Wednesday, March 6, 2019

Toronto real estate chart


Not much to say here.  FOMO means 'Fear of Missing Out', which is what causes people to buy bitcoin at the peak.  February shows a slight bounce.  Lots of houses for sale around the neighbourhood, all the signs buried in the snow.  The only sales are those people who have had the house a long time and can afford the 20% haircut.  Condos are flat but thousands of units are coming on-line.

Theoretically, things will pick up once the snow melts.  All the people who pulled their listings last year will try again.  When will we call it a crash? 

In the fall of 2017 I called the crash when the Chinese wild buyers suddenly pulled out of Unionville.  It has limped along since then, but all the new housing must cause pressure on people who are strung out.  They held on for a whole year, but can they hold on for another?  We'll see.


2 comments:

Anonymous said...

The wider economy is tanking. First quarter GDP will be underwater. The chart is the correction. The real price crash comes once everyone realizes the party really is over. T.O. is bankrupt. Good time to hit everyone with increased property taxes - and - a carbon tax and
a pharmacare tax - and - and - and.

Harold Asmis said...

If every penny of bank money was put into this bubble, I can imagine the economic consequences. Right now, all the money is going into a warehouse bubble north of the city.