A report card on the Fish Summer Prediction - Summer is Over

 We started with two predictions - the official one of 'warmer than normal', and my prediction of 'stagnant, short and sweet'.  The problem is that none of this can be measured.  And if the media prediction is totally off, they won't publish anything.

The best indicator of NA summer weather is the surface of the Gulf of Maine.  This integrates the temperature and the true 'cooling degree days'.  The warmies go with whatever works for them, and they love short peak day temperatures.  In terms of heat energy, this is useless.

I think the Gulf of Maine summarizes our summer perfectly -- a jumbled mess.  It started out stagnant in June, horribly hot, and followed the Solar Flux perfectly.  We never get the weather correlating exactly with the solar maximum, because of the delaying and moderating effect of the oceans.  However, this year, there was none of that.

Then, the big surprise of the summer.  The Gulf Stream decided to become very active and pour the heat energy up into the Greenland Gap.  This caused Scandy-land to be very hot, and they even got some media time for it.  The bigger effect was that it blocked the Arctic air, and even pushed the squishy blob over to Canada.  

Thus we had very hot , and very cold.  The cottage regularly went down to 6C at night.  The effect of all this was that the middle of continent was staying cold, with no rain.  On temperature anomaly map, the centre continent was a solid blue.  On the east coast, we had sporadic thrusts of warm Gulf of Mexican air.

Now, we have had our short and weird summer, and we are going to ice cycle weather.  Even 20,000 years ago at the peak of ice pouring down on us, we had short, intense summers.  There were two seasons - winter and July.  We are going back to that.

So, in general, I give myself a C+.  I never saw those Arctic spills continuing all summer.  I expected total stagnation.  I am right on the drought in the middle because they depend on ocean breezes.  They are going into a fine 'Dust Bowl'.  The only hope is to covert everything to greenhouses and grow poppies and coca.  

The coming winter will be severe.  Lots of snow in the East because of Gulf action.  Dry -40C in the middle.  Who cares about California?