The Arctic Spill Cold Orcas left the far north, and are descending on Toronto. You can see they found another hot blob, and are encircling it.
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You can't see the storm here, but you can track its speed approaching us.
It's not on the radar yet, but the regular forecast has it.
ps note that the California storms are caused by cold. However, warmies claim all floods. I like how they use snowplows to move water.
The heat blob in the Arctic has been consumed, and all heck is coming down on us.
These two maps aren't showing much, but Greenland should soon be totally white.
The cold loop is slowly dropping. We are getting mixed weather because everything is organizing for a big Arctic spill on us. It's amazing what a bit of heat in the Arctic did, but I think the pattern of spills is starting up again.
ps I got a subscription to Storyworth, which is a new thing that helps you write your memoir.
A week ago we had a huge slug of warm Pacific air wander lost into the Arctic. This was a Great White Shark coming into Orca Land. Our wonderful cold air was diverted to the job of eating that warm air. The warm shark liver has been getting smaller and smaller, and has left Greenland.
You can start to see an arc forming.
Greenland is full black with a white spot.
That low-pressure circle is now just a pimple. Our fine Arctic Dogs of Cold will soon be off their chain.
The Toronto forecast for Christmas Day is getting colder and colder.
ps. this is that slow black coming down.
ps natgas is starting a zoom, which I think will stay a while.
Brilliance is caused by cross-connections in the brain. It allows people to see things in a different way, and put things together that nobody saw before. Unfortunately, those cross-connections rot out, starting at age 40. Turns out that the common anti-depressants like paxil and such do not block serotonin in the brain, but are vital nutrients for the cross-connections. So is microdosing cannabis oil.
This was determined by the Scientific Method challenging the common groupthink. Unfortunately, the rotting brain causes anxiety and depression. Alcohol fixes the anxiety, but increases the depression. Billionaires go on to more exotic drugs like ketamine. Or they just don't do anything.
If you don't do anything, you go to suicide, like the Dead Poets Society. Those guys always blew their brains out. However, these days the fashion for males is murder-suicide. For the billionaires, the main point is that they lose their edge, and should exit the stage, enjoying wine, women and song. We have endless examples of people hanging on too long.
If you were something like a brilliant programmer, operating at ten times the effectiveness of the normals then watch out for this. See a doctor after age 40. Go into management. Retire early, like I did, and write a blog that nobody reads. Just don't keep on going the way you were.
The main breakup is in the Arctic basin. The circle of cold is broken, but it is still a perfect circle along the bottom. Looks like a meteorite impact! Note the weird waves in the basin. All fascinating to physics. I'd love to know what's going on, but some wonders must remain hidden. The bottom curve of wind has lost its feed, so we expect to see dramatic changes during the day.
ps snow at the house, soon to be all melted
We've had this before. It will break up. Meanwhile, the Arctic spill that would normally be hitting us, is stuck in the vortex.
So, we will get a soggy Christmas.
The centre of the vortex is warm. A fine chicken and egg question. Is the warmth formed by the vortex, or was it an intrusion of warmth from the Atlantic plumes that caused the vortex? Donno.
Same with the low pressure. It's all connected - wow!
I switched to Wayland, and it's tough to get a screen recorder to work.
ps the slug of heat came from the Pacific. This is how things used to work.
ps Naturally, this is warming forever.
The cold has retreated, and the jet stream is now flat - yada, yada.
ps my fantasy is much better: The giant Liver of Warmth is being attacked by the cold vortex orcas. They should be done in a few days.
ps at 3:30 pm it is starting to break up as the Cold Orcas eat up all the warm shark liver. Can't wait to see tomorrow. I expect a full spill.
Air have anything to do with the world's heat energy? The physics says no.
This is the main bone of contention between 'The Physics' and the weather fantasy people. They think the air drives the ocean currents, and air controls everything. Impossible with physics.
Water holds 4000 times the heat than the equivalent volume of air. I wish somebody would actually calculate that value. The oceans control our heat balance, and have been doing that since the beginning of life. All of this is a hypothesis which can easily be tested, but never will.
So, we use ocean temperatures. Without any water, the air is like a desert, a huge flip during a full day. Water is much more stable. The world temperature, directly related to heat energy, is down.
