The El Nino backwash made one lunge earlier, which flooded Los Angeles. Now it has been beaten back to sit under Hawaii. This mass of hot water affects our NA weather by sucking in hurricanes, and mucking with October chills. As well, it is spinning typhoons to China.
We must wait for another lunge to Central America to have any effect on the Callie drought. I think until then we should only call it a Baby El. :) Many other good prospects have failed at this point.