Tropical Plume Report - Mar 16, 2019

So, now everybody is expecting warmer weather.  They only remember the last 20 years, which were wonderful.  If you are a warmie, then you only read projections which go on and on, hotter and hotter.  In the last few years, no warmie newspaper has published actual temperatures, only the projections which get more and more fantastic.

On the real earth, we are running out of natural gas to heat houses in the US.  They forecast the demand to the last puff, and this year they are wrong, as they will continue to be wrong, for the next 20 years.

Our weather for the next month or two is dependent on the behaviour of the tropical plumes, or whatever you want to call them.  For December, when we had our pipsqueak El Nino, we had regular vertical plumes that brought us a lot of heat.

For the last few months we've had 'slashing plumes', that is a plume which crosses the Pacific as vertical, and then slashes down on North America.  This sucked up warm Gulf air, and gave us big thaws, between 'polar vortexes', which have nothing to do with a vortex.  It's just a pretty term.

Now, we have stopped that pattern, and it looks like we'll get high plumes that come in through the Yukon.  This gives us very cold air without the big thaws.

Meanwhile, the slashing plumes always produced Atlantic plumes that hit the UK directly like an arrow in the bulls-eye.  I called that a 'fools paradise' and it looks like it has come to an end.

ps.  high plumes are driving down cold Yukon air.  Looks like maple sugar weather until April.

pps.  still -40 in the Arctic, yeah!