This past year there has been an almost continuous small El Nino. Just when you think it's dead, it pops up again.
This shows the Pacific reversing again.
This shows the huge reversal temperature bump in the Pacific.
This is the bottom of the ENSO ONI index table. You can see it is in the red for a long time, but a fraction of 2016. This is the El Nino that never ends! It's also the reason why the global temps have bumped up again. The Arctic ice volume continues on a steep summer dive.
ps. also, the Atlantic belt is pumping warm water up north again, so we might not be into such a big freeze as I thought.