Monday, February 16, 2026

Small heating event just hits mid-band North

 We have had a very tiny heating event.  It was confined to the West Pacific, and, once again, the weather people missed it.  They are expecting an El Nino, which will never happen.


There it is, in all its glory.  It is starting to cut across lines, and may be dead.


It is strong in the N-hemi, but not in the Arctic.


The Arctic is plunging like a rock.  And nothing in the S-hemi.

The water temperatures are limited to a few oceans, and there is no sign of the heating event.  For us, the warmth came in the form of a few Pacific plumes, and this looks to be over.

Again, if we rated everything in terms of energy, this event would be a few notches down in magnitude from the last big one.

In summary, look to a long winter, with a few more major events.  The heating event saved US natgas, but wait until next year.


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