply, there is a huge cliff in supply, and you are dead.

My son has the original fordy electric car.  It's chock full of batteries, and in the winter it gets 70km range, if you are willing to freeze to death in it.  I have two hybrids, and they are best cars ever.

Batteries need mobile protons.  That was supplied by hydrogen, and now it's lithium.  And then you need very exotic electrodes and anodes to get any range, and good recharge ability.  Those protons take a long time to move, if you don't want explosions.

And then there's our problem with electricity.  Right now, the byproduct of nuclear plants is cheap electricity at night.  This has no future.  What happens when cars become the main demand?  My street with the 1950 transformer and old lines can't take it.  I have a lot of experience in the electrical industry and we are doomed.  Anyone want to talk about main transformer stations in Toronto?

Once we get into the big ice cycle and the Thames is frozen over, we can go back to carbon, which is the best way of making hydrogen stable for fuel.  Forget hydrogen distribution.  It would make propane look as safe as water.  If Alberta had half a brain, they would be getting into physics.

ps.  I think with many important metrics, the cost of battery cars was going down.  Power density was going up, total energy per dollar, range per dollar, etc.  Now, that has ended.

pps.

Antarctic ozone hole closes the season as a huge thing

 Reference

It's the biggest ever, due to cold temperatures.  Of course, they say that it would have been bigger without the trillion dollar Montreal thing.

nusa jumped on very weak evidence that a chemical reaction caused the ozone hole.  However, it was the heady days of 'blame humans for everything' and they let their imaginations go wild.  Next year, the hole will be bigger, and who cares?  Are you going suntanning in Antarctica in the winter?

They destroyed the lab experiments and the people, to keep this story going.  How embarrassing would that be?

This winter in the Northern Hemisphere, the ozone hole will be bigger than ever, and they will say the same thing, and for next winter, etc.  Will the people get suspicious?  -- nah.

This is a cute plot.  Would they pot the strat temps on top?  Nope.  Would I do it?  Nope.  Will anybody do it?  Nope.

ps.  the comments were cute.  They show the nastiness, and why I always misspell things.

Clyde Spencer | October 29, 2021 at 4:48 am | Reply

“While the 2021 Antarctic ozone hole is larger than average, it is SUBSTANTIALLY smaller than those in the late 1990s and early 2000s.”

I don’t see it! I think that “slightly smaller” would be a better description.

“… without a Montreal Protocol, it would have been much larger,” That sounds like whistling in the dark! How does one prove such a claim?

It looks to me like weather plays a more important role than CFCs. There have been two anomalously low events in 2002 and 2019. Otherwise, there has only been a slight decline in the trend, which could be attributed to temperatures, as the anomalous lows were.

The 10th Man | October 29, 2021 at 7:40 pm | Reply

This author is obviously shilling for the CCP. Unregulated aerosol’s use by Chinese industries has undone decades of western bans. Keep trying shill, no one here believes you.

Harold W Asmis | October 30, 2021 at 3:35 am | Reply

At the risk of sounding shrill, I would like to see the plot of ozone hole size and stratospheric temperatures. It would also be nice to see freon releases, and/or chlorine. Otherwise, I suspect it is just selective plotting to push a story.

Bruce black hole-2 hits Precambrian basement

 Reference

This is good geology.  You drill and extract cores.  Just to be sure, you drill into the basement granitic rock, and then you ignore it.  It makes a nice picture.

Unfortunately, they took the picture of a core chunk, in front of the core box, showing fractured rock.  With cores down by Lake Ontario, you pulled solid 10 foot cores that could kill an elephant.  That's stable rock!

What they have here is the same as Black Hole 1.  They ignore it, and 'drill in' on the limestone just above it.  Where the Precambrian is fractured, the limestone is fractured.  However, if they are real lucky, like BH1, they can find a chunk that isn't fractured and go to town with it in the hearings.

