Repeating from the last post.
If they can't figure out the last peak of the cycle, they will never figure out our upcoming ice cycle. It's all to do with the oceans, but weather people aren't allowed to look there.
I never argue with 'Influscience' because that is Socratic debate, which is always corrupted by strong influencers. Instead, I only go with the Scientific Method, which has a chance of actually doing something.
The main hypothesis is that all these temperature cycles are due to shifts in the ocean circulation. We are crippled by the 'no physics' rule of nosa and nooaa, but we have to make do with existing measurement programs that they couldn't kill.
The main useful program are the Argo floats. They can actually give a full 3-d picture of the currents, but nobody calculates that. We just use the drift results.
It shows huge disturbance in the Pacific, and that would be neat to see in 3-d.
This is causing the 'La Nina Signal' to wildly vary every day. Yesterday, it was a perfect La Nina signal, and I'm surprised they didn't jump on it.
The surface temperatures show the massive turbulence. A couple of years ago we had nice smooth flow. The turbulence is caused by the collision of the cold and hot water. The cold water is winning, and we have no heat energy coming from the Pacific equatorial belt. This is a major cause for our long-term weather forecast, sometimes called a 'climate forecast' which is not a thing.
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