Ice Age Marches On

 To be clear, I really call this a major ice cycle, but Ice Age is a movie.  What has been always ignored by the warmies is that we have cycles of warm and cold.  Historically, these are best defined by how north they have been able to grow grapes and oats.  Using crops is a 'heat energy' thing, and very much in line with physics.

My best indicator since 1930 is the tide gauge in Oregon.  This only shows the 'short cycles' lasting a decade or two.  The long cycles last about 300 years in total.  

My mechanism for these cycles is action in the Pacific, which controls all our weather.  A short cycle is 'El Nino Action' which is heat activity of the historical Pacific equatorial belt.  That has always been fed from the North Pacific.  There is a mechanism of heat energy accumulation and release.  I have never figured that out because it is so complex, and involves massive ocean convection, with vortexes.

Anyway, that mechanism is long gone.  Now we have the belt feed from the south, and it is cold water.  Our last few heating events have been diagonal, down to the SE.  We still have a heat blob from one stuck in the equatorial currents.

This is the chart the warmies have always used, in various forms.  It is the air temperature, summed over squares all over the world.  It has no physics, but it correlates most with the general concept of feeling warmer or colder.  It shows all the recent heating events, including the major one of 23-24.  It is dropping like a rock.

The warmies have switched over to the summed sea temperatures which is invalid over the summer because it leaves out the poles.  Any port in a storm, I suppose.

The best 'physics approved' indicators of an ice cycle will be 'heating and cooling degree days'.  This directly correlates with snow budgets and heating bills.  Once again the US will get close to 'Empty' on their natgas storage.

There is no record of weather in NA during a major ice cycle.  We just have reports from the early settlers.  Looks like fun.

Our summer will be short, saving on air conditioning, and our winter will be longer than the last ones.  Yeah!  Meanwhile, the media will claim that it is all climate change.

ps this hypothesis is 'testable' by heating degree days and snow budgets.  It could be wrong, and it's back to the drawing board.  No foul.  The warmie mumbo-jumbo is not testable.  It can be 'proved' to be always right by self-interest consensus.

ps if you look at the backgrounder, you can see my mechanism for Continental Ice Advance, which is confused with Ice Age.  It involves the up and down motion of the continents, and cannot happen for another 10,000 years.  When the continents are all up at the top, and we have a Major Ice Cycle, then the snow will stay for the summer.  Inch by inch...