Friday, August 21, 2026

The Man with no Hormones

 These are sections of my fictional account of an ordinary man.  I am taking advantage of having no readers to throw it out into the universe.  I dictate to my phone, and then use Gemini to proof and edit for publication.  I never read that version.


Grade 13 served as my direct entry to university, with my chief objective being to secure high marks. We didn't do much in Grade 13, but there was a physics course that encompassed most of First-Year University Physics. Three of us were competing for the top mark in the school, but my competition unfortunately had to take English as an extra credit. While our main credits were in science and math—where we all performed exceptionally well—English was full of difficult teachers who rarely gave good marks on essays. I, on the other hand, was able to take Latin as my elective. Latin was a breeze; we simply learned Latin roots and English words. The Latin teachers were mainly just trying to keep their jobs for another year, and German was similarly easy. These courses eventually disappeared when Grade 13 was canceled a few years later, but at the time, I thoroughly enjoyed it and felt well-prepared for university.

By the end of Grade 13, I earned the highest mark in the school, won a gold medal, and received a bursary that covered most of my university tuition. I stayed at home and commuted to the University of Toronto. I chose Engineering Science because it was the most difficult program available, even though I still had no idea what I wanted to do or be. My path was governed entirely by eliminating things I didn't want to do until I was left with a final choice.

As I entered university, I was a total nerd by definition—completely uninvolved in athletics and unconcerned with girls. My self-definition of a nerd back then was someone with no hormones or susceptibility to them; girls, frankly, frightened me. Engineering Science suited me fine, as there were only about three women in the entire class. I didn't participate in any extracurricular activities at school, but I decided to join my church choir. I had a very good bass voice and strong relative pitch, excelling at listening and repeating. However, I had zero musical sense when it came to reading music or keeping a beat—there was something in my brain that just rebelled against it. While in the choir, I met a girl for the first time. She was lovely, but passive and not particularly smart. After going out a few times, I decided to end it, as it wasn't very satisfying. Though I sang in a few other choirs later on, frequent and severe throat infections eventually forced me to stop singing altogether.

The only other notable experiences during those years were my summer jobs. I initially tried being a playground leader, which proved to be a complete disaster. Later, after choosing the Geophysics option in my third year, I was lavishly recruited by an oil company that flew me out to Calgary. I was treated wonderfully until the man who hired me suddenly passed away. To make matters worse, the entire oil industry crashed that same summer. From our office windows, we watched whole floors in neighboring buildings being cleared out as companies went under. Seeing that incredible crash, I resolved never to go into the oil industry.

Instead, I chose to pursue my Master’s degree in Civil Engineering, focusing on excavations, tunnels, and using geophysics to model and quantify construction projects. I thoroughly enjoyed that work. After completing my Master's, I entered the next chapter of my life by joining Ontario Hydro. After going through several interviews, a great manager hired me just as the company was beginning its expansion into nuclear power.


Next chapter

The Workforce Phase

The next phase of my life involved preparing for the workforce. I had decided to pursue geophysics, though I resolved not to go into the oil industry—a common path for geophysicists at the time. Instead, I pivoted to geotechnical engineering, following a solid piece of advice my brother often shared: If you have a certain level of intelligence, don't go into a field where everyone is much smarter than you. This meant avoiding pure geophysics or academia in favor of an engineering path where I could maintain a natural advantage. It is good advice for anyone.

Eventually, I came to a realization about my own character: I was intellectually sharp and prone to overthinking, but also thoroughly lazy, without a speck of traditional ambition. I intended to drift along while remaining successful enough to avoid poverty.

I enrolled in a Master's program, which proved to be a great experience. I enjoyed the camaraderie of my peers—mostly mining engineer types and grounded, practical people. Even the faculty felt relatable, though one professor who taught soil mechanics was remarkably inventive. He created countless innovations, operating on the strategy that he would invent something and promptly sell it to a larger corporation capable of defending the patent. Defending inventions against infringement was always a major hurdle, but his ideas in geotechnical engineering were brilliant, and he must have done quite well for himself.

I had no desire to follow that path. My focus was simply running computer programs to analyze seismic waves around tunnels, ultimately evaluating their seismic response. In those days, we had access to massive mainframe computers, but your entire program and life's work existed on physical punch cards. The constant goal was to optimize your code to fit into a single box of punch cards rather than two or three. We were constantly walking back and forth to the card reader to feed them in—a process that has improved dramatically since.

