Arctic ice volume is low

Here's where the warmies can beat me up.  All winter we had a ridiculous amount of Pacific water going under the North Pole.  You can still see the channel.  Now, the melting is following the standard slope.  The northern islands that hope for a barge delivery may be disappointed because the ice is so thick at the shore.  Without the Pacific current, all the ice would be that thick.

So, I was wrong, because random uncertainty killed me.  The warmies avoid that by avoiding anything they don't like. 

To get my mojo back, the little black line has to start a big curve.  I am expecting that, since there are no El Ninos hanging around, and this would fit the general trend of an ice age.  If you believe in ice fairies, clap your hands!

I'll report this when the curve starts it's cut into history.  If it doesn't, I'll just ignore it.  :)