No heat coming to save us

 The great ability of Influencer Science is to come up with heat energy that does not exist.  They are giving us a warm Christmas present, but is it an empty box?  The Toronto 7-day forecast had warmth at the end, but now it is cold.

This is mucky, but the small A6 cold spill is making its way to Florida.  That persistent Pacific plume is still soaking BC.  Don't forget they were hit by plumes all the time, it's the collision with cold that makes the rain.  No such thing as an 'Atmospheric River'.  Another fine fabrication.

Mostly, the Arctic is warm and in recharge.  Greenland is finally showing black, and lots of black at the  top of Canada.  

The big confusion is in this video.  Looks like the feed of a big A8 coming down, but it has no strength.  It might just swirl around until the Arctic Basin fills up again.  If our mysterious heat source shows up, I'll let you know, but right now it looks like starting your campfire in the rain, with soggy matches.  All possible, of course, with the Influencer concept of probability.

Not much exciting going on

 Very dull.  All the indicators of yesterday have folded in on themselves, and the Arctic is in recharge.

This appears to be our default weather for the winter.

Greenland is warm, but Ellesmere Island is a bit black.

We'll let you know if there is something exciting.

ps the regular forecast has us warming up a lot.  That's why natgas is down.

ps I don't see where this warmth will come from.  This will be exciting for me when we have aliens dropping the heat energy.

ps at 17:10 looks like a full Arctic spill coming down.  I'll see in the morning.

Arctic mechanism changing by the minute

 This really puts a damper on any attempt to forecast for 7 days.  You just don't know what this Arctic thing will spit out.

I'm just going to back to it every couple of hours.  You can see a perfect Arctic recharge vortex, but it is suddenly taking in a huge amount of warmish air from Siberia.  Everything is back-flowing into it.

The Canadian outflow has suddenly increased by a factor of 10.  I'll look back at it by lunch.

Basically, the mechanism takes regional warm air and cools it down to a dense sludge, which fills up the basin, and then spills out in some direction.  Still looks like its going to be Canada for a while now.  The Europe gate is just too clogged up with the Gulf Stream heat.

ps OMG, dog walk was freezing!  I'll have to go up another level.

ps the flow has been cut off.  Something to be said about not checking too often. Back to once a day.