In a negative cycle

 I'm going to enjoy our few weeks of summer.  Since I am grousing about general stupidity, I have decided to let that go for a while.  We really won't have anything happening until the fall.

At the end of summer, I predict we will get very cold.  That's assuming the Arctic blobs continue to come down on us, and we have no more Pacific typhoons spraying warm air over the mountains.  Without Pacific air, we are going to have a heck of a winter.

The warmies will try to invent a La Nina cycle, and will use this to justify why it is so cold.  Natgas will zoom up again, as we run out of storage.  I predicted this last year, and was knocked down.  We had that weird warming event that lasted a whole year, and now that is over.

My 3 readers never worry about my 'off' cycles, since there is always something so massively stupid that I pop up again.  I am happy for my few readers, and all the AI sucker-robots.  

Normally, I would expect the world temps to fall to 1980 levels, but we have that calibration creep keeping things up.  As usual, we can enjoy the warmies saying we are boiling, while we are freezing.

Whew, no more hottest days

 Our instrument calibration problem is finally going down.

They are not showing, and will never show that the peak is dying.

I am now fairly certain there is a calibration drift, and they will never fix it.  Despite the Olympics heat, the Northern Hemisphere readings are also dropping.

For Paris, we have a fine stagnant air mass, with high humidity.  This is a good Toronto heatwave, which we haven't have much of this year.

For Toronto, our fine dry, warm air is over, and we have a muck.  The cold bulge is going over to Paris.

ps on an unrelated note.  Did you watch the Paris Olympics opening?  Has your headache gone yet?

Calgary's rotten pipe continues to snap

 

Like I said before, this is 70's concrete with insufficient concrete cover over the bare steel wires.  In order for a wire to snap, there has to be a large bad area.  The same mechanism is attacking the whole pipe.

This pipe is doomed.  They better think of a new pipe, because there is no alternative.  Sewage pipes get corroded from the inside, so you can fix them with a liner.  Not this sucker.  I would think the rightwingers of Calgary would have better physics, but that hope is lost.

ps. and speaking of someone else who doesn't do physics.

These failures are on an exponential.  As the giant hairball of programming grows, the problems increase.

La Nina is born

 

Sort of mucky, though.  And not really that cold.   I would say it is born as a two-headed snake.  Can't be shown yet on the snake-family pictures.  

If we leave nooa fantasy behind, there is no change with the ocean currents.  All the same.

The feed from Antarctica is just getting stronger.  There is no more cycling from warm to cold.  That bus has come and gone.  However, we enjoy being endlessly bombarded by warmie stuff.

ps.  find the birdie in the rocks

Anomalous world temperature spike causes a tizzy-fit

 I continue my theme that the world satellite temperatures need a re-calibration.  There is a general drift up that should be looked at.  If it were to be a drift downwards, they would look at it, but this is wonderful for the influencers.

This is causing a media frenzy about 'world's hottest day, oops there's another one'.  Nobody actually shows the charts.

This peak is exactly the same as the Southern Hemisphere.  Why?  Because all the others are dead flat.

It looks exactly the same, yet the anomaly map shows nothing.

The North is flat as a board, yet all the news is about the north, about how climate change is rotting the crops in Ontario by being so cold and rainy.  

We have lots of fun with this.

Any real temperature change always affects the Arctic.

Nope, nada.

ps. here you can see the tropics, which controls all heating in the world.  The S. Hemi is in winter and should not drive heat.

And so, the world spike is impossible.

Also, you can see our weather setting up for next week.  We have a cold blob from the Arctic, and the Pacific typhoon is pushing air over the mountains, which hasn't happened for a while.  When spikes are impossible, they quickly collapse.

Reference

NASA 'own goal'

 Reference

This looks like it would be fun to watch, but I can't from the cottage.  It proves violent mixing in the atmosphere.  Can they show this and still push 'greenhouse gases'?  Yes they can.  They make no mention of violent clear-air convection which is proven here.  

It's fine.  They can throw down some Influencer Logic, and still push their fantasy.

The chart for 'world's hottest day' is now going down the spike.  The media forgets there is a 6 day lag on this chart.

ps  Even the Economist botches the charts

ps.  this opens up a new chart to look at.  If they can track co2 in real time, then we look at clear-air convection.  If a plane hits turbulence, then we can look at the area.  You would need them to track velocity and altitude.  Sounds like work -- blah.

ps no raw data.  It's all 'curated' videos.