It is sad that they are drilling into the hanging wall of the Grenville Front, which is a huge ancient fault, formed about a billion years ago, when we had a giant mountain range.  This fault produces earthquakes, and will be even more unstable if they muck with the water regime.

Unfortunately, they are drilling for 'high level waste' which has the exact same radioactive element problem as 'low level waste' but with a lot of heat.

As with bh1, they have the same rotten rock on top.  It's all related to the big fault.  They won't be able to sink a shaft, so I don't worry about it.  It's just another fun thing to watch that has no physics.  We expect it will fail, just like all such things.

ps.  if you live nearby and are worried, just take the money and laugh.  It's like when Bruce wanted to build a nuclear plant on Lake Erie that freezes solid in the winter.  Some people were so upset.

pps.  limestone is more likely to have larger fracture systems that you can't catch with a borehole.  The granite is brittle and fractures like smashed auto glass.

The big heat pipe moves on

 In an unbelievable development, the weatherchan, that bastion of warmie weather jargon has actually used the mimic warm air imagery.

Reference

Of course, they screw up the physics, but it's good tv.

For real physics, we go to the mimic chart again.

The 'Big Pipe' has been with us for quite a while.  It was a river of warm air going right up the middle of the continent and warming the Arctic.  I said it would eventually move and it has.  These patterns set up and can last for months or longer.  

The pipe was keeping the Canadian Arctic 'warmish', and was pushing the cold air to Europe, causing them to burn coal.  Now, it is all breaking up, and who knows how the dice will land?

The Arctic ice volume is taking a wobble up, and ice extent is doing well.

This is a 'denier site' and will be ignored at cuppy26, but perhaps the weathchan will use it one day?

ps.  perhaps weathchan has to up its game, because of foxy-weathchan.  Wouldn't it be fantastic if foxy went all Scientific Method, and physics?  With my luck, they'll just go creationist.  :(

pps.  it will be interesting if we all have to hide during inthecups26, or will they all be happy drinking carbon-beer and freezing?

more: ha, just looked at foxyweather.  The dancing weatherman is the big attaction.  :)

Back from the North

 I had a few days in Huntsville to toughen me up for the cold.  My cheap drone lost all signal and ended up in a tree.  Perhaps the wind will blow it down before the snow comes.

The weird pipe of hot air going to the Arctic, which has been here for a month, looks to be moving.  The Arctic is still warmer than normal, but I'm expecting that to end for copy26.  At the start of next month, I am expecting the sea level chart, and the Spencer graph.  It looks like rss is out for the count.

Canada winning Arctic push-pull

 Yeah, we are generally winning by pushing the cold air over to Europe.

For about a month now, we've had a pattern of equatorial air pushing right up the centre of the continent.  These patterns are wonderful, and may last a month or two, but can change on a dime in a moment.

You can see the brutal clear air coming down on fuel-starved Europe.  

The end result is a warmer us, and colder them on the temp anomaly map.

Although warmer than expected, it doesn't make a good news story, since it is below freezing.  

Perfect twin cyclones to hit BC

 If you just look at the surface winds, you see two perfect cyclones.

These are magnificent in their tight eyes.  You can call them a 'bomb cyclone' if you prefer meaningless names.

If you look at them with the moist air chart, you can see they are plumes.  Somewhere in there you could find an energy calculation, if you wanted.

But, the poor warmies of Vancouver must just batten down, and get hit.

Tip of a tropical plume is always a big storm

 Weather people just consider highs and lows, and no physics.  This allows them to keep a straight face when saying the Jet Stream is carrying weather.

For example, the UK always goes 'wild' about storms from the Atlantic.

In reality, these are tropical plumes, or 'atmospheric rivers'.

You can see that the physics is clear.  Tremendous heat energy is carried up from the equator.  But the weather people only see the surface winds.

Which are swirling in a classical storm.  This is the tip of the plume hitting the cold air.  

