New Years State of the Oceans - Bring in 2026

 Thank goodness we never write checks any more.  For a whole month, you screwed up the year on the date.  

There is no hope for physics this year, simply because there is too much money in fantasy.  However, we few people can have fun laughing at those other guys.  All our weather ultimately comes from the oceans.  They are the main heat pipe for distributing heat energy.  All those people trying to put in central Arties know the value of cooling with water.  

However, the fantasy of weather people is that the air controls everything, and drives the ocean currents.  The Physics Says No.  We look at the surface temperature of the oceans because that is the most stable measurement, and is directly related to heat energy.  Air temperatures are no indication of heat energy.  

We start with the 'world' sea temperatures.  This is put together by all the oceans, and they don't display all the separate oceans.  We are now getting into southern temperatures, and it has no bearing on the north.

These are the north Atlantic segments, with the polar Atlantic being a subset.  The temps are most influenced by the Gulf Stream.

This is the Atlantic mid-band, and is just an indicator.  Not much use right now, but it was essential to my prediction of not-much hurricane action this year.  Hurricanes need heat energy.

This is my favourite indicator of natgas demand.  Looks like it's falling off the chart.  Oh dear.

Finally, the nino band is also falling off the chart.  This is our only physics indicator on what's going on, and it is cold.

Finally, the main charts of sea surface temp and the anomaly, which was calculated before year 2000.  We can assume this tells us we are really back to the 70-80's.  

ps and in Switz, they had to drag out the heaters they haven't used since the 80's

ps 

I love the UK!

Arctic feeling queasy

The Arctic celebrated too much, and is projectile vomiting all over Europe.

 

Toronto is on the cold side of the clipper at -14C.  The warm side is expected to hit us in a few days.

Europe is getting sheets and sheets of cold.  The cold flow has been too steady to show a lobate front, but in terms of energy, we are way over an A8 event.

An Atlantic plume is clipping the bottom of Greenland, but the top is black.  The whole Arctic is black, and our clipper is bring black into the provinces.  Toronto should hit the 70-90's temperature of 30 below, soon, after the storms.

You can really see the clipper here.

Yesterday, I said we were in recharge, and now it's flowing back to Europe.  We are just getting a tiny side-stream.  We may be hitting the time of no recharge, and continuous flow.  It just depends on whether the flow is Europe or NA.

The weather people are intellectually bankrupt on this.  They define 'Polar Vortex' as 'cold', with no volume knob.  So, all they say is that the cold is caused by cold.

ps oh boy, the dog walk at -14C.  This is as cold as it gets in Toronto, until the lakes freeze, then -30.  Anyway, I switched to my 40 below boots, but I should have gone with the thick socks, as well.  Haven't seen it this cold since the 80's.