Sunday, June 12, 2022

Arctic ice advance alert

 This is a test of the Arctic Ice Advance system.  Had this been a real alert, you should have started digging your cave.  

Reference


It's funny because this is one of the warmiest of warmie newsletters.  They are always going on about the jet stream.  And they are big fans of the polar vortex fairies.  They also suggest putting coke in your gas tank.  

We also have the Danes who had their balls cut off when the gretas went after them.  They are struggling trying to wrench the ice volume curve back to the middle.


You can see they are changing their assumptions every other week, but it's still hanging about the bottom.  That's one mucky curve.

A real ice advance would have the Arctic ice at full all year round.  We're getting closer.  

The ice advance starts at the pole.  Ice all year activates an ice lock.  This is when it is so cold that the tropical atmospheric plumes can't get into the polar regions.  We see this all the time in the winter over Greenland.


This is the RSS curve for the North Pole region.  You can see we had a real warming around the 1997 El Nino, when the equatorial belt started really pumping out the heat.  You can have a fine philosophical discussion about whether short or long term trends are important.  Don't include physics because there isn't any.  Nevertheless, temperatures are going below the trend line.  I would divide the data into 3 lines, flat, steep, flat.  It's just group-think that states long lines are better, no physics for it.

Of course, the media is always telling us that Antarctica will destroy the world.  They go on how a floating ice shelf will separate and sudden bump up sea levels by 10 feet.  This is impossible according to physics, since a floating ice shelf can do nothing to sea levels.  The Earth's 'absolute' sea level hasn't changed at all, but they are 'averaging' all the local sea levels, uncorrected for land sinking.

We really need a few thousand years for another ice advance because the highlands are still sunken from the last big ice advance.  However, when you see that mile-high ice wall, run!

ps.  a slight error -- when the danes got emasculated, they drove the ice thickness plot to the bottom, not touching the other curves.  However, it constantly tries to go to the top.



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