Thursday, May 21, 2015

Physics Lecture - The Basic Rules of Physics - Tail and Dog Part 3

So now we know the mass ratios of the dog and tail, it's time to look at the noise.  We are also working with heat energy, specific heat, and atmospheric infrared reflectance.  Is the dog active?

Hear a fantastic Nasa simulation.

At same time, we see the clouds following the same lines.

In terms of heat effect, the ratio of ocean to cloud is the same as that of cloud to carbon - many factors of 10.

In fact, the only thing to ever disturb the satellite-determined temperature was a big El Nino. (and a volcano)

The dog is active, and any carbon signal (if it even exists) gets buried in the noise.

In summary, we now live in a world that doesn't believe in physics, but physics believes in the world, and sometimes comes back at ya!

End of series.

Wednesday, May 20, 2015

Physics Lecture - The Basic Rules of Physics - Tail and Dog Part 2

To continue, in the Earth, with regard to available heat energy, the oceans are the dog, and the atmosphere is the fluff on the end of the tail.  In the atmosphere, water vapour is the dog, and carbon is maybe one hair on the tail. (In terms of heat reflection).

It not enough to merely state the energy ratios, one must also make a statement on stability and sensitivity.  If Roxie stood super still, and on high alert, then it is possible that blowing on the tail fluff might her jump.  How likely is that?  In chaotic, super-sensitive system, the flap of a butterfly wing may initiate a Class 5 typhoon, but really?  In physics, we have to determine the stability of a system, the noise and the signal.  Unfortunately, in Canada, the term 'stability' has been redefined to exclude sensitivity, and random forcing functions.  For nuclear waste, they would say that a stone teahouse in Nepal is 'stable' because nothing has happened to it for hundreds of years.

But we can't do that in Physics World.  We have to take the whole enchilada.  For my dog we have to look at the random forcing functions, the magnitude and frequency (how often).

Okay, that means that any little input from the tail would be swamped by all the other things.  When the noise to signal ratio exceeds a factor of 10, we say the signal is drowned by the noise, and dead men tell no tales.  You say, what about Oklahoma?  That's because the rock is super-sensitive, at high stress, and nothing has happened for thousands of years.  You change the saturation of the fluid, and suddenly there are earthquakes.  Keep going and the mechanism builds up.  It's like if you played with a tiger's tail long enough, sooner or later he'll rip your head off.  That is what is happening in Oklahoma.

-to be continued.

Physics Lecture - The Basic Rules of Physics - Tail and Dog Part 1


As I've said, all pithy comments now go in my g+ collections.  I can't help it if I'm the only one on this.  I've followed every Google Titanic to the bottom, and the same goes for this.  That's what happens when anti-social super-nerds try to take over the world.

You can't do full articles on social media, so the blog has to stay for a while.  I throw these over the wall, not expecting any comment.  As one commenter hinted at, maybe powerful people read this.  If they do, I don't want to hear about it.  :)

Today's Rule of Physics:

Rule 1: The Tail Cannot Wag the Dog

The inspiration for this came from the above article, when the warmers are trying to bring in selective physics.  My only objection to this whole thing was the lack of physics.  Now they are bringing a little physics, they have opened the floodgates, to put this whole thing in the Physics World.

The Original Gore-ist Hypothesis:  Carbon is the major influence on global temperatures, by an order of magnitude, at least.  Although no physical measurements support this, it works through a 'magical' link with water vapour, and various mysteries in the stratosphere.  If the insulating factor rises linearly, as in the graphs, then temperature must rise exponentially, which is basic physics.  Our children will bake in a New Venus.

For Rule 1, we figure out what is the dog, and what is the tail.  A dog must be orders of magnitude (10 to 1000) more than the tail.  Lets look at heat energy.  Heat energy is defined as the potential to do work, in this case, to fry us.  Temperature alone is not enough, the spark from a fireworks sparkler is super hot, but cannot turn you to ash.

-that's all I can write right now.  More to come, with pictures even.