After earning my Master’s degree in Geotechnical Engineering, I joined Ontario Hydro, which was actively managing massive geotechnical projects. Today, specialized geotechnical engineering has largely faded as a distinct discipline; many assume anyone can do it. Consequently, we see endless engineering and geotechnical failures, followed by lawsuits over cost overruns and defects. The root cause is the shift toward "design-build" contracts, where clients simply demand, "Build me a tunnel," without adequate preliminary analysis. The traditional bread and butter of geotechnical engineers—such as retaining walls—has been replaced by pre-fabricated systems engineered to be excessively conservative, allowing almost anyone to erect them without deep technical knowledge.

I entered the workplace as a professional engineer, focusing on the design of underground structures. My early projects included an underground nuclear power plant design and, later, deep geological repositories for nuclear waste. We conducted extensive rock mechanics testing, field designs, and site characterizations for both specialized nuclear waste containment and routine tunneling projects.

One notable assignment involved expanding the capacity of the Niagara power generating stations to utilize excess water allocations granted under historical treaties. I conducted field surveys and geophysical investigations around the Niagara Gorge to evaluate the feasibility of routing a new tunnel through the area. The geology there was unusual and highly challenging, characterized by high-stress rock subject to continuous horizontal creep. Excavating a tunnel, shaft, or even a deep trench into this formation triggered severe rock movement, which would gradually crush the support systems and collapse the opening—a problem that had plagued older power stations in the region. We developed specialized engineering methods to mitigate these stresses.

Years later, developers revived the Niagara tunnel project and constructed a massive tunnel without proper engineering oversight or adequate consideration for the high-stress, creeping rock conditions. Predictably, it turned into a costly technical disaster—one of many modern projects compromised by the absence of proper geotechnical engineering. They simply closed it up and moved on, adding another chapter to the growing list of avoidable engineering failures.

That experience defined the first two years of my career.


More Arctic Leakage

 


Not bad until you look at this chart.


Yuck, freezy-wheezy.

With Super Ellie shot and falling off a cliff, we must enjoy the coming endless excuses.  Perhaps when winter starts in October, they will again just give up, and never mention Ellie again.  

ps because they have the advantage of commanding a faith - Climate Marxism, they are fine with never being right.  This year, we may once again speculate on the US running out of natgas.  If you want to stay warm, squat in a data centre.

ps at the cottage, very cold at night, and then very hot in the day.  Perfect stagnant weather.  

Thursday, August 20, 2026

Bottom falls out of the El Nino market

 


When the bottom falls out of a market, like Toronto housing, it's time to double down and buy into the whole thing.  Don't listen to me.  The nice thing about a bubble bursting is that it is still high for a while.  The heat blob has passed through and there is not a speck of heat showing up.  

They are now changing the forecast for a strong Ellie to be exactly the same as a Major Ice Cycle, for the fall.  This should keep them going.


Lost the taste for whiskey

 


Yeah, put the booze back on the shelves and let it gather dust.

In the oil biz, this is called 'demand destruction'.  I remember we used to watch American baseball every Wednesday night.  Then they went on that ridiculously long strike, and we never watched again.

In California, their wine is so cheap, it is used to clean the streets (ha, ha, they don't clean the streets!).

In fact, I'm pretty well off most booze, and beef steaks.  Maybe I'll live another month longer.


First clipper of the season

 I maintain my careful watch for the big wash of El Nino heat coming over us.  In the meantime, we have a clipper looking to start snow in September.


A clipper is a very specific mechanism of having a hunk of Pacific plume dragged down by an Arctic blob.  They fight all the way down, and bring big snowstorms in the depth of winter.  Since the Pacific plumes took a break all last winter, we weren't getting them, just naked Arctic blobs. 


Europe is just getting an Arctic spill.


The world is cold.

My chart showing the rise and fall of El Nino hasn't been updated yet.  Although they can make up the coming of El Nino, can they make up heat energy?  I am waiting with baited breath.  Most likely, it will be like our last record-cold winter, and they will just hide under their rocks, without a peep, ready to come out in the stagnant summer.



Wednesday, August 19, 2026

Big drop in the Nino Zone sea temperatures

 



Yeah, this is what I have waiting for, as the heat lump passed through the Nino zone.  Perhaps I am too eager to announce it.  Perhaps it will bounce back tomorrow.  All the charts they used to justify the Fantasy Ellie are now going to drop.  As usual, they will go to new charts.  Who remembers what they used before?  

They always have The Splotch.  As it is a math error, it will always remain exactly the same and never change.  Some chart somewhere must show the rise of the Super Ellie.  I wonder if they can find it.

ps how do they expect this to appear?



Winter comes with a 'Double Egg Yolk' Arctic Basin Vortex

 Now, this could get upset again with some good typhoons, but that Hawaii one has gone to a pin-prick.



It should just become one big vortex like last year.  This is a heat machine living on the heat difference between the upper atmosphere and the cold air sludge it poops out at the bottom.  We get the poop.

