A regular 'media' El Nino is defined by what they want on the day. A physics El Nino (defined by me) is a big current reversal on the Pacific Belt. We have that now, for a couple of weeks.
This reversal carries no heat energy, so we are cold. It is caused by the huge hot water lump left over by the 2024 heating event. I had said it would soon interfere with the Pacific Belt current, and it is doing it now.
That belt was cold a little while ago. You can see the hot lump now being rendered like a whale in a factory ship. The currents will shave it slowly, and it will continue this for the rest of the summer. They can declare El No-no any time now, but they will wait for the hot weather.
ps
The mechanism for having a current reversal with no heat energy, has happened a few times. It is a very thin layer of water water flowing 'downhill' over the major cold current. All could be solved with physics.
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