Friday, September 27, 2024

The joy of being always wrong

 I'm always wrong and that's why I only have 3 readers.  To have 'gravitas' in this world, you have to say nothing, so you are never wrong.  It's good to have been right once, 20 years ago.

As a loser, I have total freedom to explore things, without worrying about my reputation.


I've been wrong since 2016.  That was a huge El Nino that reversed currents over the whole Pacific.  It destroyed both the North Pacific Current, and the Gulf Stream.  These are the two main ways of transferring heat energy to the north.

Since then, we have been relying on tropical plumes, and they have done a good job.  What knocked me over was the continuing 'resonance decay' of partial El Ninos, as defined by ocean currents.  Every one of those peaks since 2016 can be associated with reversals that are getting smaller and smaller.

These last one broke all the rules.  It was around Indonesia, and then drifted and parked in the S Hemi, away from the sweeping ocean currents.  Never done that before.  Thus, it had a huge effect on the world temperatures, and not much in the north.  We got one mild winter out of it.


Nothing like 2016 on the continental weather.  We got summer starting in May!

Now, we will have summer mid-July to mid-August.  However, I was totally wrong about September, when we got a very rare stagnant bubble over us, with wind coming from the east.


No comments: