All of my weather predictions, which have been horribly accurate with regard to cooling, come from watching the ocean currents. The ocean contains and shifts thousands of times more heat energy than the atmosphere, but that's for the background.
As usual for this time of year, all the excitement is about the seasonal shifts in the Atlantic and Pacific. The Pacific affects Canada, and the Atlantic freezes out poor UK.
This is the Atlantic. The currents are starting to go south at the equator, which robs us of heat, but this is a normal Winter thing.
As explained in the background, the above is a chart of sea surface temperatures. The Warmie English Majors have come up with some new physics about how the ocean is getting warmer and thus explaining why we are freezing. That's quite creative of them. But this is high-resolution, and the currents are low resolution because the map depends on the distribution of Argo floaters. The sat map shows a clear thermal signature of the Gulf Stream now going below Spain. This is 'unprecedented" :).
Our reader in Northern Spain is getting ready for a cold winter. The UK is frozen.
I like the concept of 'snow bombs' in October. Canada's snow has started already.
There is some excitement in the Pacific. The La Nina appears to be over from a physics point of view. That means the cold water from Antarctica is no longer coming into the equatorial belt, and has the effect of warming the water a bit, so that tropical plumes can start from the middle.
That may change the outlook for Canada for the Winter, but it's not like last year when a mini El Nino blasted us with heat.
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