Yeah, I am closed down by the chaos in the weather.
The pattern so far has been to have the Arctic fill up with a pool of very cold air, and then spill that pool through high-velocity channels. That caused the California rains, and avoided Toronto.
Once the whole pool is empty, weak ocean plumes are all over it. It may fill up again, or may not.
For Toronto, we are just going to have standard winter clippers.