Cottage report - July 25

 By now it should be really hot, but I'm wearing a jacket.  Very windy.  Good for working, and we trimmed some trees, and cut the branches up for the sauna.  The warmies are trying to make this a hot summer, and they are forced to be very selective.  

ps.  the weather is perfect, just a dry 28, and no rain for a few days.  No wind and not too hot.  I can just leave everything on the dock.  

Worlds hottest days driven by Southern Hemisphere

 We are freezing here in the north, but every day we see a news article on how it is the single hottest day in the world.

There it is, our hottest days.  It's a spike and will soon be gone.  This is all driven by the S. Hemi.

There is no great reason for this, so soon the world temps will go down.  We won't feel anything up north.

The root of all Windows data breaches

 

The article goes on that a top executive played a driving simulation on his office computer.  Those guys have doors, and are all related.  The Windage system is a giant mono-culture hairball.  Once one computer was 'gotten to' then the whole thing falls.

Most likely, all the other breaches followed the same script.

Secret service given impossible jobs by Trumpypants

 

The poor lady resigned, but would have need ten times the agents to make that horrible place secure.  A million hidey-holes.  8 rounds fired, and he still missed.

Trumpy's rallies are impossible, and he would never listen to anybody.  Anyway, lots more to come.  A sane person listens.

ps.  I'm surprised the media doesn't follow this line of thought.  It's like a little kid jumping and saying 'Catch Me!'  Or, himself saying he wants to ride in an open car through a city like JFK.  Weeee!

Toronto - time to buy houses again

 We have a ridiculous over-supply of housing right now, all a result of the Big Boom.  If you somehow have money outside of the housing market, you should start looking.  Get in on distress sales, like a good carpet-bagger.  The reason why we have an 'apparent' housing shortage is that nobody can gear themselves up to a 50% discount on their house, from the peak.  That's what you need to sell.

Instead, nobody is paying for their houses, and the banks just suck it up, with gov't help.  The libs have staked their future on houses keeping their value, and that defies physics (money physics = economics).

There is no money in Canada to buy those houses at peak prices.  Sooner or later the banks have to face the music, just like it happened in Japan.  Then and now, everybody is still living in la-la land. 

We all love to try to fly by jumping off the roof, but it always ends in tears.

Big storm doesn't reach Toronto

 

The 'cold-warm' collision is happening north of Toronto.

Look at the vortex here!  Flooding up north. But the collision is mucky.

In other news, we have a one-day heatwave for the Earth.

This spike has no back-up on the other charts.

I'm so glad they can find some heat to report on.

The world is cold.  Shows that these charts aren't that stable.

The tropics drive the world's heat, and that isn't doing so well.  When the spike collapses again, we won't hear anything.

ps. and it's sad that this guy buys into the fantasy.  However, he loves 'damn him with faint praise'

ps. the fact that everybody has abandoned physics and engineering means there won't be an engineered solution.  Nothing but 'Fantasy Failures'

Tunnelling starts at Pickering nuclear plant

 

Ha, I totally forgot what I said about the 'Big Makeover' of Pick B.  This is the station that I think has no soil underneath the basement, and is suspended on its piles.  Of course, they won't do their geotechnical investigations there.  The station has the world's worst silt problem, and features heavily in my apocalyptic story about the next Toronto earthquake.

To get rid of the silt problem, they need a tunnel for the intake, and the PR department only says 'geotechnical work'.  This is how we did all the prelims for the tunnels.  Neat.

ps. they don't have any internal expertise, and will rely on 'money loving' consultants - Ha!

ps. the fact they are doing a tunnel means they read me!  But don't look at the huge cavern under the plant!

Windy-Land casts the blame

 

Ok, I wasn't going to touch this, but now I will.  It is the modus operandi of all influencers to cast the blame elsewhere when they screw up.

The Windy ecosystem is so bad that anybody who uses it must tack on a bunch of external software to get to 1% of the security of Linux systems.  That's because of the whole history of MS, and that these systems are one big interconnected hairball.  MS was never truly a multi-user system, so if somebody penetrates the thin skin of security, they can have a field-day.

Now, MS must wrangle this hairball to meet the modern world.  I can't wait to see how they do AI.

The big secret is that every one of these hacked systems are MS.  That's not a great statement, since everything is MS.  I can imagine some bright young IT thing in a big company would say 'Let's get off this spawn of Satan!"  They would be right, but then totally attacked by the MS schmoozers who wine and dine the fat big guys.

There is simply no way to stop this.  We must look to other giant hacks and failures due to trying to stop these giant hacks.  Can't be done in a rational manner.  Such is life...

ps. Windmills to rule them all.  

