Saturday, August 6, 2022

No change in the oceans for years


This is interesting in that there hasn't been a change in ocean current flows for years.  The first video is derived from ocean Argo floats.  It has rather poor resolution, but it there is a change, you see it here first.  The biggest change was the 2016 El Nino, where everything reversed.  The temperature anomaly is high resolution, but it takes quite a while to change after the currents change.

This means that the oceans have settled into a new stable configuration.  We're talking about at least 7 years for a major change, the previous El Nino cycle.  For the last few hundred years, since recorded history in that region, it has been exactly the same.  7 years, then a one-year El Nino, and then a 1 year rebound or La Nina.  Naturally, there have been slight variations if you want to tear this all apart with philosophy.

All of California planned the big dams on this cycle.  If you could hold off for 7 years of drought, then the dams would refill again.  The people in Chile knew all about this, as some deserts wouldn't get a speck of water for 7 years.

Well, sorry to be the bearer of unread bad news.  That was so yesterday.  Now, it's all open and this crap about 3-peat La Nina belongs in the garbage can.  But the weather people don't want to change until their retirement.  We'll just see the equatorial belts getting colder and colder.

If you live in Australia, then the question is 'How long can you tread water?'.  If you are in Canada, we are back to 10 feet of snow, and 40 below in the winter.  The 4 weeks of end of July and beginning of August are good for summer.  You can see that the cold is breaking through, so enjoy the heatwave while you can.  

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