Figuring out the exact mechanism makes my brain hurt, and we don't have enough measurements.  A standard hurricane uses heat energy at the bottom and poops out greater entropy (low grade heat) at the top.  Can't figure out that one either, but it is ten times more complicated than the standard bathtub drain model.

The Arctic vortex can only exist when there is almost no heat energy in the world.  Just the wisp of a Pacific plume kills it.  

With this sign, our misery index for the winter will be higher than last year, and higher after that.  Expect snow lasting from October to May.  Fun, fun, fun.

Or, Super Ellie will coming zooming in and sweep all this away. (just watched Supergirl) yuck.


Typhoons could save us, but the situation is sad.


World chart is sad, subpolar Atlantic is sad.



As expected, Trump does the taco dance



no comment

Tuesday, August 18, 2026

Another line storm comes for us

 


For the first time this summer, a Pacific plume is attempting to cross the mountains.  I don't think it will succeed.  We are getting an Arctic blob pushing away our humid heat.  This results in a big line storm, which may flood us.  


We are generally cold, but through creative averaging, we can come out as 'Warmest August Ever!'


This is the Pacific, and the heat blobs are going south.


The Arctic Ice Machine Vortex is in place for the winter.  

So, the fun is in figuring out how the weather people will handle 'No El Nino'.  It was all a fabrication of bad math.  They'll come out on top.  They are already working on Nino dancing with the Polar Vortex, and producing a cold baby.  The Climate Marxists will swallow it up.

I stay alive because I am no threat to them with 2 readers, and they need me to predict the weather, so they can work up excuses.

ps as futile as building too many electric cars


ps This is totally me.



Monday, August 17, 2026

Arctic flow consolidates

 I'm no longer making fun of the El Ninnie thing.  Nothing will come of it, but they will say it is happening.  You'll just be standing outside, freezing, and looking for warmth.

We had our little interlude with the typhoons.  They came up and blew away the Arctic Basin Vortex, which is our new thing for the ice cycle.  


Big blob coming down, and you can see another one behind it.  50% chance of huge rains for the Toronto area.  


They are also blowing down for Europe, which is unusual.  We expect just one direction or another.  This is cutting off the plume, which is the hope for big rains to fill the rivers.


The central vortex is eating up the others, like a black hole.  The basin vortex, which I call the Arctic Ice Machine is a mechanism that does not happen if there is more heat energy.


Sunday, August 16, 2026

Lots of rain coming

 Just look at the historic weather patterns for the last major ice cycle, and that's what we'll get.  Toronto will become BC, and BC will be a desert.  All of Europe won't be able to grow a speck of food.  Perhaps the Sahara will bloom again.  

We are getting a nice blast of cold coming down.  I'm not doing any graphics because of computer problems.  Of course, our excessive rain and Europe's drought are all due to the "Will of God" or climate change.  Only a severe winter will challenge them, but the media will ignore it.

The Gulf Stream continues to sink, and the Pacific heat blobs are working their way down south.  The mechanisms are working so well, that it's boring.  I'm just going to call all these ocean shifts "Climate Change".  

ps I am going with 'sub-polar North Atlantic' as the best world temperature gauge, other than the tide level which will soon be unavailable.


This has the advantage of having not much going on in the zone with regard to ocean currents.  As well, it is free of urbanization drift, wonky integration, and other corruptions.

ps note a triple vortex in the Arctic.  This is pumping a cold stream down on us, and the 3 should soon merge to one.


Europe could get a cold stream soon, but it needs the plumes to get rain.  We have the Gulf warm plume, and it will be always with us.

ps our future life in a rain forest.  Somebody needs better drainage.


ps for Europe's river tours, this plume needs to go higher.  Nope.




Saturday, August 15, 2026

Typhoons still feeding the Arctic

 The main advantage of having a bunch of mini-computers is that my main computer just poofed on me.  I run Linux Sid, and will have to re-install.  Everything important is on usb-ssds.


A warm air feed is still going on.  I expect a few more days before it stops.  Everything else is proceeding on schedule.



Indonesia M7.7 Earthquake

 


This is an interesting earthquake.  A shallow back-arc thrust.  Very intense ground motions on top of it.

ps only appears to have 10 cm/s.  The main hit of the thrust 'hammer' was in the sea.


Friday, August 14, 2026

Columbia earthquake shows stringy steel

 This is more like the Turkey earthquake with thin steel here and there.


This is the type of picture I look for, with an equally decrepit building undamaged right beside it.  I am still estimating 20 to 40 cm/s but they have a history of earthquakes.  That means a lot of the older buildings may have been 'softened'.  

The older buildings are expected to fail.  This is not as corrupt as Vennie, with many obviously modern buildings not having a scrap of steel.  You can never find pictures of modern buildings with steel.

ps I would call this Christchurch.

ps neat, they are calling 20 cm/s as the max in a small area.  It was mostly 10 cm/s  I still can't find the records.  