Who needs birds anyway?

Here comes another doozy for Toronto

 

Once again, if we are right at the boundary of the big fight between the Arctic blob and the Gulf plume, we will have another rain-fest in Toronto.

Since nobody does physics, we will have another great explanation on how this is all climate change.  Then we will get hit by another one.  These events could be ranked by total energy, temperature difference, etc.  As it is, we will wait for another disaster.

Don't plan on driving the Lower DVP tomorrow.  You'll get no warning, and your car will sink.  We live in interesting times.

ps. our potatoes have never been better, for this weird summer.  This is only two hills.

ps.  and Toronto should expect all that Big Oil money.  Too bad they didn't do physics.

A recap of the weather this year -- Part 2

 Continued from Part 1

The Earth has a fully regulated temperature system that has enabled life to exist.  Any 'run away' reaction would have happened a long time ago.

The regulation depends on the properties of water -- too hot and it sheds heat, too cold and it absorbs heat.  It's an amazing physics system that will never be measured under the current Influencer Regime.

Our oceans are a chaotic system that can hold patterns for hundreds of years.  Right now, the old pattern is gone, and a new one is forming.  This leads to lots of fun as the 'Two N's" attempt to paste the established cycles on the new ones.  

Sorry, ran out of inspiration.  I have to go to the cottage again.  --end.

Calgary to get amazing new arena, but no water

 

Spent a summer there, just love those guys!

La Nina will never present herself dressed up

 Nooa has a perfect idea of how El Nino and La Nina show themselves on the Pacific temperature anomaly chart.  That's a 'pattern' chart that has a map of average temperatures to subtract from the actual seawater temperatures.  It is meant for pattern-matching and has no connection with physics.

However, this year it is showing tremendous turbulence on the Pacific belt, and that lines up with the actual temperatures, which also have no great connection with physics (cause and effect).

Here is the anomaly plot and look at those ratchets of turbulence.  You can also check the turbulence on the ocean current chart.

This is the temperature chart.  For the last recorded history, of modern instrumentation, we have had warm water coming down from the north to feed the equatorial belt.  That has turned over to the southern water, which is much colder because of the straight path to the belt.

This fight of two currents is violent.  We could get some physics on this, if they wanted to.  But, it means that the turbulence won't go away, and La Nina will look very rumpled indeed.  Especially, since she just exists as a ghost.  The official pattern is a thin, straight blue line.

These are the reference plots.  We didn't have that for the Phoney El Nino, and we have a shattered plot for the Dumpy La Nina, if they can actually fabricate, errr ... fudge a new plot nobody has ever seen before.  It's all good, right?  I love those guys.

Your homework for today is to imagine their La Nina plot.  They have to come up with it to explain our upcoming Brutal Winter.  Bye for now.

Another great idea without physics - perpetual batteries

 Reference

This should be discussed in all classes that teach Influencer Science Climate Change.  Forget that Feynman character, this is pure debate, using all the tricks of the trade.

“If you put a battery into seawater, it starts fizzing,” explained Prof Sweetman. “That’s because the electric current is actually splitting seawater into oxygen and hydrogen [which are the bubbles]. We think that’s happening with these nodules in their natural state.”

It is most important with Influencer Science that you put forward a totally irrelevant common example and build on that.  They dance around an actual mechanism by measuring voltage in seawater different from the ambient.

This is now being used to try and stop seabed mining.  The miners should take a lesson from the oil companies and do some physics.  Once the "two n's" take hold of this, there is no turning back.

I am proud to live in such an era of 'Grand Stupidity'.  An era of pure rationality would be boring.

A recap of the weather this year -- Part 1

 Every once in a while I get a request from one of my readers to explain what is going on.  If you want to go with fantasy then you believe the Earth has a thermal blanket of co2, and this will soon boil us alive.  This idea came up for political reasons and has never been tested by the Scientific Method.  Unfortunately, since it breaks all the laws of physics, any experiment will fail the hypothesis, and these guys know it.

With no experiments, this ideal can never die, and I just put it out there as 'Influencer Science'.   If it is never tested, it has to be true.

If you follow Feynman, then I call 'Feynmanism' the 'physics side'.  

On the physics side, we have an Earth that has been stable for life for 4.2 billion years (the latest estimate for life).  For any planet, that is amazing, that we have had 't-shirt weather' for all that time, plus or minus a few degrees.  In that time the Earth has had to shed an enormous amount of heat, since we had a 'molten rock' start.  