Intense tropical plume activity over the Arctic wobbles both ice indicators

 This is just interesting physics.  I have used both charts to explore the 'cold phase' of carbon warming.  This year, ice has been big.  Antarctica has been extremely cold with the largest ozone hole.  The Arctic ice is setting new records, and, perhaps, the unmeasured Greenland ice sheet is still melting -- ha.

Once the cold weather gets settled in, the Arctic air becomes clear as .. ice.  That's because this chart shows water vapour that can form rain, only if, it meets very cold air.  The plume air all comes from the equator, and carries about 10 times the heat energy of dry air.

Right now, the Arctic is full of this warmer, moist air, and this is wobbling the ice indicators.

The poor Danes have been labelled a 'denier site' by the cbc warmies, but this is good physics.  The end of the curve has bent down a bit.

The Arctic ice extent is more dependent on winds, but it was going up and is now curving down in time for coppy26.  Doesn't really mean much.

The weather in the UK is totally dependent on what the next plume will do.  A direct hit gives them warm weather.  A miss, freezes them.  In the old days, when the Gulf Stream was a factor, you could see the plumes zooming up the low-pressure trench of the warm water, and always hit the UK.  Now, they almost always miss.  The UK is now enjoying their proper latitude weather, which is Labrador.

ps.  to be petty, I'm thinking of the biggest blizzard to hit Glasgow in history.  The physics allows it right now.  And then the 'explanations' would be hilarious.  But, such wonderful things never happen...

pps.  you can also see that the Arctic is unusually warm on the temp anomaly map, while we are cold.  You can expect the cbc warmies to just mention the warmth.

Physics forced into climate philosophy

 Reference

The last two good physics papers had huge 'apology' endings.  They said that although physics ruled all the previous temperature cycles, this last one was climate change, and please don't kill us.  This worked, since the cbc warmies just read the last bit.

This paper is interesting since they are working with the current cycle.  They correctly identify the huge energy amounts of heat energy, but say that this is stopped by a little Greenland melting.  They go on to say that the melting is causing the cold in Texas, even though Greenland doesn't melt in winter.

Basically, they say that Greenland melting is causing extreme cold in the Northern Hemisphere during winter, and that it has stopped the Gulf Stream.  But why would the melting continue if it is biting the hand that feeds it?

So, all in all, a rather horrible concept.  

Cold is now climate change

 It is official in the leading climate newspaper.  The Manchester Guardian, left of the lefties, has incorporated cold weather into climate change.

Reference

Whereas every other newspaper has danced around this, by only calling 'cold' weather, we now have this statement.

French beekeepers expect their worst harvest in decades as unseasonably cold and wet weather due to climate change has prevented bees from producing honey.

Climate change is now 'all inclusive'. 

I'm still sticking to 'cold is weather' for now.  We really need all the mouthpieces on board with this.

Air glaciers fighting plumes

 This is quite dramatic.  The air glacier is a clear zone of very cold, dry air.  It behaves exactly as a descending continental ice sheet, except a million times faster.  The tropical plumes, our only source of heat in the winter, can counter them.

This one is a bit mucky, and I'm cheating by looking at the long-range weather forecast, which is very cold.  All the warm, moist air is being shoved away by the density of cold air.

Europe is a battlefield.  If we are lucky, everyone at cop26 will get stuck in the snow, or all their carbon-spewing flights will be cancelled.  :)  Great headline "Carbon Warming Party Frozen Out".

Cold is weather, and I'm allowed to project a little.  Read about how the Little Ice Age came in to Holland, and started ice skating.  I'm still convinced it ended the Dutch Empire of Rembrandt.  maybe

ps.  In time for the big 'Frozen' party, the poll is now 99.9%, just like an election in Bela-russia

Ontario vaccine site crashing

 It worked for my wife, and now it doesn't work for me.  It can only handle 2000 people per minute.  I had hoped they didn't use MS servers.  The rate for Ontario should be somewhere around 10-100,000 per minute.  Oh well, I suppose it will work some time.