Finally they come up with a measure

 


We have a test!  So far it has been all blah blah, with no measure.  

The hypothesis is:

A historic El Nino will come, on par with 1997, and 2016.  It will elevate the autumn temperatures in the equivalent of the difference with the historic events.  That is, we are looking at the degree of change, irrespective of the instrumental drift seen in the temperature records.  It will be noticeable and remarked upon by the common people.

This should eliminate the endless tricks.  The opposite is that nothing will happen, and it will be colder than ever.  Then the hypothesis fails.

To make me happy, the Arctic Vortex has moved out of the Penalty Box, and is taking its place to occupy the full basin.  Nothing warm happens with that.


Look at the little baby tomorrow!  Can they muddy the waters with pinpoint one-day heatwaves?

ps after the last snow melts next Spring, they have a low misery index, and I have a high one.  They can't muck with that!

ps remember that their degree of mucking has reached 'record' levels


Fine August Weather

 The typhoons have shoved some warm air up into the Arctic.  The Arctic Vortex has been pushed into a corner.



The world is cool except for a tiny little spot, and the media will make the best of it.  Had we a real Ninnie going on, the Pacific plumes would be back, sweeping over NA.  No sign of that.


A random patch in the North Atlantic is falling in temperature.  The mini-blobs continue to hit the Nino zone, but this has had no effect on world heat.  We are freezing in spite of that.


Europe gets its rain from heavy plumes hitting the Arctic air.  Those light plumes are dry.  There is a nice heavy plume coming in, but it will die, like all the rest.  Big droughts are a hallmark of the Major Ice Cycle, and if you take 10% of the Little Ice Age weather, you can continue to call it Climate Change, until the cows come home.

In all the world, the only people who do well in such a cooling cycle are us, in Toronto.  We shall grow huge cedar forests again, like BC.  And have 10 foot snow.  The rest of the world is screwed.

And you think, wow, if only people knew this was coming, they could build greenhouses instead of windmills, and grow medicinal plants.  

ps whoops, video!


There's the poor Arctic Vortex, a wallflower, afraid to dance.  

ps and the funniest headline of the day


The guy doesn't learn anything!

Thursday, August 13, 2026

Which Poot was that?

 


We are only getting staged shots now.  There were 4 poots.  poot1 is dead.  I thought, if they had independent video then AI could now separate the poots.  But with staged shots, an AI mucks it up first. They all have the exact same face number, which has the same odds as the same fingerprint.

We know P1 is dead, because we don't have the wonderful things like using an aircraft missile for assassination.  How about filling all of London with radioactive Polonium to kill one guy?  Who waltzed into Ukraine on a bet?  These remainder poots are all reactive, and boring - kill kill kill.  

And if they knock down his plane, then another poots says "You missed me!"


And so we face the final curtain

 Ha, the weather is a big curtain falling.



Just dead air for the UK

 


The UK turned into an Arctic desert because the Gulf Stream failed.  You can see the mechanism now.


That light plume is just dry heat.


This gives us the process of the GS sinking.  No heavy plume will now hit the UK.  With the abolition of physics, they are deer in the headlights.


Here, we have multiple minor heat blobs lined up like planes approaching a runway.  They are keeping up the hopes of El Nino, but have no effect on the world.


The Great Heat Blob of 23-24 had the same diagonal mechanism, but these just do little bumps on the chart.  

The Big Splotch on the Pacific anomaly chart remains a stain on all physics.

ps

ps Holy Cow, it feels hot out there under the sun.  Los Vegas dry weather.


Wednesday, August 12, 2026

New heating event showing up

 


Now, I'm hanging up my pencils.  Although they corrupted every measurement possible, there may be a new heating event like 2023-24 showing up.



This heat blob will again drift from the NE to the SE over in the West Pacific.  I've been expecting the air temp curve to dive again, but it may not.  That's the problem with knowing the mechanics of the old El Nino cycle.  It's best not to know anything.  Good thing I only have 3 readers.

We can't estimate the effect of this heating event.  23-24 was only one of the many heat sliders, and it had a huge effect.  All the others were nothing.  I'm still expecting a high misery winter, but who knows?

The Pacific plumes are still weak.  The first thing we expect is that the BC forest fires will stop if the plumes strengthen up.  They are using a new weird index to say July was the hottest ever for the US, but that heavily weights the mid-west and not the East.  They will choose whatever they want.

ps and googs has finally cleared up the spurious counts on the readers.  It is now down to a pure 2.


I am so proud.  



Luxury everywhere, but shoved into a catering truck

 


That's the trouble with everybody wanting to kill you.  No gold toilets for the trumpybutt.