Poor NOAA, when temperatures go down, they have computer problems. And this will be a tough one for their PR department.
This is their standard plot of the month of May. It is dropping like bitcoin, but they'll say it's in the upper third.
This is the more relevant plot for physics, but you have to generate these plots yourself. They never produce a clear plot. Every little rise has been due to action in the Pacific, however, there is no action, and so, the plot droops.
The Haywood plot shows the temperatures dipping below the top group. We have a long way to go before the bottom, but I think we are heading there.
But, according to the PR dept, we are golden.
They use the irrelevant May plot since it is still within the top 10. Once it goes to 11, they use 'top third'. They are brilliant.