The North Atlantic is a huge area, and it is down. The very top, over the UK, is warm, due to an active Gulf Stream. That controls the European Gate for Arctic spills.
This is the Gulf of Maine which is the main indicator of North American heat energy. Down
The gulfmex controls our snow falling on Toronto. It is way up, and keeps sending up warm, moist air, which keeps getting squeezed by Arctic spills, and spilling up the GS to Europe.
Finally, we have most important thermometer of the world, the Nino zone. When it is up, the world is warm, due to a horribly complex mechanism.
The equatorial belts are cold.
It is my contention that the ketaminer's insistence on using stainless steel for the mars ship made it too heavy to launch. "The physics says no". That's because the single rocket exceeds the bearing strength of any material. They've gone to painting it black now, so we can't see how much carbon wrap they are slipping in.
However, these are like 5% changes, when they are out by a factor of two or more. The physics chickens come home to roost when they have to fully load it. The carbon inserts are making it too flexible for the heat shields. You can't muck with these things.
Of course I could be wrong, but when people are hiding things, I just go for the worst. That method has a high success rate.
Chaotic Pattern Change! For the last few winters we have had a standard tip bucket. The Arctic basin fills up with cold air, and spills our one of the gates. I had it all figured out.
Now, I have to figure it out all over again.
It's gone into a slow creep, where the upper winds are no longer associated with the lower winds.
You can't see any lobate fronts in Canada, but they form in the US. Greenland does not want to go black, but a lot of black in Canada. A huge flow from the Arctic, but it turns right away to the East without any apparent forces.
The weather forecast had a warm and rainy Christmas day for Toronto, but every day the forecast gets colder. It will soon be snow, since I can't see any heat. My general forecast is a very cold winter, since we have no heat sources. Right now, I'm inclined to think that it will just come in slowly.
ps The Whole Arctic Vortex is back. It has a huge low-pressure zone in the middle. That is why the spill that should come down on Canada is diverted.
Since this is a new thing, I have no idea what is going to happen.
The real funny thing is all those people screaming that they did no evil, and nobody believes them.
Nothing going on.
We may have weak Arctic spills.
Christmas day is supposed to be a washout for Toronto. I think the uncertainties are high.
ps yeah, and Canada will get all the English Majors.
I don't use my cannabis oil any more. Doesn't seem to be worth the discombubulation. I'm going to try this microdosing, since my extract seems to be the same as theirs. This is only a speck of the oil you can barely see.
Since I think I am perfect, I won't see any difference, but maybe the wife will.
A note on chaotic systems. If you have a little chaos toy on your desk, it will go into regular motion for a while, then get all jiggly, and resume another pattern. The weather on the Earth is chaotic in spots, but then goes to a pattern. The weather people think patterns are a constant, but they can change rapidly. The big chaos spots are in the Pacific, generating plumes, and the Arctic. On this side of the globe, who cares about the other.
Right now, chaos has descended over North America, so it is time for me to go back to bed.
No comment on the graphics.
We've got the big snowstorm pinched off by cold, like orcas squeezing a shark for its liver.
And another Pacific plume being squeezed in by the cold through Alaska. These things are the wild card.
So, the weather forecast for Toronto is general warmth. I can't see it through the chaos, so I'll just enjoy my storm headache for the rest of the day.
ps so if you enjoy deterministic physics like billiard balls, you have to wait when the cat jumps on the table.
ps I'm going to work on my new book "The Physics Says No". It will be written by Artie, and only read by Artie. Zero effort, zero gain. A true Circular Economy.
Instead of charging down like barbarians, the Arctic spill has decided to play with the massive amount of warm Pacific air that came over the mountains. This has turned our expected extreme cold into storms.
That was a huge slug of Pacific air, as the West Coast will tell you.
Our Arctic spill is chewing through it. It's still black, and Greenland is getting blacker. That front looks like an A9, super spill, but it is slow.
You can see the monster storm. The Arctic spill is meeting back-pressure and is diverting to the east. However, the cold will overwhelm the warmth and continue.
The Toronto forecast shows no effect of all this. I give a 50/50 chance of a big change at the tail end.
ps and in a new twist, the lefiestleftie influencers have decided to give physics a boost
This could be a new trend! "Greenhouse Gases? The Physics Says No"
"Central AI? The Physics Says No"
"Chemical reactions in the Ozone layer? The physics says no."
