So, there is no question that the recent M3.9 was a thrust on my postulated fault. I am only flogging this horse because we haven't had our big thrust. As well, all the energy of a thrust goes up, and so this would be an M4.5 in terms of energy equivalence with the strike-slip earthquakes.
Here is the felt area.
And here the the fault-plane solution.
Fixing it as a NW fault, we can assume it slid up towards the south, since this is the 'hammer zone'. These are high-angle reverse faults, and it is significant that the main pulse is towards the city. I am also assuming that this is all dry red dirt, as I read somewhere. No major swamps.
By having the thrust this way, the city is set up for a good pulse, should the larger earthquakes happen. I must admit I am losing hope. :( Please inject like bandits, people, nothing will happen!
Addition: Okay, it was downgraded to an M3.3. This is the typical thrust downgrade. I thought they had already done this. It's because the nearby seismometers go through the roof but the distant ones say meh.
Add2: Also they removed the fault plane solution. Thrusts get no respect.
Add3: M3.1 in the shear zone. This would be a direct response to the thrust, so we should expect a lot in the zone over the next few days. Death by a thousand cuts.