Tuesday, April 30, 2013

Impact finite elements for seismic analysis


I'm quite happy, that I got Impact-fem working again!  I had a lot of trouble before, and the modelling gave me a headache.  After a couple of years, the project appears very active, and it is much improved.

This is just a cantilever springboard and the colours show the strain.  You can let it go and watch it go whappy-whappy.  This is much like a building on the side on a shake table, and it is showing the fundamental mode of vibration.  I encourage everybody to start playing with this.  You will soon realize that the existing conventions of seismic engineering are crap, once you add more reality.  For example, I will put a stiff building on a stiff half-space (the ground), and propagate a realistic seismic wave.  There is no major amplification in the building because seismic energy radiates back out into the ground.  It is not a shake table.

Now, why would one care?  This old conventions are one reason why the effect of soft ground is grossly underestimated by a factor of 10.  They are also responsible for using PGA (peak ground acceleration) for scaling, which is hogwash.  Better to use PGV.

Finally, they are rebuilding Darlington nuclear plant from the ground up, because they operated it so badly.  This is going to cost billions of dollars.  At least one billion will be wasted if they use the 40-year-old seismic conventions to seismically qualify new equipment.  Although this will be covered up, it is still a shame.  Comon' people, have some fun!  Do this.  I'll be doing some more modelling in the future.


Friday, April 26, 2013

Georgia Dam-Triggered Earthquakes


As far as I can tell, Georgia has no injection wells.  These are probably dam-triggered, much like Virginia, and Arkansas.  Very tiny for now, but it opens up the possibility of a Virginia-style M6.  I wouldn't hold my breath, though.

Thursday, April 25, 2013

Lots more Oklahoma earthquakes


As we all know by now, these earthquakes are triggered by irresponsible injection into the Precambrian megathrust.  These are huge features that run right through Eastern North America, although you would never know it from any US geology.  The megathrusts are highly stressed, and only lacking in water to make good earthquakes.

So, you can tickle the tails of these tigers to trigger small earthquakes, but how big can you get?  OK now has the record at M5.6.  But access to deep water is not totally caused by Man, it can happen naturally as well.  Thus, we must include the larger M7's of New Madrid.

Anyway, I wasn't going to write any more about this until my expected M5.  This will open up the central thrust zone, and start a full growing baby New Madrid.  In the meantime, the injector people are enjoying the fact that the fractures are opening up to accept more water.  They are making money hand over fist.