Wednesday, December 12, 2012

Toronto's Gardiner - seismic death trap


So, how close do you get to static failure before you can say it has zero capacity for seismic?  I would say that now it has zero capacity, so the odds of massive death during rush hour is exactly 1 in 500 per year, which is the same chance as a large earthquake (M6.5 +) near Toronto.

You can be sure that the foundations are on soft soil.  Anyway, I wouldn't lose any sleep over it, since it will collapse in 6 years, thus putting the 'time at risk' at a very small window.  :)

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