In geology, we assume that any mechanism we observe today has been operating for those billions of years.  There are no great changes in general geology.  The major atmospheric change was going from an atmosphere with 80% nitrogen and the rest methane and co2.  Life started, and then found a mechanism to eat all that carbon by quantum tunnelling to release oxygen as a horrible pollutant (photosynthesis).

However, for all this time, the Earth cooled, tectonic plates collided, and mountains formed.  No change in the overall mechanisms.

By 'Influencer Logic' the oceans should have been boiling like the planet Venus (considering their sensitivity to a speck of co2 and methane).  But Earth had a thin atmosphere, and that allowed total convection throughout the whole atmosphere to the very top.  Neat.  The best 'heat pipe' around, and it was self-regulating.  Not too hot, not too cold.  That's very difficult to do, and may be the reason that DNA life is very rare in the Universe.

- to be continued

Endless cold coming over us

 

Of course, in the summer, this is just nice weather.  The cottage weather was fantastic, with the cool air meaning we could sleep at night.  

The tropics continue to dive, but North America and the world temps are wiggling, with a very little bump up right now.  All world heating events start at the tropics, so this means no warmth for the winter.

All this cold is whipping through the North Pole and avoiding the west coast.  They are in a big stagnant puddle of air.  Normally, Pacific air would be coming over the mountains and chasing the Arctic air away, and that is not happening.

Cottage report in July

 Nice and hot. Swimming in the cold lake. A stagnant air heatwave. I have to write with the tablet, yuck. 

All hands on a cold deck

 

The influencers don't know that half a storm is the cold side.  Our Toronto storm was driven by a cold blob coming in.  We can see now that it was huge.  More cold blobs coming down.

And the world temperatures have turned down.  I knew this would happen, since we are at a minimum level for world heat energy.  I wish I knew the mechanism on how the equator gathers heat energy, but that would require physics measurements.

Toronto never prepared for catastrophes

 

When employed downtown, it was my pleasure to meet with the emergency preparedness people.  They were all idiots.  Of course, now they are all perfect.

These people were just walkie-talkie junkies.  Not an original thinker among them.  I was mainly concerned at the time with earthquake response.  I left quickly, and was convinced they couldn't emergency themselves out of a paper bag.

I think that is the life of all cities and governments.  They are just reaction people, and their slogan is "We are prepared for all emergencies"  You would think they would use this rain as a practice, but they were probably all occupied with business lunches.  I got that impression of too many such lunches.

Their is nothing we can do, but just remember we will never be prepared for anything.  If they have a good PR department, like the old company, they will lay blame on others, and present a competent front.  I am always amazed about PR departments.

ps.  this is all blamed on climate change.  And you know, that anybody who believes in that, can't actually do anything.

ps.  did you note that the cell service became degraded?  Also, somebody's land line was out.

ps. we are now only inviting relatives to the cottage, who live near Quebec.  They have to come with a trailer of booze.

La Nina being set up as fall guy for cold

 

As we get colder, we have La Ninny to blame.  We've had tons of cold water coming up from the Antarctic, making it a permanent ninny.  Thus, getting a new clean signal will be difficult.  My fav PR department may have to make things up.

However, we are getting a bump in world temps that is only supported in the north.  There are no other signs of warmth in the world, so this is most likely a blip.

It is all in the north.

The tropics are still diving, so I have no physics explanation for the bump.

Arctic blob becomes clear

 This was in the Toronto weather forecast for a while, but I couldn't see it.  Everything was too mucky.

Now, it is very clear, and it is powerful.  Nice working weather for the cottage.  

ps.  omg!  We are having Spain Guy's wet dream.  Huge storm over us now, black as pitch, like a solar eclipse.  

Canada Auto-Bot Answers:

Why is it such a cold and miserable summer?  - climate change

Why is there such a huge storm over us?  - climate change

ps. video

Spain Guy - eat your heart out!

ps.  almost lost the daughter in the garden, while she was looking for a tomato.  We rescued the shoe.

Ps lots of power outages. We have our power back. 

ps it's all due to heat, and not the cold coming down

NOAA has the world temps well over the peak

 

This is the 'all months' plot which nobody sees.  You have to construct your own plots, so they can choose the best one.  Their default is the 'Junes only' plot, which has no meaning.

They are making fun of a UK one-day heatwave, which they haven't seen since.

ps.  I am always very impressed with their PR department.  What are they going to do next month?

ps. and we are finally seeing the big cold blob due to hit Toronto soon

ps.  and now that divinity is involved, there goes the election.  Everybody should line up and prove to themselves the strength of the God Shield.