Tunnel under the 401? The physics says no.
Lots of natgas for the US? The physics says no.
Massive use of electric cars? The physics says no.
Super-heavy rocket? The physics says no.
ps "The Physics" says US natgas is underpriced, and is zooming right now.
The jet stream is the 'root of all evil' with regard to physics and weather people.
They picture it as a river, and it carries 'weather' or heat energy from BC to Britain. This is the fundamental 'truth' of all Influencer Weather Science. Yet it is wrong.
We can look at the wikithing to see that it is just a boundary effect between global warm and cold air. The particle motion within the jet stream is just circular, going round and round on a plane, that is tilted at the bottom slightly towards the East. I'm not showing the pictures from that site.
Particle motion is the key to defining what it does, which is nothing. It just goes down on the cold side and up on the warm side. It can carry nothing.
I was going to explain on how the myth started, but no... Just be happy it will always be with us, because no measurements will ever be done.
ps ok, I have to add this. I'm sitting on the dock with a strong south breeze coming at me, carrying warmth and pine pollen. I see a sailboard zooming very fast to the east. Is the breeze carrying anything to the east? No, it is a sailing effect. Same as what jet planes do in the jet stream. There is no 'air jet' down the middle carrying anything. No particle motion along it as in a river.
ps I have no concept how this groupthink breaks. Gates, himself, got chased out of the bar. I think that if the US runs out of natgas, then there might be an article: "Science Slop leads to disastrous forecasts" Maybe not.
Does not show cleanly on the mimic.
But the 'minimum' plot is something else! Greenland has a black spot.
This is a full feed across the whole Arctic. We'll call this a full dump.
The weather forecast for Toronto does not show this, but they will change it soon.
ps natgas hits the bottom, and now starts its rise. Totally dependent on integrated degree-day.
The following is a physics dream. It has nothing to do with modern Influencer Science.
Once upon a time, nasa was in grave trouble for constantly killing people in the Shuttle due to massive groupthink. They had the 'freezing o-rings are fine', and 'foam can't do anything'. They were in a pickle. What to do, what to do?
We need more groupthink! So, a new satellite was showing an ozone hole over the poles. Over two years it was growing. Aha! A cause! So, one commercial jet instrument showed a chlorine atom. Thus, came the great theory that chlorine caused the ozone hole. They even made up a fancy, complex chemical reaction of taking freon and breaking out the chlorine to zap an ozone molecule. Looked very fancy on the blackboard, but groupthink doesn't need experiments. Just throw it out to social media! Influencer Science is the way to go. Just call anyone who opposes it idiots.
Now, deep in the basement of nasa, there were a few people who still went with the SM. They did experiments in a similar atmosphere as the ozone hole. They found out that the fancy reaction was impossible in a near-vacuum, and 80 below temperatures. No reactions were possible.
These people published papers, but nasa bosses found out about them. Gone in a heartbeat. I found the papers once, now you can't. Active, promoted groupthink is for money. They erase history, and stop all experiments. They know what they are doing, and are the best humanity has to offer.
This was so successful, that when the Earth started a warming cycle, they were ready with 'greenhouse gases' which are physically impossible. No testing required.
Thus concludes this total fabrication. There is no evidence because they got rid of it. There is no evidence of them getting rid of it. It is a fact.
History shows they can get away with this again and again. Think microplastics, nano-particles, etc. If it fails to gain social traction, on to the next.
You better watch out, 40 below is coming to town! The official Christmas anti-forecast is in. We are getting a white Christmas in Toronto.
This might be a processing artefact, but you get the flash of a smooth lobate front. An A7.
The neat thing about this is the blackness. However, Greenland is warm. That's because of very intense plume action over in Europe. They are staying out of this party.
The feed appears weak. I think this is more a case of the Pacific air weakening out.
ps I think our glaciers are good.
ps onset of black for Edmonton
ps ha ha, jetstream lovers say it's bringing warm air over Christmas. Just like trumpy, it can't actually do anything.
ps the mimic now confirms an A7
so, if you are in a poker game against "jet stream creates heat energy out of nothing' go 'all in'.
ps and throw out your reservation for the 'Winter Arctic Beach Party'