I can't wait for Friday night hockey games, and we need 1 million per minute, or greater.  They got their 'orders of magnitude' wrong.

Now, we're going to get endless finger pointing, and the poor idiot cousin of the premier will never get mentioned.  :)

ps.  I can just imagine -- "Oh, we don't need any new hardware, we got lots of stuff from E-Health hanging around."  :)

pps. please note that it did work at 6 in the morning.

Snowball Earth Doesn't Prove Anything

 

This is great because there is nothing that can take on climate philosophy.  This article doesn't say what could disprove global warming, because nothing can.

This big Arctic sweep is just cold weather.  Antarctica is very cold, and has the biggest ozone hole on record, but that doesn't prove anything **.  So, we simply must face the fact we are having colder and colder weather, while carbon warming is sacrosanct.  I'm happy with that, because carbon warming is now totally out of the Scientific Method, and sustained by Climate Philosophy.

**the size of the ozone hole is just related to temperature and nothing else.  However, as the holes get bigger and bigger, it doesn't disprove the Freon Philosophy, because nothing can.

ps.  I can think of a neat t-shirt for the big party.  -  Who can disprove?  Noooobody!

Baby nuclear reactor to go up at Darlington

 

I'm happy for all the enjoyment this will give me.  I expect it to as good as the Bruce Black Hole nuclear waste thingie, and the Niagara Tunnel.  All with billions poured into the ground.

A baby nuclear reactor (bnr) is a dim bulb next to a single Darlington reactor, but has the all the same troubles.  These are meant to be scattered all over the province, and will save on power grid lines.  The main plan has all the rationality of carbon warming.  Without this whole carbon thing, then natural gas power plants would be the order of the day.

A baby needs the same cooling requirements as big sucker.  However, this is molten salt and bit more sensitive on the trigger finger.  I can't wait to see working plans, since none now exist.  Perhaps they can dig up (literally) all the heavyweights of nuclear physics.  I don't think that many bright young ones have gone into it lately.

Those into fantasy, can think that babies can feed electric cars.  Neat.  Those, who sip grim reality, know that it will be methanol fuel cells and graphene super-capacitors.  I'm not predicting anything in a world where bittycoin zooms up to a million dollars.  :)

ps.  I give this my most severe condemnation, which has no weight in the world -- It has no physics.

pps.  I have made no great effort to look into this.  It just strikes me as a scaling problem, and is somewhat similar to throwing windmills all over the place.  I did all the siting for new nuclear plants and this whole thing just hurts my brain.

Arctic ice volume has passed recent times and charging for a new record

 

I've been waiting for it to cross the final line.  It is now heading for the average, and I think it will go for a new record.  This measurement has only been available fairly recently, with radar satellites that can penetrate the ice.  

Thank goodness this is only due to cold weather, and has nothing to do with warm climate.  The warmies are pretty well out of measurements.  The last great article just focused on continental interior maximum temperatures, which have almost no limit, when the air is stagnant.  

However, next summer they can find a good land-locked heat wave, with fires, and all their money will keep flowing in.  I'd hate to see all those people out on the streets.

ps.  I just turned on the furnace.  Darn cold weather.

pps.  and in a great article, they talk about La Nina 'reviving', instead of being just a lack of heat energy.

but, instead, it is a stone dead corpse.

Toronto Cannabis Harvest Time

 We have had a horrible rainy fall, and the cannabis is a bit weird this year.  Normally, we would get yellow large leaves, but now they are just fading.

But the little curlies are now drying up, so it is time.  We have a big crew coming in because the destemming is a lot of work.  All the big growers have machines for that.  The variety I grow is cbd-rich with some thc, and is an excellent healer.  The old people say it puts them to sleep without aches and pains, and they love it.  Only a quarter teaspoon of the oil is required.

I hardly take it any more.  If I am sick or injured from too much lifting, I take a 'healing dose' of almost a teaspoon.  That stops me from walking, but it works for days and totally heals.  I only planted two plants this year.

