Siberian air coming down again

This is very interesting.  NOAA, that champion of radiation heat loss, is predicting a mild winter for us.  I, on the other hand, champion of clear air convection, am predicting a very cold winter.  I was poleaxed for a while this Fall, with the unusual dumping of Atlantic heat, but that has run out.

Basically, all our moist air, with the highest heat energy, comes from either the Pacific or Atlantic belts of very warm water.  The Pacific is dead for now, and the Atlantic dumps everything every year in the form of hurricanes.  The Pacific dumps heat mostly through major ocean currents, and El Nino is a massive heat loss.

So, the physics leads one to the conclusion that there is no heat for us.  This is probably a decade of cold, like the 70's.  Expect frozen pipes for the next few years, as the Pacific heat builds up again.

Satellite picture of moist air

This is the pattern we had for our whole miserable summer.  In the Fall we had a lot of warm air coming up from the Atlantic, as well as a bit of straight Western air.  I loved the 70's cold when I was young.  I went up winter camping a lot and it was always 40 below up near Huntsville.  Hasn't been like that since.