My kids don't really like it because it puts them to sleep.  They once had a big drinking party at the cottage, and everyone was asleep at 8 pm.  So, not a party drug.  You want to go all thc for that, and it's great when playing euchre.  

ps.  the time for cleaning is like 5 to 1 in the processing.  

pps.  this is a true miracle drug with everybody who's tried it.  However, it has proven useless in the end.  People are cured of their pain and inflammation, and then go back to what wrecked them in the first pace.  Old guy went back to digging out his garden by hand and laying stones. (80 years old).  Another old guy got a new knee, and this cured him of post-operative pain, and then went back to taking two stairs at a time.  blah.

Linux - New KDE

 This morning, if you do a regular upgrade, then your kde won't work.  You have to go into recovery mode and do a 'full-upgrade'.  Then you get the 25th anniversary kde.  Neat.

ps.  this is the first time kde worked perfectly with a full upgrade.  I've had so many problems doing this.

Europe gets blasted with our first air glacier of the season

 

So, they think they are cold already?  Lots of warm sweaters needed at Glasgow.  

Our air seems to be pushing the cold blob over.  Soon it will bounce back.

Climate change is real!  Don't tase me, bro!

ps.  now everybody and their dog are talking about the horrendously cold winter coming.  Might even be true, but there is a great liberation to detach 'cold' from climate change.  COLD IS WEATHER.

Our permanent La Nina

 

La Nina, a cold weather event that normally occurs every three to five years, has surfaced for the second consecutive year over the Pacific Ocean, the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration stated in a news release.

The Pacific is cold and it looks like it will be cold for years.  The weather people have no physics to define El Nino and La Nina, just descriptors, like hot and cold.  We, who are fans of physics, know that cold water has poured in from Antarctica and quenched the Pacific heat engine.  It's like a large tropical volcano.

The UK has had its 'Year without a Summer' and will continue to have these.  This year, the cold is being fobbed off with La Nina, and the Polar Vortex Fairies, and next year will be the same, same, same.  As long as people are willing to pay to confirm their beliefs, we will have this.

'Cold is weather, hot is climate'.  I'm not making any projections, because that would be 'bad thought', and I'd get cut off.  I'm just commenting on the weather.

ps.  according to this chart, 2 years in a row is almost nothing - just weather.  3 years in a row would be something.  Since this sort of thing is chaotic, I can't say anything, but I think a long ice cycle would have a permanent La Nina.

NOAA world temperature plots are down

 

I was expecting an uptick because of Spencer and that little bit of heat in the West Pacific, but they are staying down.  This is not a 'denier site'.

This plot is keeping its position.  The warmies are giving up on any plots now.  They are just using 'anomalous cold weather in the context of numerous stories of heat waves'.  They only refer to one cold spell at a time, and count all the heat waves since 1997, the start of the past warm cycle.

ps.  yeah, polar bears are back.

Siberian air for the West

 

These tropical plumes are very important for our weather, but they are chaotic.  This pattern is new to me.  The plumes are dragging down very cold air from Siberia and the Arctic.  At the same time, the low pressure (warm, rising air) is bringing up the Gulf air for the East.

Unlike our confident friends gathering in Glasgow, I see a lot of uncertainties.  My main prediction of it becoming colder is simply based on historic cycles, and a general lack of heat energy coming from the Pacific.  I hope they have a record cold in Scotland, with lots of snow.  Won't phase them at all.

Arctic Ice is Melting -- Not!

 Reference

This is a well-written article, and was totally valid in 2019.  

The ice volume is now above all the notable curves, and is heading to average.  All the reports they publish are dated.  Nevertheless, ask any cbc fanatic and they believe the Arctic is melting and the polar bears are dying.  I think this can go on for quite a while as they use older and older studies.

Remember that anything cold is 'weather' and anything hot is 'climate'.  I believe that this is believed, and I'm sticking with that.

ps.

The UK is going to have fun with no fuel.